Key Analysis
Lyon finished the 2023-24 season in much stronger form than Rennes, winning their last five matches.
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⚽ Football
LIGUE1
Lyon
Home
Final
4
-
0
Lyon Win
2026-09-19 17:45
Rennes
Away
📋
5 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
🏆
SUMMRIZE
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 그루파마 스타디움
● Lyon 2025/2026 · 4th · 18W 6D 10L (GD +13)
● Rennes 2025/2026 · 6th · 17W 8D 9L (GD +9)
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Lyon Win
Prediction Correct!🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Lyon Win
Confidence
69%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Lyon have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, including two wins in 2023-24.
- ✓ Both teams feature potent attacks, but Rennes have shown defensive frailties, especially away from home.
Recommended Bets:
Home Win
(69%)
Over 2.5
(64%)
📊 Win Probability
Lyon
Rennes
50.0%
26.5%
23.5%
Home 50.0%
Draw 26.5%
Away 23.5%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 86.9%
27.2%
55.7%
17.1%
Home 27.2%
Draw 55.7%
Away 17.1%
Most likely scorelines
0-1
14.02%
1-1
12.77%
0-0
10.37%
0-2
9.45%
1-0
9.38%
Next fixtures
Olympique Lyon
10/10
A
RC Lens
Ligue 1
10/16
H
Crystal Palace
UEFA Europa League
10/19
H
OGC Nice
Ligue 1
Stade Rennais
10/12
H
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1
10/16
H
O크레타
UEFA Europa League
10/19
A
Paris FC
Ligue 1
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 50.0% · Gap 23.5%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:06
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Lyon
W
D
L
W
D
View 5 recent results
2026-09-05
Ligue 1
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
2026-08-30
Ligue 1
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
2026-08-27
UEFA Champions League
Lyon
1 : 2
Fenerbahce
2026-08-23
Ligue 1
Toulouse
0 : 2
Lyon
2026-08-19
UEFA Champions League
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
Lyon
Rennes
W
W
W
D
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-12
Ligue 1
Rennes
1 : 0
Marseille
2026-09-06
Ligue 1
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
2026-08-30
Ligue 1
Rennes
3 : 2
Le Mans
2026-08-24
Ligue 1
Rennes
2 : 2
PSG
2026-05-18
Ligue 1
Marseille
3 : 1
Rennes
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
4
Draws
0
Away Wins
6
Average total goals
4.4
Recent matches
2026-05-04
Ligue 1
Lyon
4 - 2
Rennes
Home team won
2025-09-15
Ligue 1
Rennes
3 - 1
Lyon
Away team won
2025-04-27
Ligue 1
Lyon
4 - 1
Rennes
Home team won
2024-08-19
Ligue 1
Rennes
3 - 0
Lyon
Away team won
2024-01-27
Ligue 1
Lyon
2 - 3
Rennes
Away team won
Last meeting: 2026-05-04 (4-2)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Lyon
Rank
4
Games played
3
Record
2W · 1D · 0L
Standing points
7
Standing points / match
2.33
Goals for / against
6 / 2
Avg goals scored / allowed
2.0 / 0.67
Rennes
Rank
2
Games played
4
Record
3W · 1D · 0L
Standing points
10
Standing points / match
2.5
Goals for / against
8 / 5
Avg goals scored / allowed
2.0 / 1.25
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Lyon
GOAL
60
ATTACK
48
RS
67
RA
78
DEFENSE
84
Rennes
GOAL
32
ATTACK
48
RS
67
RA
58
DEFENSE
70
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Lyon
↓
-6.68
Sharp decline
Rennes
↑
2.32
Strong upward trend
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
2.33
Standing points / match
2.5
2
Avg goals scored
2
0.67
Avg goals allowed
1.25
Home/Away records
2
Standing points / match
3
2
Avg goals scored
2
1
Avg goals allowed
1
Recent
2.33
Standing points / match
2.5
2
Avg goals scored
2
0.67
Avg goals allowed
1.25
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Lyon
Overall
Win 1
Unbeaten 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Win 1
Unbeaten 2
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Rennes
Overall
Win 3
Unbeaten 4
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 4
At Home
Win 2
Unbeaten 3
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 3
Away
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Lyon
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 18W 6D 10L | +13 GD | 1.56 / 1.18 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #6 | 17W 6D 11L | +19 GD | 1.91 / 1.35 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #6 | 16W 5D 13L | -6 GD | 1.44 / 1.62 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #7 | 18W 8D 12L | 62 pts +18 GD | 1.71 / 1.24 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 1 | #8 | 17W 11D 10L | 61 pts +15 GD | 1.74 / 1.34 |
Rennes
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #6 | 17W 8D 9L | +9 GD | 1.74 / 1.47 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #12 | 13W 2D 19L | +1 GD | 1.5 / 1.47 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #10 | 12W 10D 12L | +7 GD | 1.56 / 1.35 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 21W 5D 12L | 68 pts +30 GD | 1.82 / 1.03 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 20W 6D 12L | 66 pts +42 GD | 2.16 / 1.05 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Lyon
20 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 17 Afonso Daniel (56) | 20 | 2 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Endrick (20) | 9 | 3 | 2 1 |
| MF | 22 Keulrinteon Mukoni Mata Pedeuro Rurenko (34) | 25 | 0 | 5 |
| MF | 6 Tanner Tessmann (25) | 25 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 8 Corentin Tolisso (32) | 24 | 7 | 5 |
| MF | 23 Tyler Morton (24) | 23 | 2 | 5 1 |
