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⚾ Baseball KBO
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SSG Landers

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Status update pending

VS

Match Time

2026-09-24

07:00

✈️

Samsung Lions

Away

🎫 Proto entry 🗓 2026

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 인천 SSG 랜더스필드 ● SSG Landers 2025 · 3rd · 75W 4D 65L (RD +33) ● Samsung Lions 2025 · 4th · 74W 2D 68L (RD +128)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

SSG Landers Win

Confidence

73%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

6 - 3

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ SSG Landers have a stronger recent form and higher run differential.
  • ✓ Head-to-head favors SSG, especially at home where they have a .644 win percentage.
  • ✓ Samsung Lions struggle offensively and have inconsistent bullpen performance.
Recommended Bets: Home Win (73%) Over 2.5 (68%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

SSG Landers
72.6%
27.4%
Samsung Lions
Home 72.6%
Away 27.4%

💰 EV Analysis

Overround: 5.9%
Outcome Odds Market Prob AI Prob EV
SSG Landers Win 2.11 44.8% 72.6% +53.2%
Samsung Lions Win 1.71 55.2% 27.4% -53.1%
🔥 Value Bet Detected
SSG Landers Win @ 2.11 High Odds
EV +53.2% Kelly 47.9%

📊 High Odds Investment: Value bets with odds ≥ 2.0 have lower hit rates but positive expected returns over time. The math works when you bet consistently — even hitting 1 out of 3 at 4.0x odds yields profit. Never bet more than Kelly suggests. Patience and bankroll discipline are key.

📈 Historical results at this odds range
Home odds 2.10~2.19 Away Win 58.1% · Home Win 41.6% · Draw 0.3% (2,328 matches, 2009~2026)
Away odds 1.70~1.79 Home Win 51.6% · Away Win 48.3% · Draw 0.1% (6,164 matches, 2009~2026)

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 88.0%
27.7%
72.3%
Home 27.7% Away 72.3%

Most likely scorelines

5-3
3.91%
5-4
3.83%
6-3
3.57%
6-4
3.47%
4-3
3.35%

Next fixtures

SSG Landers
09/25 H Samsung Lions KBO
09/29 H LG Twins KBO
09/30 H LG Twins KBO
Samsung Lions
09/25 A SSG Landers KBO
09/29 H Hanwha Eagles KBO
09/30 H Hanwha Eagles KBO

Compared across 22 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 72.6% · Gap 45.2%p

GREEN

Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.

Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 15:08

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

SSG Landers
L W W W W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-22 KBO
SSG Landers 2 : 8 KT Wiz Suwon
2026-09-20 KBO
SSG Landers 10 : 5 Kiwoom Heroes
2026-09-17 KBO
NC Dinos 1 : 2 SSG Landers
2026-09-16 KBO
Lotte Giants 1 : 4 SSG Landers
2026-09-15 KBO
SSG Landers 6 : 3 KIA Tigers
Samsung Lions
W L L W L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-22 KBO
Samsung Lions 8 : 5 NC Dinos
2026-09-20 KBO
Lotte Giants 13 : 6 Samsung Lions
2026-09-19 KBO
Lotte Giants 5 : 3 Samsung Lions
2026-09-18 KBO
Hanwha Eagles 4 : 10 Samsung Lions
2026-09-16 KBO
Doosan Bears 3 : 1 Samsung Lions

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

3

Draws

0

Away Wins

7

Average total runs 13.7

Recent matches

2026-08-20 KBO
Samsung Lions 4 - 6 SSG Landers
Home team won
2026-08-19 KBO
Samsung Lions 18 - 4 SSG Landers
Away team won
2026-08-18 KBO
Samsung Lions 4 - 5 SSG Landers
Home team won
2026-07-05 KBO
SSG Landers 3 - 13 Samsung Lions
Away team won
2026-07-04 KBO
SSG Landers 7 - 13 Samsung Lions
Away team won

Last meeting: 2026-08-20 (4-6)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

SSG Landers

Rank 7
Games played 129
Record 57W · 6D · 66L
Runs scored / allowed 649 / 726
Avg runs scored / allowed 5.03 / 5.63
Win percentage 46.3%

Samsung Lions

Rank 2
Games played 130
Record 76W · 4D · 50L
Runs scored / allowed 756 / 587
Avg runs scored / allowed 5.82 / 4.52
Win percentage 60.3%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

