Key Analysis
Real Sociedad finished the 2023-24 season with stronger form and a higher league position than Valencia.
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⚽ Football
LALIGA
Valencia
Home
Final
2
-
3
Real Sociedad Win
2026-09-20 18:00
Real Sociedad
Away
📋
7 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 메스타야
● Valencia 2025/2026 · 9th · 13W 10D 15L (GD -9)
● Real Sociedad 2025/2026 · 10th · 11W 13D 14L (GD -2)
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Real Sociedad Win
Prediction Correct!🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Real Sociedad Win
Confidence
63%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Recent head-to-head history favors low-scoring matches, with Real Sociedad unbeaten in the last three meetings.
- ✓ Real Sociedad's defensive solidity and away results suggest they are well-suited to get a result at Mestalla.
Recommended Bets:
Away Win
(63%)
Under 2.5
(58%)
📊 Win Probability
Valencia
Real Sociedad
23.5%
35.5%
41.0%
Home 23.5%
Draw 35.5%
Away 41.0%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 88.0%
72.0%
16.4%
Home 11.7%
Draw 72.0%
Away 16.4%
Most likely scorelines
0-1
21.05%
0-2
18.04%
0-0
12.13%
0-3
10.32%
1-1
8.05%
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10/11
H
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Compared across 24 bookmakers.
🔴
RED
Too Risky
Max probability 41.0% · Gap 5.5%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:07
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Valencia
L
L
L
L
D
View 5 recent results
2026-09-12
La Liga
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
2026-09-06
La Liga
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
2026-08-31
La Liga
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1
Valencia
2026-08-26
La Liga
Valencia
0 : 1
Betis
2026-08-23
La Liga
Valencia
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
W
D
W
L
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-08
La Liga
Elche
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
2026-09-04
La Liga
Real Sociedad
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
2026-08-30
La Liga
Real Sociedad
2 : 1
Espanyol
2026-08-27
La Liga
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Real Sociedad
2026-08-22
La Liga
Betis
1 : 0
Real Sociedad
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
4
Away Wins
3
Average total goals
1.8
Recent matches
2026-05-18
La Liga
Real Sociedad
3 - 4
Valencia
Home team won
2025-08-17
La Liga
Valencia
1 - 1
Real Sociedad
Draw
2025-01-20
La Liga
Valencia
1 - 0
Real Sociedad
Home team won
2024-09-29
La Liga
Real Sociedad
3 - 0
Valencia
Away team won
2024-05-17
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1 - 0
Valencia
Away team won
Last meeting: 2026-05-18 (3-4)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Valencia
Rank
20
Games played
5
Record
0W · 1D · 4L
Standing points
1
Standing points / match
0.2
Goals for / against
1 / 10
Avg goals scored / allowed
0.2 / 2.0
Real Sociedad
Rank
11
Games played
5
Record
2W · 1D · 2L
Standing points
7
Standing points / match
1.4
Goals for / against
6 / 8
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.2 / 1.6
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Valencia
GOAL
0
ATTACK
0
RS
7
RA
33
DEFENSE
43
Real Sociedad
GOAL
76
ATTACK
38
RS
40
RA
47
DEFENSE
50
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Valencia
↓
-0.39
Stable
Real Sociedad
↓
-3.76
Sharp decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
0.2
Standing points / match
1.4
0.2
Avg goals scored
1.2
2
Avg goals allowed
1.6
Home/Away records
0.33
Standing points / match
1
0
Avg goals scored
1.33
2
Avg goals allowed
2.33
Recent
0.2
Standing points / match
1.4
0.2
Avg goals scored
1.2
2
Avg goals allowed
1.6
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Valencia
Overall
Lose 4
Winless 5
Best: Unbeaten 1
At Home
Lose 2
Winless 3
Best: Unbeaten 1
Away
Lose 2
Real Sociedad
Overall
Win 1
Unbeaten 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Unbeaten 2
Winless 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Valencia
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | La Liga | #9 | 13W 10D 15L | -9 GD | 1.21 / 1.45 |
