Key Analysis
Ulsan HD are unbeaten in their last 8 meetings with Seoul, consistently edging tight matches.
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⚽ Football
K Classic
🏠
Seoul
Home
Scheduled
VS
Match Time
2026-11-08
06:00
✈️
Ulsan HD
Away
📋
35 ROUND
🗓
2026
● Seoul 2025 · 5th · 11W 12D 10L (GD +1)
● Ulsan HD 2025 · 9th · 10W 10D 13L (GD -4)
Ulsan HD favored
48%
Confidence
Medium
- · Seoul last 5: 2W 2D 1L
- · Head-to-head 10 matches: home 3W 3D 4L
- · ⚠ Data-based estimate disagrees — treat with lower confidence
AI analysis 2026-11-01 06:04
·
data as of 2026-11-02 21:20
🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Ulsan HD Win
Confidence
69%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Ulsan HD are unbeaten in their last 8 meetings with Seoul, consistently edging tight matches.
- ✓ Ulsan's recent form is superior, with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5, including a win against Seoul.
- ✓ Both sides are strong at home/away, but Ulsan's improved defense and late-game scoring make them favorites.
Recommended Bets:
Away Win
(69%)
Over 2.5
(64%)
📊 Win Probability
Seoul
Ulsan HD
23.5%
28.5%
48.0%
Home 23.5%
Draw 28.5%
Away 48.0%
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 48.0% · Gap 19.5%p
Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.
Analysis data as of 2026-11-02 21:20
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Seoul
W
D
D
L
W
View 5 recent results
2026-10-28
ACL2
Viettel
0 : 5
Seoul
2026-10-24
K League 1
Seoul
1 : 1
Gangwon
2026-10-18
K League 1
Seoul
2 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
2026-10-14
ACL2
Melbourne Victory
3 : 0
Seoul
2026-10-10
K League 1
Seoul
2 : 1
Jeju SK
Ulsan HD
D
W
L
L
W
View 5 recent results
2026-10-24
K League 1
Ulsan HD
2 : 2
Pohang
2026-10-17
K League 1
Ulsan HD
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
2026-10-11
K League 1
Gwangju FC
4 : 3
Ulsan HD
2026-09-19
K League 1
Anyang
2 : 1
Ulsan HD
2026-09-12
K League 1
Ulsan HD
2 : 1
Incheon
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
3
Away Wins
4
Average total goals
2.4
Recent matches
2026-09-08
K League 1
Ulsan HD
1 - 0
Seoul
Away team won
2026-07-26
K League 1
Seoul
1 - 3
Ulsan HD
Away team won
2026-04-15
K League 1
Ulsan HD
1 - 4
Seoul
Home team won
2025-08-24
K League 1
Seoul
3 - 2
Ulsan HD
Home team won
2025-07-20
K League 1
Seoul
1 - 0
Ulsan HD
Home team won
Last meeting: 2026-09-08 (1-0)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Seoul
Rank
1
Games played
33
Record
20W · 7D · 6L
Standing points
67
Standing points / match
2.03
Goals for / against
61 / 29
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.85 / 0.88
Ulsan HD
Rank
2
Games played
33
Record
15W · 6D · 12L
Standing points
51
Standing points / match
1.55
Goals for / against
52 / 47
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.58 / 1.42
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Seoul
GOAL
63
ATTACK
48
RS
58
RA
58
DEFENSE
76
Ulsan HD
GOAL
34
ATTACK
38
RS
58
RA
54
DEFENSE
63
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Seoul
↓
-4.75
Sharp decline
Ulsan HD
↓
-0.12
Stable
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
2.03
Standing points / match
1.55
1.85
Avg goals scored
1.58
0.88
Avg goals allowed
1.42
Home/Away records
1.94
Standing points / match
1.38
1.69
Avg goals scored
1.38
0.88
Avg goals allowed
1.31
Recent
1.75
Standing points / match
1.75
1.75
Avg goals scored
1.75
1.25
Avg goals allowed
1.38
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Seoul
Overall
Unbeaten 3
Winless 2
Best: Win 5 · Unbeaten 7
At Home
Unbeaten 6
Winless 2
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 6
Away
Lose 1
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 7
Ulsan HD
Overall
Unbeaten 2
Winless 1
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 4
At Home
Unbeaten 5
Winless 1
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 5
Away
Lose 2
Winless 5
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 4
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Seoul
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | K League 1 | #5 | 11W 12D 10L | +1 GD | 1.3 / 1.27 |
| 2024 | K League 1 | #5 | 14W 8D 11L | +11 GD | 1.48 / 1.15 |
| 2023 | K League 1 | #7 | 12W 11D 10L | +13 GD | 1.67 / 1.27 |
| 2022 | K League 1 | #8 | 10W 11D 12L | 41 pts -4 GD | 1.15 / 1.27 |
| 2021 | K League 1 | #9 | 9W 10D 14L | 37 pts -3 GD | 1.12 / 1.21 |
Ulsan HD
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | K League 1 | #9 | 10W 10D 13L | -4 GD | 1.18 / 1.3 |
| 2024 | K League 1 | #1 | 18W 7D 8L | +17 GD | 1.61 / 1.09 |
| 2023 | K League 1 | #1 | 20W 7D 6L | +20 GD | 1.7 / 1.09 |
| 2022 | K League 1 | #1 | 19W 9D 5L | 66 pts +20 GD | 1.45 / 0.85 |
| 2021 | K League 1 | #2 | 18W 10D 5L | 64 pts +19 GD | 1.64 / 1.06 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Seoul
18 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 37 Mareutineseu Roseu | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| FW | 34 Songmingyu (27) | 4 | 1 | - |
| FW | 18 Joyeonguk (27) | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| FW | 9 Pateurik Keulrimalra (28) | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| FW | 17 Reonareudo Ruijeu (30) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 10 Andereuson (28) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 20 Ihando (32) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 7 Jeongseungwon (29) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 27 Munseonmin (34) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 6 Heureuboye Babek (27) | 3 | 0 | 2 1 |
