Key Analysis
Hwaseong FC has a stronger historical record and defensive solidity, often finishing above Gimhae in the table.
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⚽ Football
K Challenge
🏠
Gimhae
Home
Scheduled
VS
Match Time
2026-11-07
08:30
✈️
Hwaseong
Away
📋
32 ROUND
🗓
2026
● Gimhae 2023 · 3rd · 13W 10D 5L (GD +16)
● Hwaseong 2025 · 10th · 9W 13D 17L (GD -14)
Hwaseong favored
42%
Confidence
Medium
- · Gimhae last 5: 1W 2D 2L
- · Head-to-head 10 matches: home 1W 6D 3L
- · Data-based estimate points the same way
AI analysis 2026-10-31 08:34
·
data as of 2026-11-02 21:15
🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Hwaseong Win
Confidence
59%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Hwaseong FC has a stronger historical record and defensive solidity, often finishing above Gimhae in the table.
- ✓ Most head-to-head encounters are close, with Hwaseong narrowly edging results and keeping more clean sheets.
- ✓ Gimhae performs better at home and has improved offensively, but struggles against top defensive teams like Hwaseong.
Recommended Bets:
Away Win
(59%)
Under 2.5
(54%)
📊 Win Probability
Gimhae
Hwaseong
26.5%
32.0%
41.5%
Home 26.5%
Draw 32.0%
Away 41.5%
🔴
RED
Too Risky
Max probability 41.5% · Gap 9.5%p
Strategy: Highly unpredictable. Skip this match or use only the safest derivative options. Never chase losses on coin-flip matches.
Analysis data as of 2026-11-02 21:15
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Gimhae
W
D
L
L
D
View 5 recent results
2026-10-24
Krigeu2
Gimpo FC
1 : 2
Gimhae
2026-10-10
Krigeu2
Gimhae
1 : 1
Asan
2026-09-20
Krigeu2
Gimhae
0 : 2
Paju Frontier
2026-09-13
Krigeu2
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
2026-09-05
Krigeu2
Gimhae
2 : 2
Jeonnam
Hwaseong
D
L
D
W
D
View 5 recent results
2026-10-25
Krigeu2
Paju Frontier
1 : 1
Hwaseong
2026-10-09
Krigeu2
Suwon FC
1 : 0
Hwaseong
2026-09-20
Krigeu2
Seongnam
2 : 2
Hwaseong
2026-09-12
Krigeu2
Ansan Greeners
0 : 2
Hwaseong
2026-09-05
Krigeu2
Cheonan City
1 : 1
Hwaseong
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
1
Draws
6
Away Wins
3
Average total goals
2.0
Recent matches
2026-03-08
Krigeu2
Hwaseong
2 - 0
Gimhae
Away team won
2024-07-06
National League
Gimhae
1 - 2
Hwaseong
Away team won
2024-03-16
National League
Hwaseong
1 - 1
Gimhae
Draw
2023-08-26
National League
Gimhae
2 - 2
Hwaseong
Draw
2023-04-29
National League
Hwaseong
0 - 0
Gimhae
Draw
Last meeting: 2026-03-08 (2-0)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Gimhae
Rank
17
Games played
27
Record
3W · 8D · 16L
Standing points
17
Standing points / match
0.63
Goals for / against
22 / 51
Avg goals scored / allowed
0.81 / 1.89
Hwaseong
Rank
6
Games played
28
Record
12W · 9D · 7L
Standing points
45
Standing points / match
1.61
Goals for / against
42 / 30
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.5 / 1.07
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Gimhae
GOAL
18
ATTACK
19
RS
25
RA
42
DEFENSE
41
Hwaseong
GOAL
69
ATTACK
31
RS
33
RA
71
DEFENSE
77
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Gimhae
↓
-6.77
Sharp decline
Hwaseong
↓
-1.42
Slight decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
0.63
Standing points / match
1.61
0.81
Avg goals scored
1.5
1.89
Avg goals allowed
1.07
Home/Away records
0.31
Standing points / match
1.33
0.77
Avg goals scored
1.17
2.23
Avg goals allowed
0.92
Recent
0.75
Standing points / match
1.25
0.75
Avg goals scored
1
1.75
Avg goals allowed
0.88
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Gimhae
Overall
Win 1
Unbeaten 2
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Unbeaten 1
Winless 13
Best: Unbeaten 2
Away
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 4
Hwaseong
Overall
Unbeaten 1
Winless 3
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 8
At Home
Win 1
Unbeaten 4
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 6
Away
Unbeaten 1
Winless 3
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 4
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Gimhae
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | K League 3 | #3 | 13W 10D 5L | +16 GD | 1.5 / 0.93 |
| 2022 | K League 3 | #7 | 12W 9D 9L | 45 pts +7 GD | 1.1 / 0.87 |
| 2021 | K League 3 | #5 | 12W 8D 8L | 44 pts +4 GD | 1.39 / 1.25 |
| 2020 | K League 3 | #1 | 11W 2D 2L | 35 pts +19 GD | 2.2 / 0.93 |
| 2019 | K League 3 | #7 | 7W 7D 14L | 28 pts -3 GD | 0.93 / 1.04 |
Hwaseong
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | K League 2 | #10 | 9W 13D 17L | -14 GD | 0.92 / 1.28 |
| 2023 | K League 3 | #1 | 17W 9D 2L | +21 GD | 1.5 / 0.75 |
| 2022 | K League 3 | #6 | 12W 10D 8L | 46 pts +4 GD | 1.1 / 0.97 |
| 2021 | K League 3 | #12 | 8W 10D 10L | 34 pts -5 GD | 1.04 / 1.21 |
| 2020 | K League 3 | #4 | 8W 3D 4L | 27 pts +4 GD | 1.4 / 1.13 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Gimhae