| MF | 10 Pabel Seolkeu (26) | 22 | 11 | 2 |
| MF | 7 Aedeom Karabek (23) | 19 | 1 | 3 |
| MF | 11 Malick Fofana (21) | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| MF | 99 Noah Nartey (21) | 8 | 2 | - |
| MF | 18 Rasideu Gejal (34) | 8 | 0 | - |
| MF | 77 Roman Yaremchukeu (31) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 5 Orel Manggalra (28) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 19 Moussa Niakhaté (30) | 25 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 98 Tako Pol (29) Injured | 23 | 1 | 6 1 |
| DF | 3 Nicolás Tagliafico (34) | 19 | 0 | 6 2 |
| DF | 33 Hanseu Hateuboeo (32) | 13 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 21 Ruben Keulruibereu (25) Hamstring injury | 11 | 1 | 2 |
| GK | 1 Dominikeu Geuripeu (29) | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 40 Remi Dekang (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
Rennes
19 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 26 Kuentin Meolrin (24) | 26 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 9 Eseuteban Lepaul (26) | 25 | 13 | 2 |
| FW | 7 Beuril Embolro (29) | 24 | 6 | 3 |
| MF | 11 Musa Altamari (29) | 26 | 3 | 4 |
| MF | 45 Maheudi Kamara (28) | 25 | 3 | 4 1 |
| MF | 10 Rudobikeu Beulraseu (29) | 25 | 4 | - |
| MF | 21 Balrentang Rongjwi (32) | 25 | 1 | 4 |
| MF | 6 Djaoui Cisse (22) | 21 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 95 Peujemiseubeop Peurangkouseuki (31) | 18 | 1 | 5 |
| MF | 17 Sebaseuchan Sujimanseuki (27) | 9 | 1 | - |
| MF | 70 Areuno Noreudin (28) | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 4 Geulren Kamara (31) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 3 Rilrian Beuraejieo (27) | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 24 Aenseoni Ruuteu (25) | 19 | 1 | 5 |
| DF | 97 Jeremy Jacquet (21) Shoulder injury | 19 | 0 | 6 1 |
| DF | 36 Alridu Seidu (26) | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 18 Mahamadou Nagida (2026) | 12 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 30 Beuraiseu Samba (32) | 26 | 0 | 3 |
| GK | 50 Mathys Silistrie (21) | 1 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Lyon have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, including two wins in 2023-24.
Team Status
Both teams feature potent attacks, but Rennes have shown defensive frailties, especially away from home.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win50.0%
Draw27.0%
Away win23.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
75%Prediction: Lyon Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Lyon have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, including two wins in 2023-24.
- Both teams feature potent attacks, but Rennes have shown defensive frailties, especially away from home.
Read full reasoning
Rennes, while capable of scoring, struggled with consistency and defensive solidity, particularly on the road. Lyon's recent dominance in head-to-head matches further supports their edge. However, this analysis is limited by the distance to the 2026 fixture and potential squad changes, so confidence is moderate.
Claude · Forecast 2
68%Prediction: Lyon Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Lyon finished 2023-24 with 5 consecutive wins showing strong momentum and attacking form
- Lyon dominates head-to-head with 21 career wins vs Rennes' 10, winning 3 of last 4 meetings
- Rennes' away record is weak (5W, 4D, 8L) compared to Lyon's balanced home performance (8W, 3D, 6L)
- Historical pattern shows these matches are goal-heavy (avg 3.2 goals in last 5 games)
Read full reasoning
Lyon enters this fixture with significant advantages. With Alexandre Lacazette leading the charge and Rayan Cherki providing creativity, Lyon's attacking prowess—especially at home—presents a formidable challenge. Historically, Lyon dominate the rivalry with 21 career league victories against Rennes' 10, and have won three of their last four encounters. Rennes, conversely, struggled away from home in 2023-24 (5W-4D-8L), suggesting vulnerability on the road. While Rennes scored freely this season (53 goals), their leaky defense (46 conceded) and mixed form create exploitable gaps. The pattern of goal-heavy encounters between these sides supports a Lyon victory with multiple goals. Lyon's home advantage, recent form, and tactical superiority make them clear favorites, though Rennes' attacking potential keeps this competitive.
Gemini · Forecast 3
65%Prediction: Lyon Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Rennes has a high scoring rate (1.56 goals/game) but suffers from a leaky defense with few clean sheets.
- Lyon won both head-to-head encounters in the previous season, including a 3-2 thriller.
Read full reasoning
Their tactical discipline, combined with the clinical finishing of veterans like Lacazette, provides a stable foundation for home fixtures. They have shown a particular knack for winning high-pressure, close-margin games, which is a critical psychological advantage in Ligue 1. Rennes, while possessing a potent attack led by Bourigeaud, remains defensively inconsistent. Their tendency to concede multiple goals against top-half opposition makes it difficult for them to secure points away from home against tactically organized sides. Given the historical trend of high-scoring matches between these two, Lyon's superior defensive structure and recent head-to-head dominance make them the favorites. Expect a competitive match where Lyon's home advantage and momentum ultimately tip the scales.