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⚽ Football J League
🏠

Machida

Home

Scheduled

VS

Match Time

2026-11-08

06:00

✈️

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Away

📋 14 ROUND 🗓 2026/2027
● Machida 2026 · 3rd · 8W 5D 3L ● Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2026 · 4th · 8W 2D 2L

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Draw

Confidence

52%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

1 - 1

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Machida Zelvia have an excellent defensive record, especially at home.
  • ✓ Sanfrecce Hiroshima are more experienced at J1 level and have a slightly stronger attack.
  • ✓ Their only recent head-to-head ended in a draw, indicating a close matchup.
Recommended Bets: Under 2.5 (47%)

📊 Win Probability

Machida
30.0%
42.5%
27.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Home 30.0%
Draw 42.5%
Away 27.5%
🔴

Too Risky

Max probability 42.5% · Gap 12.5%p

RED

Strategy: Highly unpredictable. Skip this match or use only the safest derivative options. Never chase losses on coin-flip matches.

Analysis data as of 2026-11-02 21:20

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Machida
W D W D W
View 5 recent results
2026-10-29 ACL2
Shanghai Shenhua 0 : 1 Machida
2026-10-24 J League
Vissel Kobe 0 : 0 Machida
2026-10-21 J League
Shimizu S-Pulse 0 : 5 Machida
2026-10-15 ACL2
Tampines 0 : 0 Machida
2026-10-10 J League
Kyoto 0 : 1 Machida
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W L W L W
View 5 recent results
2026-10-31 J League
Mito 0 : 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-10-28 League Cup
Yokohama F. Marinos 4 : 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-10-24 J League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
2026-10-21 J League
V-Varen Nagasaki 3 : 0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-10-17 J League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3 : 0 Kyoto

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

4

Home Wins

0

Draws

0

Away Wins

4

Average total goals 2.75

Recent matches

2025-10-04 J League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2 - 1 Machida
Away team won
2025-02-16 J League
Machida 1 - 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Away team won
2024-09-28 J League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2 - 0 Machida
Away team won
2024-04-03 J League
Machida 1 - 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Away team won

Last meeting: 2025-10-04 (2-1)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Machida

Rank 5
Games played 11
Record 7W · 3D · 1L
Standing points 24
Standing points / match 2.18
Goals for / against 27 / 10
Avg goals scored / allowed 2.45 / 0.91

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Rank 2
Games played 13
Record 9W · 2D · 2L
Standing points 29
Standing points / match 2.23
Goals for / against 33 / 9
Avg goals scored / allowed 2.54 / 0.69
More metrics

🕸️ Team Style Comparison

Analysis Data · 5 source indices

Machida
GOAL 44 ATTACK 44 RS 63 RA 67 DEFENSE 54
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
GOAL 86 ATTACK 49 RS 92 RA 71 DEFENSE 78

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Machida
↑ 2.89

Strong upward trend

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
↓ -3.49

Sharp decline

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

2.18 Standing points / match 2.23
2.45 Avg goals scored 2.54
0.91 Avg goals allowed 0.69

Home/Away records

1.75 Standing points / match 1.86
2 Avg goals scored 1.86
1.75 Avg goals allowed 1

Recent

1.88 Standing points / match 2.25
1.88 Avg goals scored 2.75
1 Avg goals allowed 0.88

🔥 Streaks

Analysis Data · Current form indicators

Machida

Overall

Unbeaten 3 Winless 1

Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 7

At Home

Lose 1 Winless 2

Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 3

Away

Unbeaten 7 Winless 1

Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 7

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Overall

Win 2

Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 5

At Home

Win 4 Unbeaten 6

Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 6

Away

Win 1

Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Machida

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2026 J League #3 8W 5D 3L — 0.11 / 0.0
2025 J League #6 17W 9D 12L +14 GD 1.37 / 1.0
2024 J League #3 19W 9D 10L +20 GD 1.42 / 0.89
2023 J League Division #1 26W 9D 7L +44 GD 1.88 / 0.83
2022 J League Division #15 14W 9D 19L 51 pts +1 GD 1.21 / 1.19

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2026 J League #4 8W 2D 2L — 0.33 / 0.0
2025 J League #4 20W 8D 10L +18 GD 1.21 / 0.74
2024 J League #2 19W 11D 8L +29 GD 1.89 / 1.13
2023 J League #3 17W 7D 10L +14 GD 1.24 / 0.82
2022 J League #3 15W 10D 9L 55 pts +11 GD 1.53 / 1.21

