Key Analysis
Toulouse have a stronger home record and squad depth compared to Le Havre.
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⚽ Football
LIGUE1
Toulouse
Home
Final
3
-
2
Toulouse Win
2026-09-19 17:45
Le Havre
Away
📋
5 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
🏆
SUMMRIZE
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 스타디움 뮈니시팔
● Toulouse 2025/2026 · 10th · 12W 8D 13L (GD +1)
● Le Havre 2025/2026 · 14th · 7W 14D 13L (GD -12)
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Toulouse Win
Prediction Correct!🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Toulouse Win
Confidence
63%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Toulouse have a stronger home record and squad depth compared to Le Havre.
- ✓ Recent head-to-head matchups in Ligue 1 have been close, but Toulouse dominated in Ligue 2.
- ✓ Le Havre struggle to score away from home and rely heavily on defensive solidity.
Recommended Bets:
Home Win
(63%)
Under 2.5
(58%)
📊 Win Probability
Toulouse
Le Havre
47.5%
30.0%
22.5%
Home 47.5%
Draw 30.0%
Away 22.5%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 87.0%
36.8%
42.7%
20.5%
Home 36.8%
Draw 42.7%
Away 20.5%
Odds movement (open → now)
Home
1.65
→
1.59
▼ 0.06
Draw
3.30
→
3.50
▲ 0.20
Away
4.15
→
4.25
▲ 0.10
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Most likely scorelines
0-0
23.87%
0-1
21.85%
1-0
12.54%
1-1
11.22%
0-2
9.95%
Next fixtures
Toulouse
10/11
A
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10/17
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Le Mans
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10/25
H
Troyes AC
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Le Havre
10/11
A
Lille OSC
Ligue 1
10/19
H
AJ Auxerre
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10/26
A
Olympique Marseille
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Compared across 24 bookmakers.
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 47.5% · Gap 17.5%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:06
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Toulouse
D
L
D
L
W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-13
Ligue 1
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
2026-09-04
Ligue 1
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
2026-08-30
Ligue 1
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
2026-08-23
Ligue 1
Toulouse
0 : 2
Lyon
2026-05-11
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2 : 1
Lyon
Le Havre
L
D
L
W
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-06
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
2026-08-30
Ligue 1
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
2026-08-23
Ligue 1
Le Havre
0 : 1
Monaco
2026-05-18
Ligue 1
Lorient
0 : 2
Le Havre
2026-05-11
Ligue 1
Le Havre
0 : 1
Marseille
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
5
Draws
2
Away Wins
3
Average total goals
2.8
Recent matches
2026-02-15
Ligue 1
Le Havre
2 - 1
Toulouse
Away team won
2025-11-03
Ligue 1
Toulouse
0 - 0
Le Havre
Draw
2025-02-24
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1 - 4
Toulouse
Home team won
2024-09-16
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2 - 0
Le Havre
Home team won
2024-03-10
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1 - 0
Toulouse
Away team won
Last meeting: 2026-02-15 (2-1)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Toulouse
Rank
16
Games played
4
Record
0W · 2D · 2L
Standing points
2
Standing points / match
0.5
Goals for / against
4 / 7
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.0 / 1.75
Le Havre
Rank
18
Games played
3
Record
0W · 1D · 2L
Standing points
1
Standing points / match
0.33
Goals for / against
2 / 4
Avg goals scored / allowed
0.67 / 1.33
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Toulouse
GOAL
32
ATTACK
24
RS
33
RA
42
DEFENSE
58
Le Havre
GOAL
28
ATTACK
16
RS
22
RA
56
DEFENSE
68
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Toulouse
↑
0.27
Stable
Le Havre
↓
-1.77
Slight decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
0.5
Standing points / match
0.33
1
Avg goals scored
0.67
1.75
Avg goals allowed
1.33
Home/Away records
0
Standing points / match
1
0
Avg goals scored
1
1.5
Avg goals allowed
1
Recent
0.5
Standing points / match
0.33
1
Avg goals scored
0.67
1.75
Avg goals allowed
1.33
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Toulouse
Overall
Unbeaten 1
Winless 4
Best: Unbeaten 1
At Home
Lose 2
Away
Unbeaten 2
Winless 2
Best: Unbeaten 2
Le Havre
Overall
Lose 1
Winless 3
Best: Unbeaten 1
At Home
Lose 2
Away
Unbeaten 1
Winless 1
Best: Unbeaten 1
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Toulouse
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #10 | 12W 8D 13L | +1 GD | 1.42 / 1.39 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #10 | 11W 9D 14L | +1 GD | 1.29 / 1.26 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #11 | 11W 10D 13L | -4 GD | 1.24 / 1.35 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #13 | 13W 9D 16L | 48 pts -6 GD | 1.34 / 1.5 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 2 | #1 | 23W 10D 5L | 79 pts +49 GD | 2.16 / 0.87 |
Le Havre
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #14 | 7W 14D 13L | -12 GD | 0.94 / 1.29 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #15 | 10W 4D 20L | -31 GD | 1.18 / 2.09 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #15 | 7W 11D 16L | -11 GD | 1.0 / 1.32 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 2 | #1 | 20W 15D 3L | 75 pts +27 GD | 1.21 / 0.5 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 2 | #8 | 13W 11D 14L | 50 pts -3 GD | 1.0 / 1.08 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Toulouse
17 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Santiago Idalgo (21) | 23 | 4 | 4 |
| FW | 20 Emersonn (22) | 21 | 4 | 4 1 |
| FW | 9 Frank Magri (27) Knee injury | 17 | 5 | 3 |
| FW | 13 Jacen Russell-Rowe (24) | 7 | 0 | - |
| MF | 10 Yengeuboho (25) | 26 | 8 | 1 |