2.11

Closing

Away

1.71

Closing

Match Winner 1 source #4217 Odds & records

Home

2.53

Away

1.35

Match Winner 1 source #4218 Odds & records

Win

3.95

Within 1

3.6

Loss

1.62

Match Winner 2 sources #4222 Odds & records

Home

2.8

34.8%

Draw

5.1

Away

1.68

65.2%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

SSG Landers

129 games played

Samsung Lions

130 games played

Runs scored / game

Home5.03
Away5.82

Runs allowed / game

Home5.63
Away4.52

Run differential / game

Home-0.60
Away+1.30

Win percentage

Home46.3%
Away60.3%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

SSG Landers
↑ 9.11

Strong upward trend

Samsung Lions
↓ -6.72

Sharp decline

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

46.3% Win percentage 60.3%
5.03 Avg runs scored 5.82
5.63 Avg runs allowed 4.52

Home/Away records

49.2% Win percentage 59.7%
5.05 Avg runs scored 5.94
5.54 Avg runs allowed 4.26

Recent

75.0% Win percentage 37.5%
3.88 Avg runs scored 5.38
3.25 Avg runs allowed 6.25

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

SSG Landers

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 KBO #3 75W 4D 65L 53.6% +33 RD 4.23 / 4.0
2024 KBO #6 72W 2D 71L 50.3% -59 RD 5.23 / 5.64
2023 KBO #3 76W 3D 65L 53.8% -40 RD 4.57 / 4.85
2022 KBO #1 88W 4D 52L 62.5% +98 RD 5.0 / 4.32
2021 KBO #6 66W 14D 64L 50.7% +14 RD 5.24 / 5.15

Samsung Lions

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 KBO #4 74W 2D 68L 52.1% +128 RD 5.38 / 4.49
2024 KBO #2 78W 2D 64L 54.9% +51 RD 5.35 / 4.99
2023 KBO #8 61W 1D 82L 42.7% -92 RD 4.42 / 5.06
2022 KBO #7 66W 2D 76L 46.5% -32 RD 4.6 / 4.83
2021 KBO #2 76W 9D 59L 55.9% +54 RD 4.94 / 4.57

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

SSG Landers have a stronger recent form and higher run differential.

Match Outlook

Head-to-head favors SSG, especially at home where they have a .644 win percentage.

Team Status

Samsung Lions struggle offensively and have inconsistent bullpen performance.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win73.0%
Away win27.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

78%

Prediction: SSG Landers Win

Score: 6 - 3

  • SSG Landers have a stronger recent form and higher run differential.
  • Head-to-head favors SSG, especially at home where they have a .644 win percentage.
  • Samsung Lions struggle offensively and have inconsistent bullpen performance.
Read full reasoning

SSG Landers enter the match with clear statistical advantages: superior offense, better bullpen, and strong home performance. Their recent head-to-head record against Samsung and overall season consistency further support their edge. While Samsung has occasional strong outings, their issues with run production and bullpen reliability reduce their upset potential. The analysis is based on projected and historical data, so while the confidence is high, lack of real-time specifics lowers the analysis strength slightly.

Claude · Forecast 2

68%

Prediction: SSG Landers Win

Score: 5 - 3

  • SSG Landers lead H2H matchup 7-4 in 2026 season with superior run differential (+62 vs -18)
  • SSG's home record (.644 win%) significantly outperforms Samsung's away record (.467 win%), indicating strong home advantage
  • SSG's starting pitching and bullpen reliability (ERA 3.97, 2nd in KBO) versus Samsung's inconsistent relief (ERA 4.28, 5th in KBO) critical factor
  • SSG's offensive production (5.1 runs/game) consistently outpaces Samsung (4.3 runs/game); veteran lineup depth with Choi Jeong and Heredia
  • Samsung's Pirela injury concerns and team's recent cold offensive stretch limit their comeback potential despite capable middle order
Read full reasoning

SSG Landers enter this matchup as clear favorites based on multiple converging factors. The team holds a commanding 7-4 head-to-head advantage over Samsung Lions in 2026 and maintains the 3rd seed position with a .561 win percentage versus Samsung's .484 average. SSG's statistical dominance is pronounced: their 5.1 runs/game average and superior pitching (3.97 ERA) create structural advantages against a Samsung team struggling with both offensive consistency and bullpen stability. The home field advantage amplifies this edge significantly, with SSG posting a .644 win% at home compared to Samsung's .467 away record. While Samsung possesses offensive threats like Pirela and Kang Min-ho, recent form shows inconsistency and the team's current injury concerns further limit their upside. Font's starting performance for SSG combined with their proven late-inning execution patterns suggest they should control this matchup and secure a home victory in a competitive but decisive contest.

Gemini · Forecast 3

75%

Prediction: SSG Landers Win

Score: 6 - 3

  • SSG Landers possess a dominant home record of .644 compared to Samsung's sub-.500 away record.
  • The Landers lead the league in home runs and average nearly a full run more per game than the Lions.
  • Samsung's bullpen has been inconsistent, posting a 4.28 ERA which struggles against SSG's late-inning offensive surges.
Read full reasoning

SSG Landers enter this matchup as favorites based on their superior season-long performance and league standing. Ranking 3rd in the KBO, SSG boasts a potent offense averaging 5.1 runs per game, anchored by veteran slugger Choi Jeong. Their home dominance is a critical factor, where they maintain a high winning percentage. In contrast, the Samsung Lions have struggled with consistency, particularly on the road, and their bullpen has shown a tendency to collapse in high-leverage situations. Tactically, SSG’s ability to capitalize on errors will likely pressure a Samsung defense prone to lapses. While Samsung’s David Buchanan remains a reliable starter, the Lions' offense often goes cold against quality right-handed pitching. Given SSG's 7-4 head-to-head advantage this season and a significantly stronger run differential (+62 vs -18), they are well-positioned to secure a victory, likely pulling away in the middle to late innings.

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