👥 Squads

Registered players with season stats

Machida

19 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 27 Erik (32) 8 5 1 1
FW 99 Tete Yengi (23) 6 1 -
FW 9 Syota Hujio (25) 6 0 -
FW 20 Takuma Nishimura (30) 3 0 -
MF 31 Neta Lavi (30) 7 0 -
MF 10 Nasangho (30) 7 0 1
MF 7 Yuki Soma (29) 7 4 1
MF 23 Ryohei Shirasaki (33) 7 0 -
MF 16 Hiroyuki Mae (31) 6 0 1
MF 18 Hokuto Shimoda (35) 3 0 -
MF 8 Keiya Sento (32) 3 0 -
MF 11 Maseuyama Asahi (29) 3 0 -
DF 19 Nakayama Yuta (29) 8 1 1
DF 26 Kotaro Hayashi (26) 8 0 2
DF 50 Daihachi Okamura (29) 8 0 2
DF 3 Gen Shoji (34) 7 1 -
DF 88 Hotaka Nakamura (29) 6 0 1
DF 5 Ibrahim Dresevic (29) 4 0 -
GK 1 Kosei Tani (26) 8 0 -

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

22 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 10 Akito Suzuki (23) 8 2 -
FW 9 Ryo Jeomein (31) Inactive 7 3 1
FW 11 Macheuki Gato (29) 7 0 -
FW 17 Ginosita Goseuke (32) 7 1 -
FW 24 Higasi Syungi (26) 6 1 -
FW 41 Maeda Naoki (32) 4 0 -
MF 6 Hayao Kawabe (31) 8 1 -
MF 14 Taishi Matsumoto (28) 8 0 1
MF 40 Ohara Motoki (56) 4 0 -
MF 16 Takaaki Shichi (33) 4 0 -
MF 30 Tolgai Areuseulran (36) 3 0 -
MF 35 Yotaro Nakajima (56) 1 0 -
DF 15 Shuto Nakano (26) 8 1 -
DF 33 Siotani Sseukasa (38) Injured 8 0 -
DF 3 Yamasakitaichi 7 0 1
DF 37 Gimjuseong (26) International duty 7 0 -
DF 13 Arai Naoto (30) 6 1 1
DF 4 Hayato Araki (31) 6 1 1
DF 19 Sho Sasaki (37) 4 0 -
DF 18 Daiki Suga (28) Inactive 1 0 -
GK 1 Keisuke Osako (27) International duty 7 0 -
GK 99 Issei Ouchi 1 0 -

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Machida Zelvia have an excellent defensive record, especially at home.

Match Outlook

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are more experienced at J1 level and have a slightly stronger attack.

Team Status

Their only recent head-to-head ended in a draw, indicating a close matchup.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win30.0%
Draw42.0%
Away win28.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw100%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. However, the analysis data favours a different outcome — treat this match as uncertain.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

60%

Prediction: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

  • Machida Zelvia have an excellent defensive record, especially at home.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima are more experienced at J1 level and have a slightly stronger attack.
  • Their only recent head-to-head ended in a draw, indicating a close matchup.
Read full reasoning

Based on June 2024 data, Machida Zelvia's defensive solidity and strong home form make them tough to beat, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima's attacking depth and J1 pedigree suggest they can create chances. Given Machida's ability to stifle opponents at home and Hiroshima's occasional struggles away, a low-scoring draw is likely. Both teams are well-organized, and with little head-to-head history, neither side has a clear psychological edge. However, the lack of 2026-specific data reduces analysis confidence.

Claude · Forecast 2

52%

Prediction: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

  • Machida's elite defense (0.75 GA/game) likely to frustrate Hiroshima's creative play
  • Hiroshima's superior offensive record (1.56 GF/game) provides goal threat, but Machida remain compact at home
  • Limited recent head-to-head history with only one meeting (1-1 draw in March 2024)
  • Machida's remarkable J1 promotion season showing defensive organization under manager Kuroda
Read full reasoning

This prediction is constrained by significant temporal distance (2.5+ years from data cutoff). Based on June 2024 data, Machida Zelvia have impressed as newly promoted side with the league's 2nd-best defense (0.75 GA/game), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima remain attacking-minded with superior scoring output (1.56 GF/game). Their only prior meeting ended 1-1, and Machida's home record shows strong defensive resilience. However, with over 2.5 years until match date, squad composition, managerial changes, player injuries, form cycles, and league dynamics will evolve substantially, making confident prediction highly speculative. The analysis strength is low due to unavailable 2026-specific data.

Gemini · Forecast 3

45%

Prediction: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

  • Machida Zelvia maintains a top-tier defensive record, conceding only 0.75 goals per game.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima features a more potent attack with a 1.56 goals-per-game average.
  • Historical data shows a tendency for stalemates between these two tactically disciplined sides.
Read full reasoning

Machida Zelvia has established itself as a defensive juggernaut, utilizing a highly organized low-block that is particularly effective in home fixtures. Their ability to frustrate high-possession teams makes them a difficult opponent for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, who rely on high-intensity pressing and quick transitions. While Hiroshima possesses superior individual quality and a more diverse attacking arsenal, their historical difficulty in clinical finishing during away matches often leads to shared points against top-half opposition. Given the late-season timing in November 2026, both teams are likely to prioritize tactical stability to secure league positioning. Hiroshima's offensive pressure is expected to cancel out Machida's counter-attacking threat. With Machida's strong home record and Hiroshima's tactical pedigree, a low-scoring draw is the most statistically probable outcome, mirroring their previous competitive encounters and current defensive metrics.

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