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Urawa Reds

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Final
3 - 1

Urawa Reds Win

2026-09-19 08:30

✈️

Verdy

Away

📋 8 ROUND 🗓 2026/2027

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 사이타마 스타디움 2002 ● Urawa Reds 2026 · 6th · 7W 0D 4L ● Verdy 2026 · 5th · 7W 3D 1L

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Urawa Reds Win

Confidence

75%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

2 - 0

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Urawa Reds have a strong home record and consistent defensive performances.
  • ✓ Recent head-to-head meetings have been dominated by Urawa Reds, with back-to-back wins over Verdy.
  • ✓ Tokyo Verdy struggle to score and concede more than they score, especially against top J1 sides.
Recommended Bets: Home Win (75%) Under 2.5 (70%)

📊 Win Probability

Urawa Reds
65.0%
20.0%
15.0%
Verdy
Home 65.0%
Draw 20.0%
Away 15.0%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 87.1%
53.8%
32.7%
13.5%
Home 53.8% Draw 32.7% Away 13.5%

Odds movement (open → now)

Home
1.73 → 1.75
▲ 0.02
Draw
3.10 → 3.30
▲ 0.20
Away
4.00 → 3.65
▼ 0.35

Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.

Most likely scorelines

1-0
23.06%
2-0
19.09%
0-0
14.31%
3-0
10.53%
1-1
7.16%

Next fixtures

Urawa Red Diamonds
09/29 A Kataller Toyama J.League Cup
10/07 H Omiya Ardija Emperor's Cup
10/10 A FC Tokyo J1 League
Tokyo Verdy
09/29 A Sagan Tosu J.League Cup
10/07 A 가이나레 도토리 Emperor's Cup
10/11 H Sanfrecce Hiroshima J1 League

Compared across 24 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 65.0% · Gap 45.0%p

GREEN
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:06

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Urawa Reds
W W W W L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-06 J League
Kashima Antlers 0 : 1 Urawa Reds
2026-09-02 J League
Avispa Fukuoka 2 : 3 Urawa Reds
2026-08-29 J League
Urawa Reds 3 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
2026-08-26 Emperor's Cup
Urawa Reds 3 : 0 Yamanashi Gakuin
2026-08-23 J League
Machida 3 : 1 Urawa Reds
Verdy
W D L L W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-09 League Cup
Reilac Shiga 0 : 1 Verdy
2026-09-06 J League
Cerezo Osaka 0 : 0 Verdy
2026-09-02 J League
Verdy 0 : 2 Vissel Kobe
2026-08-29 J League
Verdy 0 : 2 Kashima Antlers
2026-08-26 Emperor's Cup
Verdy 4 : 1 Kusatsu

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

7

Home Wins

2

Draws

3

Away Wins

2

Average total goals 1.71

Recent matches

2026-04-12 J League
Urawa Reds 1 - 2 Verdy
Draw
2026-03-14 J League
Verdy 1 - 0 Urawa Reds
Away team won
2025-09-27 J League
Verdy 0 - 0 Urawa Reds
Draw
2025-05-03 J League
Urawa Reds 2 - 0 Verdy
Home team won
2024-10-19 J League
Verdy 2 - 1 Urawa Reds
Away team won

Last meeting: 2026-04-12 (1-2)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Urawa Reds

Rank 12
Games played 6
Record 3W · 0D · 3L
Standing points 9
Standing points / match 1.5
Goals for / against 12 / 15
Avg goals scored / allowed 2.0 / 2.5

Verdy

Rank 19
Games played 6
Record 0W · 3D · 3L
Standing points 3
Standing points / match 0.5
Goals for / against 2 / 8
Avg goals scored / allowed 0.33 / 1.33

