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⚾ Baseball KBO
🏠

Samsung Lions

Home

Scheduled

VS

Match Time

2026-11-08

05:00

✈️

KT Wiz Suwon

Away

🎫 Proto entry 📋 Final - Fifth leg 🗓 2026
● Samsung Lions 2025 · 4th · 74W 2D 68L (RD +128) ● KT Wiz Suwon 2025 · 6th · 71W 5D 68L (RD -9)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

KT Wiz Suwon Win

Confidence

54%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

4 - 5

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ KT Wiz possess a slightly stronger offense, leading in team AVG, OBP, SLG, and home runs.
  • ✓ Both teams are inconsistent, but KT Wiz have a recent head-to-head edge and better run differential.
  • ✓ Samsung's pitching is solid, but their offense is less reliable compared to KT Wiz's explosive bats.
Recommended Bets: Away Win (54%) Over 2.5 (49%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Samsung Lions
44.9%
55.1%
KT Wiz Suwon
Home 44.9%
Away 55.1%

💰 EV Analysis

Overround: 6.4%
Outcome Odds Market Prob AI Prob EV
Samsung Lions Win +107 45.4% 44.9% -7.1%
KT Wiz Suwon Win -139 54.6% 55.1% -5.2%
No value bets detected for this match
📈 Historical results at this odds range
Home odds 2.00~2.09 Away Win 55.8% · Home Win 44.2% (3,103 matches, 2009~2026)
Away odds 1.70~1.79 Home Win 51.7% · Away Win 48.3% (6,110 matches, 2009~2026)
🟡

Caution

Max probability 55.1% · Gap 10.2%p

YELLOW

Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.

Analysis data as of 2026-11-07 10:03

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Samsung Lions
W W W L W
View 5 recent results
2026-11-07 KBO
Samsung Lions 10 : 5 KT Wiz Suwon
2026-11-06 KBO
Samsung Lions 5 : 1 KT Wiz Suwon
2026-11-04 KBO
KT Wiz Suwon 2 : 3 Samsung Lions
2026-11-03 KBO
KT Wiz Suwon 8 : 7 Samsung Lions
2026-11-01 KBO
Samsung Lions 6 : 1 KIA Tigers
KT Wiz Suwon
L L L W W
View 5 recent results
2026-11-07 KBO
Samsung Lions 10 : 5 KT Wiz Suwon
2026-11-06 KBO
Samsung Lions 5 : 1 KT Wiz Suwon
2026-11-04 KBO
KT Wiz Suwon 2 : 3 Samsung Lions
2026-11-03 KBO
KT Wiz Suwon 8 : 7 Samsung Lions
2026-10-12 KBO
Samsung Lions 2 : 4 KT Wiz Suwon

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

5

Draws

0

Away Wins

5

Average total runs 9.3

Recent matches

2026-11-07 KBO
Samsung Lions 10 - 5 KT Wiz Suwon
Home team won
2026-11-06 KBO
Samsung Lions 5 - 1 KT Wiz Suwon
Home team won
2026-11-04 KBO
KT Wiz Suwon 2 - 3 Samsung Lions
Home team won
2026-11-03 KBO
KT Wiz Suwon 8 - 7 Samsung Lions
Away team won
2026-10-12 KBO
Samsung Lions 2 - 4 KT Wiz Suwon
Away team won

Last meeting: 2026-11-07 (10-5)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Samsung Lions

Rank 2
Games played 142
Record 82W · 4D · 56L
Runs scored / allowed 805 / 655
Avg runs scored / allowed 5.67 / 4.61
Win percentage 59.4%

KT Wiz Suwon

Rank 1
Games played 140
Record 89W · 4D · 47L
Runs scored / allowed 808 / 620
Avg runs scored / allowed 5.77 / 4.43
Win percentage 65.4%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

Moneyline 1 source

Home

+107

Closing

Away

-139

Closing

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Samsung Lions

142 games played

KT Wiz Suwon

140 games played

Runs scored / game

Home5.67
Away5.77

Runs allowed / game

Home4.61
Away4.43

Run differential / game

Home+1.06
Away+1.34

Win percentage

Home59.4%
Away65.4%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Samsung Lions
↑ 3.4

Strong upward trend

KT Wiz Suwon
↑ 7.69

Strong upward trend

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

59.4% Win percentage 65.4%
5.67 Avg runs scored 5.77
4.61 Avg runs allowed 4.43

Home/Away records

59.7% Win percentage 65.2%
5.55 Avg runs scored 5.76
4.9 Avg runs allowed 4.07

Recent

25.0% Win percentage 100.0%
3.13 Avg runs scored 7.25
6.88 Avg runs allowed 2

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Samsung Lions

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 KBO #4 74W 2D 68L 52.1% +128 RD 5.38 / 4.49
2024 KBO #2 78W 2D 64L 54.9% +51 RD 5.35 / 4.99
2023 KBO #8 61W 1D 82L 42.7% -92 RD 4.42 / 5.06
2022 KBO #7 66W 2D 76L 46.5% -32 RD 4.6 / 4.83
2021 KBO #2 76W 9D 59L 55.9% +54 RD 4.94 / 4.57

