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⚽ Football Ligue 2
Le Mans

Le Mans

Home

Final
2 - 1

Le Mans Win

2026-09-19 17:45

Lorient

Lorient

Away

📋 5 ROUND 🗓 2026/2027 🏆 SUMMRIZE

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 스타드 마리 마르뱅 ● Le Mans 2025/2026 · 2nd · 16W 14D 4L (GD +19) ● Lorient 2025/2026 · 9th · 11W 12D 11L (GD -3)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Lorient Win

Confidence

57%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

1 - 2

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Lorient have a stronger historical record against Le Mans and are generally considered a top-tier Ligue 2 side.
  • ✓ Le Mans typically finish mid-table and have struggled to consistently beat Lorient in recent matchups.
  • ✓ Lorient’s squad depth and attacking style give them an edge, especially if key players remain available.
Recommended Bets: Away Win (57%) Over 2.5 (52%)

📊 Win Probability

Le Mans
24.0%
27.5%
48.5%
Lorient
Home 24.0%
Draw 27.5%
Away 48.5%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 87.0%
78.2%
12.7%
Home 9.1% Draw 78.2% Away 12.7%

Most likely scorelines

1-1
11.29%
1-2
8.59%
2-1
8.28%
0-1
7.76%
1-0
7.51%

Next fixtures

Le Mans
10/11 A Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1
10/17 H Toulouse Ligue 1
10/26 A AJ Auxerre Ligue 1
FC Lorient
10/11 H Paris FC Ligue 1
10/19 H AS Monaco Ligue 1
10/26 A Angers SCO Ligue 1

Compared across 24 bookmakers.

🟡

Caution

Max probability 48.5% · Gap 21.0%p

YELLOW
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:06

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Le Mans
D L D W D
View 5 recent results
2026-09-06 Ligue 1
Nice 1 : 1 Le Mans
2026-08-30 Ligue 1
Rennes 3 : 2 Le Mans
2026-08-23 Ligue 1
Le Mans 2 : 2 Brest
2026-05-10 Ligue 2
Bastia 0 : 2 Le Mans
2026-05-03 Ligue 2
Le Mans 1 : 1 Reims
Lorient
D W L D L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-13 Ligue 1
Lorient 2 : 2 Toulouse
2026-09-05 Ligue 1
Lens 0 : 1 Lorient
2026-08-30 Ligue 1
Lorient 1 : 2 Troyes
2026-08-23 Ligue 1
Nice 0 : 0 Lorient
2026-05-18 Ligue 1
Lorient 0 : 2 Le Havre

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

3

Home Wins

1

Draws

0

Away Wins

2

Average total goals 4.0

Recent matches

2020-02-05 Ligue 2
Lorient 4 - 2 Le Mans
Away team won
2019-08-24 Ligue 2
Le Mans 1 - 2 Lorient
Away team won
2019-08-14 Peurangseu Rigeukeop
Lorient 1 - 2 Le Mans
Home team won

Last meeting: 2020-02-05 (4-2)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Le Mans

Rank 14
Games played 3
Record 0W · 2D · 1L
Standing points 2
Standing points / match 0.67
Goals for / against 5 / 6
Avg goals scored / allowed 1.67 / 2.0

Lorient

Rank 8
Games played 4
Record 1W · 2D · 1L
Standing points 5
Standing points / match 1.25
Goals for / against 4 / 4
Avg goals scored / allowed 1.0 / 1.0

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 2 sources #3151 Odds & records

Home

2.45

35.5%

Draw

3.2

27.2%

Away

2.33

37.3%

More metrics

🕸️ Team Style Comparison

Analysis Data · 5 source indices

Le Mans
GOAL 40 ATTACK 40 RS 56 RA 33 DEFENSE 52
Lorient
GOAL 48 ATTACK 24 RS 33 RA 67 DEFENSE 76

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Le Mans
↑ 2.88

Strong upward trend

Lorient
↓ -4.45

Sharp decline

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

0.67 Standing points / match 1.25
1.67 Avg goals scored 1
2 Avg goals allowed 1

Home/Away records

1 Standing points / match 2
2 Avg goals scored 0.5
2 Avg goals allowed 0

Recent

0.67 Standing points / match 1.25
1.67 Avg goals scored 1
2 Avg goals allowed 1

🔥 Streaks

Analysis Data · Current form indicators

Le Mans

Overall

Unbeaten 1 Winless 3

Best: Unbeaten 1

At Home

Unbeaten 1 Winless 1

Best: Unbeaten 1

Away

Unbeaten 1 Winless 2

Best: Unbeaten 1

Lorient

Overall

Unbeaten 2 Winless 1

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2

At Home

Unbeaten 1 Winless 2

Best: Unbeaten 1

Away

Win 1 Unbeaten 2

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Le Mans

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025/2026 Ligue 2 #2 16W 14D 4L +19 GD 1.47 / 0.91
2019/2020 Ligue 2 #19 7W 5D 16L 26 pts -15 GD 1.07 / 1.61

Lorient

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025/2026 Ligue 1 #9 11W 12D 11L -3 GD 1.41 / 1.5
2024/2025 Ligue 2 #1 22W 5D 7L +37 GD 2.0 / 0.91
2023/2024 Ligue 1 #17 7W 8D 19L -23 GD 1.26 / 1.94
2022/2023 Ligue 1 #10 15W 10D 13L 55 pts -1 GD 1.37 / 1.39
2021/2022 Ligue 1 #16 8W 12D 18L 36 pts -28 GD 0.92 / 1.66