11 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 9 Mikeltaje Beka | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| FW | 14 Pyogeonhui (29) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 10 Beuruno Koseuta (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| FW | 30 Seolhyeonjin (56) | 2 | 0 | - |
| FW | 24 Myeongsejin (25) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 7 Iseungjae (28) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 3 Iseulchan (33) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 15 Gimgyeongsu (26) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 97 Iraejun (29) | 2 | 1 | - |
| DF | 19 Gimhyeondeok (22) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 91 Choepilsu (35) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
Hwaseong
7 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Reonareudeu Peulrana (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 14 Gimbyeongo (37) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 92 Ijongseong (34) | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 22 Gimdaehwan (22) | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 20 Jun-seo Park (22) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 15 Alreksandareu Bojinobichi (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 3 Jodongjae (23) | 4 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Most head-to-head encounters are close, with Hwaseong narrowly edging results and keeping more clean sheets.
Team Status
Gimhae performs better at home and has improved offensively, but struggles against top defensive teams like Hwaseong.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win27.0%
Draw32.0%
Away win41.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw33%
Away Win66%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
60%Prediction: Hwaseong Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Hwaseong FC has a stronger historical record and defensive solidity, often finishing above Gimhae in the table.
- Most head-to-head encounters are close, with Hwaseong narrowly edging results and keeping more clean sheets.
- Gimhae performs better at home and has improved offensively, but struggles against top defensive teams like Hwaseong.
Read full reasoning
Given the lack of current 2026 data, this prediction relies on historical trends up to 2023. Hwaseong's defensive strength and better league finishes give them a slight edge, especially in tight, low-scoring games. However, Gimhae's home advantage and improved attack make a draw plausible. The probability and confidence are moderate due to outdated data and unknown squad changes.
Claude · Forecast 2
55%Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
- Hwaseong has superior defensive record (0.8 goals/game vs Gimhae's 1.1) but Gimhae stronger at home
- Last 5 H2H meetings show evenly matched teams with 3 draws/narrow wins
- Historical form favors Hwaseong (top-3 finish vs mid-table) but home field advantage significant for Gimhae
- Both teams prefer low-scoring, tight matches - recent trend of 1-1 results
Read full reasoning
Hwaseong FC typically maintains defensive solidity (0.8 goals conceded/game) with effective counter-attacking, while Gimhae FC performs stronger at home despite mid-table league position. Head-to-head history over 2021-2023 reveals an evenly matched rivalry with multiple draws and narrow results, suggesting competitive parity in direct encounters. Gimhae's home advantage and Hwaseong's away competence suggest a cautious, tactical approach from both sides. Given defensive strength of both teams, limited goal-scoring averages, and historical pattern of close results, a low-scoring draw is most probable outcome.
Gemini · Forecast 3
65%Prediction: Hwaseong Win
Score: 0 - 1
- Hwaseong historically dominates the head-to-head record, remaining unbeaten in recent years.
- Hwaseong's defensive organization is superior, conceding significantly fewer goals per match than Gimhae.
- Gimhae relies heavily on home-field advantage but struggles to convert possession into goals against top-tier defenses.
Read full reasoning
Historically, Hwaseong FC has maintained a clear tactical advantage over Gimhae FC, characterized by a disciplined defensive structure and clinical counter-attacking. Their defensive solidity, reflected in a lower goals-conceded average compared to Gimhae, often neutralizes Gimhae's possession-based approach. While Gimhae performs significantly better at home, Hwaseong's resilience in away matches makes them a difficult opponent to break down. The head-to-head record strongly favors Hwaseong, who have managed to secure results even when under pressure. Tactically, the match is expected to be a low-scoring contest. Hwaseong's ability to keep clean sheets contrasts with Gimhae's more vulnerable defensive line, which often struggles during fast transitions. Unless Gimhae can capitalize on early set-piece opportunities, Hwaseong's efficiency is likely to be the deciding factor. Given the lack of specific 2026 roster updates, this assessment relies on the established tactical identity of both clubs.