KT Wiz Suwon

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 KBO #6 71W 5D 68L 51.1% -9 RD 4.5 / 4.56
2024 KBO #5 73W 2D 70L 51.0% -36 RD 5.32 / 5.57
2023 KBO #2 79W 3D 62L 55.9% +56 RD 4.67 / 4.28
2022 KBO #4 80W 2D 62L 56.3% +69 RD 4.38 / 3.9
2021 KBO #1 76W 9D 59L 55.9% +135 RD 4.99 / 4.06

📈 Odds Movement

2 updates · opening vs current

Home

2.07

▲ 0.02 (2.05)

Away

1.72

unchanged

View all 2 updates
Time Home Draw Away Payout
2026-11-07 (17:55) 2.07 45.38% - 1.72 54.62% 93.94%
2026-11-07 (17:45) 2.05 45.62% - 1.72 54.38% 93.53%

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

KT Wiz possess a slightly stronger offense, leading in team AVG, OBP, SLG, and home runs.

Match Outlook

Both teams are inconsistent, but KT Wiz have a recent head-to-head edge and better run differential.

Team Status

Samsung's pitching is solid, but their offense is less reliable compared to KT Wiz's explosive bats.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win32.0%
Draw14.0%
Away win54.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win33%
Draw0%
Away Win66%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

58%

Prediction: KT Wiz Suwon Win

Score: 4 - 5

  • KT Wiz possess a slightly stronger offense, leading in team AVG, OBP, SLG, and home runs.
  • Both teams are inconsistent, but KT Wiz have a recent head-to-head edge and better run differential.
  • Samsung's pitching is solid, but their offense is less reliable compared to KT Wiz's explosive bats.
Read full reasoning

Based on the latest available data, KT Wiz Suwon have a marginal advantage due to their superior offensive metrics and recent head-to-head performance. While Samsung Lions' pitching keeps them competitive, their inconsistency at the plate and tendency to alternate wins and losses present concerns. Both teams are closely matched overall, but KT Wiz's greater run production and clutch hitters give them a slight edge, especially if defensive errors are minimized. Confidence is moderate due to both teams' volatility.

Claude · Forecast 2

52%

Prediction: Samsung Lions Win

Score: 4 - 3

  • Samsung Lions have superior pitching with Buchanan's reliability (3.45 ERA) vs KT Wiz's Cuevas (3.09 ERA) - edge slight to KT but Samsung's bullpen discipline gives home field advantage
  • KT Wiz offensive superiority (.272 AVG vs .265) offset by defensive vulnerabilities (44 errors vs 38) - home crowd pressure can magnify these mistakes
  • Head-to-head shows KT Wiz slight recent edge (3-2 in last 5), but Samsung's home record (14-16) provides marginal advantage; both teams streaky and inconsistent this season
Read full reasoning

This is a highly competitive matchup between two inconsistent mid-table KBO teams separated by minimal statistical gaps. Samsung Lions (6th place, .446 win%) face KT Wiz Suwon (7th place, .431 win%) in a fixture with nearly even historical performance (150 games: ~75-75 split). While KT Wiz demonstrate slightly stronger offensive metrics (4.6 RPG vs 4.3, .410 SLG vs .395) and superior ERA (4.08 vs 4.12), Samsung's home-field advantage combined with more disciplined pitching staff and fewer defensive errors provides a marginal edge. Both teams alternate wins/losses, suggesting momentum is neutral. Recent head-to-head favors KT Wiz 3-2, but home crowd psychology and Samsung's proven bullpen consistency in critical games tip the scales slightly toward the Lions. A low-scoring, tightly-contested affair is expected given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities.

Gemini · Forecast 3

55%

Prediction: KT Wiz Suwon Win

Score: 4 - 5

  • Historical head-to-head record is remarkably even, with a near 50/50 split over the last decade.
  • KT Wiz Suwon maintains a superior offensive profile with higher team slugging and runs per game.
  • Samsung Lions demonstrate better defensive discipline with significantly fewer errors than KT Wiz.
Read full reasoning

The matchup between the Samsung Lions and KT Wiz Suwon is a statistically tight contest between two mid-table teams with nearly identical win percentages. KT Wiz Suwon holds a marginal edge due to their more explosive offensive lineup, led by power hitters like Kang Baek-ho. Their ability to generate runs (4.6 per game) slightly outpaces Samsung's production, which has been hampered by offensive slumps in recent series. However, Samsung's path to victory lies in their defensive stability and bullpen management. While KT Wiz has struggled with defensive errors and bullpen consistency, Samsung has shown more reliability in close-game situations. Despite this, the historical trend and the current offensive metrics suggest that KT Wiz is more likely to overpower Samsung in a high-scoring environment. Expect a close game decided by a single run, where KT Wiz's superior slugging percentage eventually overcomes Samsung's disciplined pitching staff.

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