Key Analysis
Espanyol historically has a strong home record and better goal difference.
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⚽ Football
LALIGA
Espanyol
Home
Final
1
-
3
Elche Win
2026-09-18 18:00
Elche
Away
📋
7 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
🏆
SUMMRIZE
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 RCDE 스타디움
● Espanyol 2025/2026 · 11th · 12W 10D 16L (GD -12)
● Elche 2025/2026 · 15th · 10W 13D 15L (GD -8)
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Espanyol Win
Prediction Missed🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Espanyol Win
Confidence
55%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Espanyol historically has a strong home record and better goal difference.
- ✓ Head-to-head meetings are balanced but Espanyol has secured convincing home wins.
- ✓ Both teams' rosters and form could change by 2026, limiting prediction certainty.
Recommended Bets:
Home Win
(55%)
Over 2.5
(50%)
📊 Win Probability
Espanyol
Elche
45.0%
32.5%
22.5%
Home 45.0%
Draw 32.5%
Away 22.5%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 88.1%
57.5%
35.0%
Home 57.5%
Draw 35.0%
Away 7.5%
Odds movement (open → now)
Home
1.77
→
1.74
▼ 0.03
Draw
3.35
→
3.40
▲ 0.05
Away
3.65
→
3.75
▲ 0.10
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Most likely scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.52%
2-2
6.64%
3-1
6.5%
2-0
6.42%
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Compared across 24 bookmakers.
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 45.0% · Gap 12.5%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:06
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Espanyol
D
L
L
W
D
View 5 recent results
2026-09-07
La Liga
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
2026-08-30
La Liga
Real Sociedad
2 : 1
Espanyol
2026-08-23
La Liga
Espanyol
1 : 2
Real Madrid
2026-08-17
La Liga
Espanyol
3 : 0
Levante
2026-05-24
La Liga
Espanyol
1 : 1
Real Sociedad
Elche
L
L
L
D
D
View 5 recent results
2026-09-08
La Liga
Elche
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
2026-08-29
La Liga
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
2026-08-24
La Liga
Elche
0 : 5
Barcelona
2026-08-18
La Liga
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1
Elche
2026-05-24
La Liga
Girona
1 : 1
Elche
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
5
Away Wins
2
Average total goals
2.8
Recent matches
2026-03-01
La Liga
Elche
2 - 2
Espanyol
Draw
2025-10-25
La Liga
Espanyol
1 - 0
Elche
Home team won
2024-04-28
LaLiga 2
Elche
2 - 2
Espanyol
Draw
2023-11-19
LaLiga 2
Espanyol
2 - 0
Elche
Home team won
2023-02-19
La Liga
Elche
0 - 1
Espanyol
Home team won
Last meeting: 2026-03-01 (2-2)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Espanyol
Rank
12
Games played
4
Record
1W · 1D · 2L
Standing points
4
Standing points / match
1.0
Goals for / against
6 / 5
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.5 / 1.25
Elche
Rank
19
Games played
4
Record
0W · 1D · 3L
Standing points
1
Standing points / match
0.25
Goals for / against
5 / 12
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.25 / 3.0
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Espanyol
GOAL
98
ATTACK
33
RS
50
RA
58
DEFENSE
64
Elche
GOAL
46
ATTACK
36
RS
42
RA
0
DEFENSE
34
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Espanyol
↑
4.41
Strong upward trend
Elche
↓
-2.78
Sharp decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1
Standing points / match
0.25
1.5
Avg goals scored
1.25
1.25
Avg goals allowed
3
Home/Away records
1.33
Standing points / match
0.5
1.67
Avg goals scored
1.5
1
Avg goals allowed
2
Recent
1
Standing points / match
0.25
1.5
Avg goals scored
1.25
1.25
Avg goals allowed
3
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Espanyol
Overall
Unbeaten 1
Winless 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
At Home
Unbeaten 1
Winless 2
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Lose 1
Elche
Overall
Lose 3
Winless 4
Best: Unbeaten 1
At Home
Lose 2
Away
Lose 1
Winless 2