| MF | 23 Keuriseutian Kasereseu (26) | 24 | 1 | 5 |
| MF | 15 Aron Doneom (28) | 22 | 4 | 7 |
| MF | 77 Mario Soeo (22) | 21 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 18 Pape Demba (23) | 10 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 17 Abu Peuransiseu (25) Leg fracture | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 19 Jibeuril Sidibe (34) Injured | 27 | 3 | 1 |
| DF | 2 Rasmus Nicolaisen (29) | 26 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 4 Keureseuwel Chalri Muscle injury | 24 | 3 | 6 |
| DF | 3 Makeu Maekenji (27) | 24 | 0 | 6 |
| DF | 12 Warren Kamanzi (26) | 18 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 1 Guillaume Restes (21) | 27 | 0 | 3 |
| GK | 16 Keujetil Hogeu (28) | 1 | 0 | - |
Le Havre
20 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 45 Soumare Isa | 27 | 6 | 2 |
| FW | 25 Eumbeuwanasamata (34) | 20 | 0 | 4 |
| FW | 10 Pelrikseu Mambimbi (25) | 16 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 14 Rassoul Eundiaye (25) | 27 | 4 | 1 |
| MF | 8 Yasin Keheuta (24) | 25 | 1 | 4 |
| MF | 26 Simon Ebonog (22) | 23 | 0 | 6 |
| MF | 11 Godson Keyremeh (26) | 11 | 1 | - |
| MF | 94 Apdulraye Ture (32) Knee injury | 11 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 17 Sopiane Bupal (33) | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 30 Reda Kadeura (25) | 8 | 0 | - |
| DF | 7 Roikeu Nego (35) | 24 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 15 Seko Ayumu (26) | 24 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 93 Aruna Sangante (24) | 23 | 1 | 3 1 |
| DF | 4 Gotie Rori (31) Injured | 22 | 1 | 1 1 |
| DF | 13 Podeu Dukure (25) | 20 | 2 | 1 |
| DF | 19 Rukaseu Duaseu (23) | 9 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 6 Etien Youte Kinkoue (24) | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 32 Timote Pembelre (24) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 99 Mori Diau (33) | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 77 Rionel Eumpasi (32) | 4 | 0 | 2 |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Recent head-to-head matchups in Ligue 1 have been close, but Toulouse dominated in Ligue 2.
Team Status
Le Havre struggle to score away from home and rely heavily on defensive solidity.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win47.0%
Draw30.0%
Away win23.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
65%Prediction: Toulouse Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Toulouse have a stronger home record and squad depth compared to Le Havre.
- Recent head-to-head matchups in Ligue 1 have been close, but Toulouse dominated in Ligue 2.
- Le Havre struggle to score away from home and rely heavily on defensive solidity.
Read full reasoning
Based on available data from 2024, Toulouse hold a slight advantage due to their better home performance and attacking options through players like Dallinga and Aboukhlal. Le Havre's away struggles, with only three wins on the road and a lack of cutting edge in attack, make them underdogs despite their defensive organization. Recent Ligue 1 meetings have been close, so a narrow Toulouse win is likely, but the confidence is moderate due to potential squad changes and the time gap until the match.
Claude · Forecast 2
62%Prediction: Toulouse Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Toulouse's superior home record (W7 D5 L5) vs Le Havre's weak away form (W3 D6 L8)
- Recent H2H pattern shows draws, but Toulouse dominant in historical meetings
- Le Havre's defensive solidity (1.25 goals/game conceded) will limit Toulouse's 1.1 goals/game average
- Toulouse's squad depth advantage with key players like Dallinga and Suazo vs Le Havre's limited attacking resources
- Match at Toulouse's home stadium provides significant tactical advantage and crowd support
Read full reasoning
Toulouse are favored as home side given their significantly better home record compared to Le Havre's poor away performance. Based on 2023/24 data, Toulouse averaged 1.1 goals/game while Le Havre conceded 1.25/game, though Le Havre's defensive organization remains a constraint. Historical head-to-head shows Toulouse winning 2-3 of last meaningful meetings, with recent Ligue 1 clashes producing draws. However, Toulouse's superior squad depth (Dallinga, Suazo) and possession advantage (52% avg) should prevail at home. Le Havre's counter-attacking approach may generate opportunities, but their away record (0.95 goals/game) suggests limited offensive threat. Home advantage and form trends point to a narrow Toulouse victory.
Gemini · Forecast 3
65%Prediction: Toulouse Win
Score: 1 - 0
- Toulouse maintains a superior head-to-head record, remaining unbeaten in their last five competitive meetings with Le Havre.
- Le Havre's defensive approach often leads to low-scoring affairs, but their lack of away scoring efficiency remains a tactical bottleneck.
- Toulouse's home advantage and ability to control possession against lower-table opposition provide them a significant edge.
Read full reasoning
Toulouse enters this fixture as the favorite, primarily driven by their superior squad depth and home-field advantage. Historically, Toulouse has maintained an upper hand against Le Havre, and while recent Ligue 1 meetings have ended in stalemates, the tactical setup favors the hosts. Toulouse tends to dominate possession, which will likely force Le Havre into a deep defensive block, a situation Toulouse is equipped to handle with their technical wingers and attacking transitions. Le Havre relies heavily on defensive organization and counter-attacks, but their lack of a prolific goal-scorer often leaves them vulnerable if they concede first. Their away record remains a concern, often resulting in narrow losses or low-scoring draws. While the match is expected to be tightly contested, Toulouse’s ability to grind out results at home against lower-ranked opposition should be the deciding factor in securing a narrow victory.