| 2024/2025 | La Liga | #12 | 11W 13D 14L | -10 GD | 1.16 / 1.42 |
| 2023/2024 | La Liga | #9 | 13W 10D 15L | -5 GD | 1.05 / 1.18 |
| 2022/2023 | La Liga | #16 | 11W 9D 18L | 42 pts -3 GD | 1.11 / 1.18 |
| 2021/2022 | La Liga | #9 | 11W 15D 12L | 48 pts -5 GD | 1.26 / 1.39 |
Real Sociedad
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | La Liga | #10 | 11W 13D 14L | -2 GD | 1.55 / 1.61 |
| 2024/2025 | La Liga | #11 | 13W 7D 18L | -11 GD | 0.92 / 1.21 |
| 2023/2024 | La Liga | #6 | 16W 12D 10L | +12 GD | 1.34 / 1.03 |
| 2022/2023 | La Liga | #4 | 21W 8D 9L | 71 pts +16 GD | 1.34 / 0.92 |
| 2021/2022 | La Liga | #6 | 17W 11D 10L | 62 pts +3 GD | 1.05 / 0.97 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Valencia
26 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Ruiseu Rioja (33) | 28 | 2 | 1 |
| FW | 9 Hyugo Dyuro (27) | 28 | 9 | 5 |
| FW | 7 Areunauteu Danjuma (29) | 26 | 3 | - |
| FW | 16 Diego Lopez Noguerol (24) | 26 | 3 | 2 |
| FW | 15 Rukaseu Belteuran (25) | 23 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 17 Rareugi Ramajani (25) | 18 | 5 | 4 |
| FW | 19 Raba (31) | 12 | 0 | - |
| FW | 6 Umareu Sadikeu (29) | 11 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 8 Gera Moreno Habiereu Injured | 28 | 1 | 3 |
| MF | 18 Pepelru (28) | 23 | 2 | 3 |
| MF | 22 Baptiseuteu Santamaria (31) | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 10 Angdeure Almeida (26) | 18 | 0 | - |
| MF | 23 Pilripin Eogeurinik (27) Muscle injury | 18 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 2 Gwido Rodeurigeseu (32) | 7 | 0 | - |
| DF | 14 Hose Gaya (31) Injured | 25 | 1 | 6 1 |
| DF | 5 Sejareu Tarega (24) | 23 | 0 | 6 |
| DF | 3 Ariaseu Kopete Hose Manuel Ankle injury | 21 | 0 | 5 |
| DF | 12 Tieri Korea (27) Hamstring injury | 19 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 21 Yesu Baseukeseu (23) | 17 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 20 Dimiteuri Polkwieo (33) Knee injury | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 24 Erei Keomeoteu (28) | 12 | 2 | 2 |
| DF | 4 Mukeutareu Diakabi (30) Muscle Injury31.05.2026 | 8 | 1 | 3 |
| DF | 4 Unai Nunejeu (29) | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 26 Ruben Iranjo (23) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 25 Hulren Ajirejabalra (26) Knee injury | 18 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 1 Doduk Dimiteuriepeuseuki (33) | 11 | 0 | - |
Real Sociedad
26 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Gonçalo Guedes (30) | 29 | 8 | 2 |
| FW | 7 Ander Barrenetxea (25) | 23 | 3 | 2 |
| FW | 14 Takefusa Kubo (25) Hamstring injury | 18 | 2 | - |
| FW | 9 Orri Steinn Oskarsson (22) | 12 | 4 | 2 |
| FW | 19 Jon Karikaburu (24) | 6 | 0 | - |
| FW | 10 Arkaitz Mariezkurrena (21) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 17 Sereuhio Gomejeu (26) | 27 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 10 Mikel Oyarzabal (29) | 26 | 12 | 2 |
| MF | 15 Marin Pabeulro | 25 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 23 Beuraiseu Mendeseu (29) | 25 | 5 | 5 1 |
| MF | 18 Carlos Soler (29) | 24 | 4 | 2 1 |
| MF | 5 Igoreu Jubeldia Elroreusa (29) Injured | 22 | 0 | 8 |
| MF | 8 Beñat Turrientes | 19 | 0 | 5 |
| MF | 21 Areusen Jakariain (23) | 16 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 24 Luka Sučić (24) | 14 | 2 | 1 |
| MF | 12 Yanggel Erera (28) Injured | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 22 Weseulri (21) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 2 Jon Aramburu (24) | 27 | 1 | 9 |
| DF | 4 Jon Gorrotxategi | 25 | 1 | 6 |
| DF | 16 Duye Kalreta-ka (30) | 20 | 1 | 4 1 |
| DF | 31 Jon Martin (20) | 18 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 3 Aihen Muñoz (29) | 16 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 6 Aricheu Elruseutondo (32) | 10 | 0 | - |
| DF | 20 Albaro Odeuriojolra (31) Knee injury | 5 | 1 | - |
| DF | 11 Job Ochieng (23) International duty | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Alrehandeuro Remiro (31) | 29 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Recent head-to-head history favors low-scoring matches, with Real Sociedad unbeaten in the last three meetings.
