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Daejeon

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Scheduled

VS

Match Time

2026-11-08

06:00

✈️

Incheon

Away

📋 35 ROUND 🗓 2026
● Daejeon 2025 · 3rd · 15W 10D 8L (GD +7) ● Incheon 2025 · 1st · 23W 9D 7L (GD +36)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Draw

Confidence

56%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

1 - 1

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Both teams have displayed inconsistency, with similar recent form (2W-1D-2L in last 5).
  • ✓ Head-to-head history shows a high rate of draws and tightly contested matches.
  • ✓ Neither side has a decisive home or away advantage, and both struggle defensively.
Recommended Bets: Under 2.5 (51%)

📊 Win Probability

Daejeon
30.0%
40.0%
30.0%
Incheon
Home 30.0%
Draw 40.0%
Away 30.0%
🔴

Too Risky

Max probability 40.0% · Gap 10.0%p

RED

Strategy: Highly unpredictable. Skip this match or use only the safest derivative options. Never chase losses on coin-flip matches.

Analysis data as of 2026-11-02 21:20

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Daejeon
D L D D W
View 5 recent results
2026-10-31 K League 1
Jeonbuk 0 : 0 Daejeon
2026-10-27 AFC Champions League Elite
Daejeon 0 : 1 Vissel Kobe
2026-10-24 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu 1 : 1 Daejeon
2026-10-13 AFC Champions League Elite
Shanghai Port 1 : 1 Daejeon
2026-10-09 K League 1
Daejeon 2 : 1 Jeonbuk
Incheon
W D W D D
View 5 recent results
2026-10-24 K League 1
Incheon 3 : 1 Jeju SK
2026-10-18 K League 1
Gangwon 1 : 1 Incheon
2026-10-09 K League 1
Incheon 3 : 0 Pohang
2026-09-27 K League 1
Gangwon 0 : 0 Incheon
2026-09-20 K League 1
Incheon 1 : 1 Daejeon

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

3

Draws

3

Away Wins

4

Average total goals 2.7

Recent matches

2026-09-20 K League 1
Incheon 1 - 1 Daejeon
Draw
2026-05-05 K League 1
Daejeon 0 - 0 Incheon
Draw
2026-03-18 K League 1
Incheon 1 - 3 Daejeon
Home team won
2024-11-10 K League 1
Incheon 1 - 2 Daejeon
Home team won
2024-08-17 K League 1
Daejeon 2 - 1 Incheon
Home team won

Last meeting: 2026-09-20 (1-1)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Daejeon

Rank 6
Games played 33
Record 11W · 12D · 10L
Standing points 45
Standing points / match 1.36
Goals for / against 49 / 39
Avg goals scored / allowed 1.48 / 1.18

Incheon

Rank 7
Games played 33
Record 11W · 11D · 11L
Standing points 44
Standing points / match 1.33
Goals for / against 43 / 38
Avg goals scored / allowed 1.3 / 1.15
More metrics

🕸️ Team Style Comparison

Analysis Data · 5 source indices

Daejeon
GOAL 49 ATTACK 37 RS 63 RA 58 DEFENSE 65
Incheon
GOAL 43 ATTACK 35 RS 46 RA 71 DEFENSE 63

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Daejeon
↑ 2.29

Strong upward trend

Incheon
↑ 1.59

Slight improvement

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

1.36 Standing points / match 1.33
1.48 Avg goals scored 1.3
1.18 Avg goals allowed 1.15

Home/Away records

1.31 Standing points / match 1.19
1.31 Avg goals scored 1.25
1.25 Avg goals allowed 1.31

Recent

1.63 Standing points / match 1.5
1.88 Avg goals scored 1.38
1.25 Avg goals allowed 0.88

🔥 Streaks

Analysis Data · Current form indicators

Daejeon

Overall

Unbeaten 7 Winless 2

Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 7

At Home

Win 1 Unbeaten 8

Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 8

Away

Unbeaten 4 Winless 3

Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 4

Incheon

Overall

Win 1 Unbeaten 5

Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 6

At Home

Win 2 Unbeaten 8

Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 8

Away

Unbeaten 2 Winless 5

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 6

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Daejeon

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025 K League 1 #3 15W 10D 8L +7 GD 1.45 / 1.24
2024 K League 1 #11 8W 11D 14L -9 GD 1.09 / 1.36
2023 K League 1 #8 11W 12D 10L -3 GD 1.48 / 1.58
2022 K League 2 #2 21W 11D 8L 74 pts +25 GD 1.75 / 1.13
2021 K League 2 #3 17W 7D 12L 58 pts +5 GD 1.47 / 1.33

Incheon

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025 K League 2 #1 23W 9D 7L +36 GD 1.69 / 0.77
2024 K League 1 #12 7W 11D 15L -12 GD 0.97 / 1.33
2023 K League 1 #6 12W 12D 9L +1 GD 1.15 / 1.12
2022 K League 1 #4 12W 13D 8L 49 pts +6 GD 1.24 / 1.06
2021 K League 1 #8 11W 7D 15L 40 pts -9 GD 1.0 / 1.27