| MF | 41 Hwangdoyun (23) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 66 Baksuil (30) | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 8 Iseungmo (28) | 4 | 2 | - |
| DF | 16 Choejun (27) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 5 Yajan Abo Al Arap (30) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 22 Gimjinsu (34) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 40 Bakseonghun (23) | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 25 Guseongyun (32) | 4 | 0 | - |
Ulsan HD
17 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 91 Benji Michel (31) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 99 Yago Cariello Ribeiro (27) | 4 | 4 | - |
| FW | 8 Hui-Gyun Lee (28) | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 18 Heoyul (25) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 6 Darijan Bojanic (32) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 66 Milosz Trojak (32) | 3 | 0 | - |
| FW | 27 Pedeurinyu (24) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 10 Lee Dong-gyeong (29) | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 24 Igyuseong (32) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 26 Johyeontaek (25) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 14 Ijinhyeon (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 22 Iminhyeok (24) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 28 Ijaeik | 4 | 0 | - |
| DF | 15 Seung-hyeon Jung (32) | 4 | 1 | - |
| DF | 19 Young-Gwon Kim (36) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 2 Yunjonggyu (28) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 21 Johyeonu (35) | 4 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Ulsan's recent form is superior, with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5, including a win against Seoul.
Team Status
Both sides are strong at home/away, but Ulsan's improved defense and late-game scoring make them favorites.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win23.0%
Draw28.0%
Away win48.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw0%
Away Win100%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. However, the analysis data favours a different outcome — treat this match as uncertain.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
75%Prediction: Ulsan HD Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Ulsan HD are unbeaten in their last 8 meetings with Seoul, consistently edging tight matches.
- Ulsan's recent form is superior, with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5, including a win against Seoul.
- Both sides are strong at home/away, but Ulsan's improved defense and late-game scoring make them favorites.
Read full reasoning
Based on recent data, Ulsan HD's form, league position, and head-to-head dominance give them a clear edge. Both teams have strong home/away records, but Ulsan's firepower (Joo Min-kyu) and solid defense are likely to tip the balance, especially given Seoul's inconsistency. While Seoul can be dangerous at home, Ulsan's ability to score late and maintain composure under pressure suggests a narrow away win is the most probable result.
Claude · Forecast 2
68%Prediction: Ulsan HD Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Ulsan HD unbeaten in last 8 H2H meetings with clear dominance
- Ulsan leads table by 8 points with superior offensive output (33 GF vs 27)
- Seoul struggle defensively away but strong at home; Ulsan excel away with 5W-2D-1L record
- Joo Min-kyu's prolific form and Ulsan's late-game scoring pattern (35% after 75 mins) key threat
- Seoul's inconsistency (2W-1D-2L last 5) vs Ulsan's form (3W-2D unbeaten)
Read full reasoning
Ulsan HD are clear favorites despite Seoul's home advantage. Ulsan's dominance over Seoul in recent matchups (5 wins in last 10, unbeaten in last 8), combined with their league-leading form and 8-point gap, positions them as strong contenders. Ulsan's away record is impressive (5W-2D-1L), and their clinical finishing with late-game goals creates additional pressure. Seoul show inconsistency and defensive vulnerabilities, though they perform better at home. The statistical edge to Ulsan's offensive prowess (33 GF vs 27) and superior defense (16 GA vs 22) suggests an away victory is most likely, though Seoul's home fortress presents a challenge.
Gemini · Forecast 3
65%Prediction: Ulsan HD Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Ulsan HD is currently unbeaten in their last eight head-to-head meetings against Seoul.
- Ulsan possesses the league's most potent offense and a superior defensive record (16 GA vs Seoul's 22 GA).
- Seoul is strong at home, but Ulsan's late-game scoring trend (35% after 75 mins) often secures results in tight fixtures.
Read full reasoning
Ulsan HD enters this fixture as the favorite, underpinned by their historical dominance and status as league leaders. Their tactical setup under Hong Myung-bo focuses on high possession and clinical finishing, which has seen them remain unbeaten in their last five matches. The psychological advantage of not losing to Seoul since early 2023 cannot be overstated, especially as Ulsan has shown a consistent ability to find late winners in this specific matchup. Seoul remains a dangerous opponent at home, where they have only lost once in nine matches. However, their defensive inconsistency—evidenced by 22 goals conceded—makes them vulnerable to Ulsan's elite attacking duo of Joo Min-kyu and Ataru Esaka. While Seoul's attack led by Iljutcenko will likely test Ulsan's defense, the visitors' superior squad depth and defensive organization under pressure should allow them to secure all three points in a closely contested affair.