👥 Squads

Registered players with season stats

Le Mans

19 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 25 Dame Guye (31) 28 7 2
FW 9 Angtuan Rabilrareu (31) Injured 24 8 2
FW 24 Milran Robin (27) 23 0 3
FW 23 Taylor Luvambo (27) 9 0 1
FW 10 Bereukeuruse Jin Knee injury 9 1 1
FW 9 Baptiseuteu Giyom (31) 6 0 -
MF 28 Erwan Colas (29) 23 4 2
MF 27 Martin Rossignol (56) 23 1 6
MF 18 Rukaseu Buadeseu (29) 21 3 3
MF 12 Ribelrin Aenseoni 16 1 4
DF 8 Alreksandeureu Rorai (29) 26 0 13
DF 22 Rukaseu Calodat (24) 26 2 3
DF 6 Edeuwin Quarshie (31) Inactive 26 2 3
DF 17 Saemyueol Yohou (35) 26 3 9
DF 21 Teo Eyoum (24) Injured 23 1 1
DF 5 Harold Voyer (29) 21 1 4 1
DF 26 Mathis Hamdi (23) 4 0 1 1
GK 98 Nikolraseu Kochikeu (28) 27 0 5
GK 1 Haetputeu Iwan 1 0 -

Lorient

20 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 28 Sambusumano (25) 26 4 2
FW 10 Pablo Pagis (24) 21 8 1
FW 9 Muhammad Bamba (25) 18 1 3
FW 12 Amadu Dieng (26) 15 7 3
MF 29 Karim Dermane (23) 25 1 3
MF 17 Jean-Victor Makengo (28) 24 3 1
MF 62 Arthur Avom (2026) 24 1 3
MF 6 Rorang Abereugel (33) Ankle injury 23 1 6
MF 8 Noah Cadiou (28) 21 1 1
MF 5 Maiteu Apdul Bamo 20 0 4
MF 15 Tosin Aiyegun (28) 20 4 1
MF 77 Panos Katseris (25) 9 0 2
DF 11 Theo Le Bris (24) 26 2 -
DF 3 Montassar Talbi (28) 25 0 3
DF 44 Dareurain Jidan Gangamei (26) 20 0 3 1
DF 2 Igoreu Silba (30) Injured 14 1 1
DF 25 Faye Abdoulaye (22) 10 0 7
DF 32 Nathaniel Adjei (24) 9 0 -
GK 38 Ibon Eumbogo (32) 24 0 -
GK 21 Bingourou Kamara (30) 3 0 -

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Lorient have a stronger historical record against Le Mans and are generally considered a top-tier Ligue 2 side.

Match Outlook

Le Mans typically finish mid-table and have struggled to consistently beat Lorient in recent matchups.

Team Status

Lorient’s squad depth and attacking style give them an edge, especially if key players remain available.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win24.0%
Draw28.0%
Away win48.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw33%
Away Win66%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

62%

Prediction: Lorient Win

Score: 1 - 2

  • Lorient have a stronger historical record against Le Mans and are generally considered a top-tier Ligue 2 side.
  • Le Mans typically finish mid-table and have struggled to consistently beat Lorient in recent matchups.
  • Lorient’s squad depth and attacking style give them an edge, especially if key players remain available.
Read full reasoning

Given the lack of real-time data for 2026, this prediction is based on historical club performance and trends up to 2024. Lorient have typically been the stronger side in Ligue 2, often pushing for promotion, while Le Mans are more mid-table. Recent head-to-heads favor Lorient, and their attacking approach has yielded better results. Le Mans can be competitive at home, but Lorient’s overall quality and depth likely give them the edge.

Claude · Forecast 2

45%

Prediction: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

  • Historical context shows Lorient typically stronger with 3-point edge in recent H2H matchups
  • Le Mans traditionally mid-table Ligue 2 side; Lorient has Ligue 1 pedigree and better recent performance
  • Cannot access real-time 2026 form, injuries, or current standings - analysis based on historical trends only
  • Conservative prediction reflects high uncertainty without current season data
Read full reasoning

Historical analysis shows Lorient generally outperform Le Mans in head-to-head encounters and league positioning, but without access to 2026 form, standings, injuries, and squad composition, any prediction is speculative. Based on historical patterns, Lorient are slight favorites, but Le Mans have shown competitive capability in recent seasons. The draw prediction reflects the lack of concrete data and the competitive nature of Ligue 2. For an accurate assessment, current 2026 form, injury reports, and recent performance must be consulted closer to matchday.

Gemini · Forecast 3

65%

Prediction: Lorient Win

Score: 1 - 2

  • Lorient's historical tactical dominance and superior squad depth in Ligue 2 matchups.
  • Le Mans' defensive vulnerabilities when facing high-pressing, possession-based systems.
  • Recent head-to-head trends favoring the away side in competitive second-tier fixtures.
Read full reasoning

Lorient enters this fixture as the favorite, maintaining their reputation as a consistent promotion contender. Historically, 'Les Merlus' have showcased a more sophisticated tactical approach and higher technical quality compared to Le Mans. Their ability to dominate possession and transition quickly suggests they will control the tempo of the game, even as the visiting side. Le Mans, while resilient at home, often struggles against teams with high-pressing systems. Their defensive structure tends to falter under sustained pressure, which Lorient is well-equipped to provide. While Le Mans might find success through set-pieces or counter-attacks, Lorient's defensive organization is likely robust enough to limit high-quality chances. Ultimately, the disparity in individual talent and tactical maturity favors an away win. Expect a competitive match, but Lorient’s clinical finishing should be the deciding factor in securing all three points.

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