Best: Unbeaten 1
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Espanyol
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | La Liga | #11 | 12W 10D 16L | -12 GD | 1.13 / 1.45 |
| 2024/2025 | La Liga | #14 | 11W 9D 18L | -11 GD | 1.05 / 1.34 |
| 2023/2024 | LaLiga 2 | #4 | 17W 18D 7L | +19 GD | 1.4 / 0.95 |
| 2022/2023 | La Liga | #19 | 8W 13D 17L | 37 pts -17 GD | 1.37 / 1.82 |
| 2021/2022 | La Liga | #14 | 10W 12D 16L | 42 pts -13 GD | 1.05 / 1.39 |
Elche
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | La Liga | #15 | 10W 13D 15L | -8 GD | 1.29 / 1.5 |
| 2024/2025 | LaLiga 2 | #2 | 22W 11D 9L | +25 GD | 1.4 / 0.81 |
| 2023/2024 | LaLiga 2 | #11 | 16W 11D 15L | -3 GD | 1.02 / 1.1 |
| 2022/2023 | La Liga | #20 | 5W 10D 23L | 25 pts -37 GD | 0.79 / 1.76 |
| 2021/2022 | La Liga | #13 | 11W 9D 18L | 42 pts -12 GD | 1.05 / 1.37 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Espanyol
22 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 19 Gareusia Kike (37) | 28 | 6 | 3 |
| FW | 11 Pere Milra (34) | 26 | 6 | 5 1 |
| FW | 7 Jaba Puado (28) Knee Injury31.05.2026 | 10 | 2 | 2 |
| FW | 20 Roka Antoniu Shoulder injury | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 9 Pereunandeseu Jang Robereuto | 29 | 6 | 3 |
| MF | 24 Tairiseu Dolran (25) | 28 | 1 | 6 1 |
| MF | 8 Ekseuposito (30) | 27 | 1 | 6 |
| MF | 10 Pol Rojano (27) | 26 | 1 | 7 |
| MF | 14 Ramon Teracheu (26) | 21 | 1 | - |
| MF | 17 Hopeure (25) | 21 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 18 Chalseu Pikel (29) | 17 | 1 | 3 2 |
| MF | 16 Siril Ongge (26) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 6 Reandeuro Kabeurera (35) | 28 | 3 | 2 |
| DF | 23 Omareu El Hilralri (23) | 27 | 0 | 5 |
| DF | 22 Kareulroseu Romero (56) | 27 | 5 | 3 |
| DF | 4 Ureuko Gonsalreseu (25) | 27 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 5 Pereunando Kalro (31) Injured | 21 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 38 Ridel Keulremenseu | 16 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 2 Ruben Sancheseu (25) | 14 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 15 Migel Rubio (28) | 11 | 1 | - |
| DF | 12 Saelrinaseu Hose | 10 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 13 Mareuko Deumiteurobichi (34) | 29 | 0 | - |
Elche
25 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Gereuman Balrera (24) | 28 | 4 | 3 |
| FW | 20 Alvaro Rodriguez (22) | 25 | 5 | - |
| FW | 10 Rapael Binsenteu Mireu (29) | 24 | 8 | 3 |
| FW | 9 Andeure Miguel Silba (31) Injured | 22 | 7 | 2 |
| MF | 14 Eirikseu Pebaseu (30) | 28 | 2 | 7 |
| MF | 8 Marc Aguado Pallares (26) | 28 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 16 Mareutim Neto (23) | 22 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 19 Geuraedi Diangana (28) | 17 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 17 Josan (37) | 15 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 18 Jon Doneoldeu (26) Injured | 14 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 5 Redondo Solrari Pederiko | 10 | 0 | - |
| MF | 7 Yago Santiago (23) | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 32 Adam Boayar (21) | 7 | 1 | - |
| MF | 24 Sepeda Rukaseu | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 15 Teteu Morenteu (30) | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 12 Gonsalro Bilrareu (28) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 22 Deibideu Eopengeurubeo (25) | 27 | 0 | 6 1 |
| DF | 21 Reo Peteuro (29) | 26 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 23 Biktoreu Chuseuteu Gareusia (26) | 23 | 0 | 8 1 |
| DF | 6 Pedeuro Bigaseu (36) | 21 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 3 Adeuria Pedeurosa (28) | 19 | 1 | 4 |
| DF | 39 Hector Fort (20) | 9 | 1 | - |
| DF | 42 Buba Aboubacar (2026) | 4 | 0 | - |
| GK | 13 Pena Inaki | 16 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Matiaseu Dituro (39) | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Head-to-head meetings are balanced but Espanyol has secured convincing home wins.
