Key Analysis
Machida Zelvia have an excellent defensive record, especially at home.
Home
VS
Match Time
2026-11-08
06:00
Away
Prediction
Draw
Confidence
52%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Key Analysis Points
Max probability 42.5% · Gap 12.5%p
Strategy: Highly unpredictable. Skip this match or use only the safest derivative options. Never chase losses on coin-flip matches.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
4
Home Wins
0
Draws
0
Away Wins
4
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2025-10-04 (2-1)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Strong upward trend
Sharp decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 7
At Home
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 3
Away
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 7
Overall
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 5
At Home
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 6
Away
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | J League | #3 | 8W 5D 3L | — | 0.11 / 0.0 |
| 2025 | J League | #6 | 17W 9D 12L | +14 GD | 1.37 / 1.0 |
| 2024 | J League | #3 | 19W 9D 10L | +20 GD | 1.42 / 0.89 |
| 2023 | J League Division | #1 | 26W 9D 7L | +44 GD | 1.88 / 0.83 |
| 2022 | J League Division | #15 | 14W 9D 19L | 51 pts +1 GD | 1.21 / 1.19 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | J League | #4 | 8W 2D 2L | — | 0.33 / 0.0 |
| 2025 | J League | #4 | 20W 8D 10L | +18 GD | 1.21 / 0.74 |
| 2024 | J League | #2 | 19W 11D 8L | +29 GD | 1.89 / 1.13 |
| 2023 | J League | #3 | 17W 7D 10L | +14 GD | 1.24 / 0.82 |
| 2022 | J League | #3 | 15W 10D 9L | 55 pts +11 GD | 1.53 / 1.21 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 27 Erik (32) | 8 | 5 | 1 1 |
| FW | 99 Tete Yengi (23) | 6 | 1 | - |
| FW | 9 Syota Hujio (25) | 6 | 0 | - |
| FW | 20 Takuma Nishimura (30) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 31 Neta Lavi (30) | 7 | 0 | - |
| MF | 10 Nasangho (30) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 7 Yuki Soma (29) | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| MF | 23 Ryohei Shirasaki (33) | 7 | 0 | - |
| MF | 16 Hiroyuki Mae (31) | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 18 Hokuto Shimoda (35) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Keiya Sento (32) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 11 Maseuyama Asahi (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 19 Nakayama Yuta (29) | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 26 Kotaro Hayashi (26) | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 50 Daihachi Okamura (29) | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 3 Gen Shoji (34) | 7 | 1 | - |
| DF | 88 Hotaka Nakamura (29) | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 5 Ibrahim Dresevic (29) | 4 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Kosei Tani (26) | 8 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 10 Akito Suzuki (23) | 8 | 2 | - |
| FW | 9 Ryo Jeomein (31) Inactive | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| FW | 11 Macheuki Gato (29) | 7 | 0 | - |
| FW | 17 Ginosita Goseuke (32) | 7 | 1 | - |
| FW | 24 Higasi Syungi (26) | 6 | 1 | - |
| FW | 41 Maeda Naoki (32) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 6 Hayao Kawabe (31) | 8 | 1 | - |
| MF | 14 Taishi Matsumoto (28) | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 40 Ohara Motoki (56) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 16 Takaaki Shichi (33) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 30 Tolgai Areuseulran (36) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 35 Yotaro Nakajima (56) | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 15 Shuto Nakano (26) | 8 | 1 | - |
| DF | 33 Siotani Sseukasa (38) Injured | 8 | 0 | - |
| DF | 3 Yamasakitaichi | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 37 Gimjuseong (26) International duty | 7 | 0 | - |
| DF | 13 Arai Naoto (30) | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 4 Hayato Araki (31) | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 19 Sho Sasaki (37) | 4 | 0 | - |
| DF | 18 Daiki Suga (28) Inactive | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Keisuke Osako (27) International duty | 7 | 0 | - |
| GK | 99 Issei Ouchi | 1 | 0 | - |
Machida Zelvia have an excellent defensive record, especially at home.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are more experienced at J1 level and have a slightly stronger attack.
Their only recent head-to-head ended in a draw, indicating a close matchup.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. However, the analysis data favours a different outcome — treat this match as uncertain.
Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
Based on June 2024 data, Machida Zelvia's defensive solidity and strong home form make them tough to beat, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima's attacking depth and J1 pedigree suggest they can create chances. Given Machida's ability to stifle opponents at home and Hiroshima's occasional struggles away, a low-scoring draw is likely. Both teams are well-organized, and with little head-to-head history, neither side has a clear psychological edge. However, the lack of 2026-specific data reduces analysis confidence.
Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
This prediction is constrained by significant temporal distance (2.5+ years from data cutoff). Based on June 2024 data, Machida Zelvia have impressed as newly promoted side with the league's 2nd-best defense (0.75 GA/game), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima remain attacking-minded with superior scoring output (1.56 GF/game). Their only prior meeting ended 1-1, and Machida's home record shows strong defensive resilience. However, with over 2.5 years until match date, squad composition, managerial changes, player injuries, form cycles, and league dynamics will evolve substantially, making confident prediction highly speculative. The analysis strength is low due to unavailable 2026-specific data.
Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
Machida Zelvia has established itself as a defensive juggernaut, utilizing a highly organized low-block that is particularly effective in home fixtures. Their ability to frustrate high-possession teams makes them a difficult opponent for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, who rely on high-intensity pressing and quick transitions. While Hiroshima possesses superior individual quality and a more diverse attacking arsenal, their historical difficulty in clinical finishing during away matches often leads to shared points against top-half opposition. Given the late-season timing in November 2026, both teams are likely to prioritize tactical stability to secure league positioning. Hiroshima's offensive pressure is expected to cancel out Machida's counter-attacking threat. With Machida's strong home record and Hiroshima's tactical pedigree, a low-scoring draw is the most statistically probable outcome, mirroring their previous competitive encounters and current defensive metrics.