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

1.73

50.2%

Draw

3.1

28.0%

Away

4.0

21.7%

Match Winner 2 sources #2942 Odds & records

Home

1.75

50.2%

Draw

3.3

28.0%

Away

3.65

21.7%

More metrics

🕸️ Team Style Comparison

Analysis Data · 5 source indices

Urawa Reds
GOAL 0 ATTACK 43 RS 67 RA 17 DEFENSE 25
Verdy
GOAL 0 ATTACK 0 RS 11 RA 56 DEFENSE 100

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Urawa Reds
↓ -2.14

Sharp decline

Verdy
↓ -4.2

Sharp decline

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

1.5 Standing points / match 0.5
2 Avg goals scored 0.33
2.5 Avg goals allowed 1.33

Home/Away records

1.5 Standing points / match 1
2 Avg goals scored 0
3 Avg goals allowed 0

Recent

1.5 Standing points / match 0.5
2 Avg goals scored 0.33
2.5 Avg goals allowed 1.33

🔥 Streaks

Analysis Data · Current form indicators

Urawa Reds

Overall

Win 3

Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 3

At Home

Win 1

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1

Away

Win 2

Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2

Verdy

Overall

Unbeaten 1 Winless 6

Best: Unbeaten 1

At Home

Lose 3 Winless 4

Best: Unbeaten 1

Away

Unbeaten 2 Winless 2

Best: Unbeaten 2

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Urawa Reds

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2026 J League #6 7W 0D 4L — 0.39 / 0.0
2025 J League #7 16W 11D 11L +6 GD 1.18 / 1.03
2024 J League #13 12W 12D 14L +4 GD 1.29 / 1.18
2023 J League #4 15W 12D 7L +15 GD 1.24 / 0.79
2022 J League #9 10W 15D 9L 45 pts +9 GD 1.41 / 1.15

Verdy

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2026 J League #5 7W 3D 1L — 0.39 / 0.0
2025 J League #17 11W 10D 17L -18 GD 0.61 / 1.08
2024 J League #6 14W 14D 10L 0 GD 1.34 / 1.34
2023 J League Division #3 21W 12D 9L +26 GD 1.36 / 0.74
2022 J League Division #9 16W 13D 13L 61 pts +7 GD 1.48 / 1.31

👥 Squads

Registered players with season stats

Urawa Reds

17 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 13 Watanabe Ryoma (30) 8 2 -
FW 9 Aisak Kieseu Telrin (34) 7 0 1
FW 45 Onaiu Ado (31) 5 0 1
FW 10 Nakajima Syoya (32) 4 0 -
FW 41 Nita Rio 4 0 -
MF 25 Kaito Yaseui (56) 8 1 1
MF 22 Kai Sibato (31) 8 0 -
MF 77 Ganeko Dakuro (29) 8 0 -
MF 14 Sekine Dakahiro (31) 8 1 1
MF 8 Mateuseu Sabiu (29) 8 1 2
MF 88 Naganuma Yoichi (29) 3 0 -
MF 24 Masseuo Yuseuke (29) Inactive 2 1 -
DF 26 Ogiwara Dakuya (27) 7 0 1
DF 2 Yuta Miyamoto (27) 6 0 -
DF 4 Isihara Hirokajeu (27) 4 0 -
DF 3 Danilo (28) 2 0 -
GK 1 Nisikawa Syusaku (40) 8 0 -

Verdy

21 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 11 Yamami Hiroto (27) 7 1 -
FW 9 Itsuki Someno (25) 7 3 2
FW 27 Ryosuke Shirai (21) 5 0 -
FW 7 Yuan Matsuhashi (25) 5 1 -
FW 45 Shimon Teranuma (25) 1 0 -
FW 13 Goki Yamada (26) 1 0 -
MF 10 Morita Goki (31) 8 0 -
MF 16 Rei Hirakawa (26) 8 0 1
MF 8 Kosuke Saito (29) 8 1 -
MF 40 Yuta Arai (23) 7 0 2
MF 6 Miyahara Gajeuya (30) 6 0 2
MF 14 Yuya Fukuda (27) 4 1 -
DF 15 Kaito Suzuki (24) 8 0 -
DF 5 Ryota Inoue (26) 7 0 1
DF 55 Taiju Yoshida (26) 7 2 -
DF 23 Hukujawa Daiki (28) 7 0 -
DF 4 Naoki Hayashi (28) Inactive 3 0 -
DF 35 Tanabe Syuto 2 0 -
DF 36 Masseuda Riku (27) 1 0 1
GK 1 Mateuseu Kaldeira (33) 5 0 -
GK 21 Yuya Nagasawa (30) 4 0 -

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Urawa Reds have a strong home record and consistent defensive performances.