Team Status
Both teams' rosters and form could change by 2026, limiting prediction certainty.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win45.0%
Draw33.0%
Away win23.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
60%Prediction: Espanyol Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Espanyol historically has a strong home record and better goal difference.
- Head-to-head meetings are balanced but Espanyol has secured convincing home wins.
- Both teams' rosters and form could change by 2026, limiting prediction certainty.
Read full reasoning
Based on data up to June 2024, Espanyol shows a stronger home performance and higher scoring ability, particularly at home, while Elche tends to keep matches tight but scores less. Head-to-head history reflects several draws, but Espanyol's recent home win (3-0) over Elche gives them an edge. Due to the significant time gap and expected squad changes, confidence is moderate and the analysis strength is low. Closer to the match date, updated form and lineups will be crucial.
Claude · Forecast 2
62%Prediction: Espanyol Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Espanyol's superior home record (13W-4D-4L) provides significant advantage
- Balanced head-to-head history suggests competitive match with slight edge to home side
- Espanyol's stronger defensive record (0.97 GA per game vs Elche's 1.08) suggests controlled victory
- Both teams likely promoted from Segunda by 2026-27; form progression uncertain but Espanyol finished 3rd with +24 GD
- Elche's away struggles (6W-6D-7L) vs Espanyol's home strength indicate home dominance pattern
Read full reasoning
Based on 2023-24 Segunda División data (latest available), Espanyol demonstrates clear home-field superiority with a commanding 13W-4D-4L record at home, compared to Elche's weaker away form (6W-6D-7L). Espanyol's superior goal differential (+24 vs +7) and better offensive output (1.6 vs 1.26 goals per game) suggest a more potent attacking threat. The head-to-head record is balanced with draws and narrow margins, but historical LALIGA meetings show Espanyol's edge in competitive situations. Assuming both clubs achieve promotion to LALIGA by 2026-27, Espanyol's defensive solidity (0.97 GA/game) combined with home advantage likely results in a narrow victory. While confidence is moderate due to the 2+ year gap and inevitable squad changes, the tactical and statistical patterns favor Espanyol with a predicted 2-1 scoreline.
Gemini · Forecast 3
45%Prediction: Espanyol Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Espanyol historically maintains a strong home record at the RCDE Stadium with a higher goal-per-game average.
- Head-to-head history shows a high frequency of draws, indicating very narrow tactical margins between the two clubs.
- Elche demonstrates defensive resilience away from home but has historically struggled with consistent offensive output.
Read full reasoning
Based on the historical data and performance trends up to 2024, Espanyol enters this fixture as the slight favorite due to their superior home form and offensive efficiency. Historically, this matchup is characterized by tactical parity, frequently resulting in draws; however, Espanyol's tendency to outproduce opponents in expected goals (xG) at home gives them the edge. Elche is expected to set up defensively to exploit counter-attacking opportunities, a strategy that has earned them points in previous visits, but they often lack the clinical finishing to overcome Espanyol's backline. Given the match date is in 2026, this assessment relies on established club identities and long-term statistical averages rather than current squad fitness. The prediction favors a narrow home victory in a tightly contested match where home-field advantage proves the deciding factor.