Team Status
Real Sociedad's defensive solidity and away results suggest they are well-suited to get a result at Mestalla.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win23.0%
Draw35.0%
Away win41.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw0%
Away Win100%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
68%Prediction: Real Sociedad Win
Score: 0 - 1
- Recent head-to-head history favors low-scoring matches, with Real Sociedad unbeaten in the last three meetings.
- Real Sociedad's defensive solidity and away results suggest they are well-suited to get a result at Mestalla.
Read full reasoning
Based on end-of-2023-24 data, Real Sociedad showed greater consistency, finishing 6th and qualifying for Europe, while Valencia struggled for goals and form. Recent encounters have been tight and low-scoring, but Real Sociedad's defensive strength and away resilience give them a slight edge. Valencia's home advantage and solid defense could keep the game close, but Real Sociedad's balanced attack and tactical stability make them favorites for a narrow win.
Claude · Forecast 2
62%Prediction: Real Sociedad Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Real Sociedad's superior defensive record (39 GA vs 45 GA) and recent offensive form (51 GF vs 40 GF) provide a significant advantage
- Valencia's winless streak in final 5 matches of 2023-24 (0W-2D-3L) suggests momentum deficit heading into 2026-27
- Head-to-head favors Sociedad recently with unbeaten run in last 3 matches, combined with their well-balanced 4-3-3 tactical setup
- Takefusa Kubo's creative brilliance and Mikel Oyarzabal's presence offer Real Sociedad superior attacking options versus Valencia's inconsistent finishing
Read full reasoning
They finished 6th (60 points) versus Valencia's 9th place (49 points), with notably superior goal differential (+12 vs -5). Sociedad's 51 goals scored and 39 conceded demonstrate offensive punch coupled with defensive solidity, while Valencia struggled both ways, managing just 40 goals with 45 conceded. Recent form heavily favors Sociedad, who went 3-0-2 in final matches compared to Valencia's 0-2-3. Tactically, Real Sociedad's well-organized 4-3-3 pressing style, anchored by Martin Zubimendi's midfield control and boosted by Takefusa Kubo's creative flair, should trouble Valencia's inconsistent defending. Additionally, Valencia's inability to win against Sociedad in the last 3 encounters and their poor home record against quality opponents compounds their disadvantage. While Valencia's home advantage at Mestalla provides some buffer, Sociedad's proven away competence (7-5-7) and attacking threat make them clear favorites.
Gemini · Forecast 3
60%Prediction: Real Sociedad Win
Score: 0 - 1
- Real Sociedad's superior defensive record and higher league standing consistency.
- Valencia's historical struggle to convert chances against top-half defensive units.
- A strong head-to-head trend of low-scoring matches, often decided by a single goal.
Read full reasoning
Based on the most recent performance cycles, Real Sociedad maintains a tactical advantage through defensive stability and structured possession. Valencia, while resilient at the Mestalla, has faced significant challenges in offensive output, averaging just over one goal per game. The tactical matchup favors Real Sociedad's pressing style, which is designed to disrupt the midfield transitions Valencia relies on. Given the historical trend of low-scoring draws and narrow wins between these two sides, the visitors are slightly more likely to capitalize on a defensive error. While the long-term outlook for 2026 remains speculative, the structural gap in squad depth and European experience currently favors Real Sociedad to secure a narrow victory in a cagey encounter.