👥 Squads

Registered players with season stats

Daejeon

22 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 17 Guseutapeu Ruteubihison (33) 5 0 -
FW 9 Diogo Ruiseu (30) 5 1 1
FW 7 Isida Masatosi (31) 3 1 -
FW 11 Eomwonsang (26) 3 1 -
FW 99 Yuganghyeon 2 0 -
MF 10 Jumingyu (36) 5 0 -
MF 8 Pereiraui Biktoreu Bopseu (26) 5 0 1
MF 30 Gimbongsu (27) 5 0 1
MF 19 Seojinsu (26) 4 2 -
MF 6 Gangyunseong (29) 3 0 -
MF 70 Gimhyeonuk (31) 2 0 -
MF 20 Ihyeonsik (30) 1 0 -
DF 33 Gimmunhwan (31) 5 0 1
DF 77 Joao Victor Lima Ferreira (27) 5 0 1
DF 44 Isunmin (32) 4 0 1
DF 45 Hachangrae (32) 4 1 2
DF 3 Gimmindeok (30) 3 0 1
DF 23 Seoyeongjae (31) 2 0 -
DF 2 Bakgyuhyeon 2 0 -
DF 16 Imyeongjae (33) 1 0 -
DF 98 Anton Keuribocheukeu (28) 1 0 -
GK 1 Ichanggeun (33) 5 0 -

Incheon

19 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 11 Gerso Fernandes (35) 5 0 -
FW 72 Chung-Yong Lee (38) 5 0 1
FW 9 Stefan Mugosa (34) 5 4 -
FW 23 Jeongchiin (29) 4 0 2
FW 10 Dong-Ryul Lee (26) 4 0 -
FW 99 Morgan Ferrier (32) 2 0 1
FW 77 Bakseungho (23) 2 0 -
FW 19 Bakhomin (25) 1 0 -
MF 7 Ohuseong (27) 5 1 -
MF 5 Imyeongju (36) 5 0 -
MF 15 Jae-Min Seo (23) 5 1 -
MF 8 Ikereu Undabarena (31) 3 0 1
MF 99 Jonghwan Yun (53) 0 0 -
DF 32 Ju-Yong Lee (34) 5 0 -
DF 39 Gimmyeongseon (26) 5 0 1
DF 2 Ibija (31) 5 0 3
DF 4 Gimgeonhwi (24) 4 0 1
DF 27 Yeoseungwon (26) 2 0 -
GK 1 Dong-Heon Kim (29) 5 0 -

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Both teams have displayed inconsistency, with similar recent form (2W-1D-2L in last 5).

Match Outlook

Head-to-head history shows a high rate of draws and tightly contested matches.

Team Status

Neither side has a decisive home or away advantage, and both struggle defensively.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win30.0%
Draw40.0%
Away win30.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw100%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. However, the analysis data favours a different outcome — treat this match as uncertain.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

63%

Prediction: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

  • Both teams have displayed inconsistency, with similar recent form (2W-1D-2L in last 5).
  • Head-to-head history shows a high rate of draws and tightly contested matches.
  • Neither side has a decisive home or away advantage, and both struggle defensively.
Read full reasoning

Given the even recent form and goal metrics, as well as a history of closely matched encounters, a draw is the most likely result. Daejeon's slight home advantage is offset by their inability to hold leads, while Incheon’s away form is steady but not dominant. Key attackers on both sides are in decent shape, but defensive vulnerabilities suggest both will concede. With historical data showing frequent draws and no significant player absences, a 1-1 draw is a logical prediction.

Claude · Forecast 2

42%

Prediction: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

  • Both teams show mixed form with 2W-1D-2L in recent fixtures, indicating inconsistency
  • Head-to-head history heavily favors draws (17 of ~50 matches), with recent trend continuing this pattern
  • Daejeon's weak away record (1-3-4) vs Incheon's marginally better away form (3-3-3) suggests visiting team at disadvantage
  • Incheon missing key defender Lee Tae-hee (ACL injury) weakens defensive structure
  • Both teams vulnerable defensively, conceding regularly - expect open match with multiple goal opportunities
Read full reasoning

Given the data from June 2024, this fixture between Daejeon (away) and Incheon appears highly competitive with significant draw probability. Both teams demonstrate inconsistent form (2W-1D-2L in last 5 games) and their historical head-to-head record shows 17 draws in ~50 matches, suggesting structural tactical balance. Daejeon's poor away record (1W-3D-4L) is concerning, but Incheon's defensive vulnerabilities (missing Lee Tae-hee to ACL injury, 21 goals conceded in 17 games) provide attacking opportunities. The xG differential is minimal (Daejeon 1.23 vs Incheon 1.15 per game), and both sides show defensive fragility. However, given historical patterns and current form instability, a low-scoring draw remains the most probable outcome with modest confidence due to data recency limitations for a November 2026 fixture.

Gemini · Forecast 3

65%

Prediction: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

  • Both teams have identical recent records of two wins and two losses in their last five matches.
  • Historical head-to-head data shows a high frequency of draws, including their most recent meeting in March 2024.
  • Defensive metrics (xGA) for both sides are high, suggesting neither team is likely to keep a clean sheet.
Read full reasoning

Daejeon Hana Citizen and Incheon United are closely matched in the mid-table, with Incheon holding a slight defensive advantage. Incheon has conceded 21 goals compared to Daejeon's 24, but Daejeon's home form (3-3-3) provides enough of a cushion to offset Incheon's marginally better overall standing. The tactical battle will likely center on Incheon's Stefan Mugoša versus Daejeon's offensive duo of Leandro and Tiago Orobó. Statistically, both teams struggle to hold leads; Daejeon frequently scores first but fails to secure the win, while Incheon's away form is remarkably consistent with their home form. Neither side possesses the defensive consistency required to shut out the other, leading to a likely split of points.

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