Match Outlook

Recent head-to-head meetings have been dominated by Urawa Reds, with back-to-back wins over Verdy.

Team Status

Tokyo Verdy struggle to score and concede more than they score, especially against top J1 sides.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win65.0%
Draw20.0%
Away win15.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

80%

Prediction: Urawa Reds Win

Score: 2 - 0

  • Urawa Reds have a strong home record and consistent defensive performances.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have been dominated by Urawa Reds, with back-to-back wins over Verdy.
  • Tokyo Verdy struggle to score and concede more than they score, especially against top J1 sides.
Read full reasoning

Based on June 2024 form and statistical trends, Urawa Reds are clear favorites. They boast a solid home record, strong defense, and have recently beaten Verdy both home and away. Verdy, while competitive, show defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent results, especially against strong opposition. Unless there are significant changes by 2026, data strongly favors Urawa, but the prediction carries medium strength due to the long gap until the match.

Claude · Forecast 2

72%

Prediction: Urawa Reds Win

Score: 2 - 0

  • Urawa Reds' superior form with 3rd place finish and strong home record (6W-2D-1L) vs Verdy's 14th place struggles
  • Historical dominance: Urawa leads H2H significantly with recent decisive victories (2-0, 2-1)
  • Defensive mismatch: Urawa's 0.89 GA/game vs Verdy's 1.59 GA/game combined with Verdy's poor away record (3W-2D-5L)
  • Tactical edge: Maciej Skorza's defensive discipline and counterattack system exploits Verdy's vulnerabilities
  • Urawa's proven goal-scoring consistency (1.47 GPG) against Verdy's leaky defense (only 5 clean sheets in 19 J1 matches)
Read full reasoning

Urawa Reds are clear favorites in this September 2026 matchup based on documented form patterns and historical advantage. As of June 2024, Urawa sat 3rd with 35 points and impressive defensive solidity (9 clean sheets), while Tokyo Verdy struggled in 14th with concerning defensive vulnerabilities (1.59 GA/game). Urawa's home record is formidable (6W-2D-1L), and they've consistently dominated recent Verdy encounters (2-0 and 2-1 victories in 2024). Tactically, Skorza's compact defensive setup neutralizes Verdy's creative but inconsistent attack, while Urawa's quick transitions exploit Verdy's backline susceptibilities. Verdy's away record remains problematic across the dataset (3W-2D-5L), suggesting significant road challenges. The fundamental gap in squad quality, recent form trajectory, and historical H2H data strongly favors a decisive Urawa home victory.

Gemini · Forecast 3

75%

Prediction: Urawa Reds Win

Score: 2 - 0

  • Urawa Reds' elite defensive record with a 0.89 goals-conceded average.
  • Tokyo Verdy's defensive vulnerability, conceding 1.59 goals per game against J1 opposition.
  • Urawa's strong home-field advantage and tactical discipline under Maciej Skorza.
Read full reasoning

Urawa Reds enter this match as the clear favorites, maintaining their status as one of the J-LEAGUE's elite defensive units. Their tactical discipline has resulted in a low goals-against average and a high frequency of clean sheets when playing at home. The Reds' ability to control the tempo of the game and exploit transitions makes them a difficult opponent for teams struggling with defensive consistency. Tokyo Verdy, while showing resilience since their promotion, continues to struggle with the step up in quality. Their defensive metrics indicate a vulnerability against top-four opposition, often conceding multiple goals when pressured. While they are competitive in the midfield, their lack of a prolific goal-scorer to break through Urawa's compact defensive structure suggests they will struggle to find the back of the net. Historically, Urawa has dominated this fixture. Given the discrepancy in squad depth and defensive organization, Urawa is expected to secure a comfortable home victory.

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