Key Analysis
Both teams finished 2023/24 with nearly identical form and points.
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⚽ Football
LIGUE1
Nice
Home
Final
2
-
1
Nice Win
2026-09-20 14:15
Lille
Away
📋
5 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
🏆
SUMMRIZE
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 알리안츠 리비에라
● Nice 2025/2026 · 16th · 7W 11D 16L (GD -23)
● Lille 2025/2026 · 3rd · 18W 7D 9L (GD +15)
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Draw
Prediction Missed🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Draw
Confidence
58%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Both teams finished 2023/24 with nearly identical form and points.
- ✓ Nice possess a strong home defensive record, while Lille are less effective away.
- ✓ Head-to-head history is balanced, with recent meetings often close or ending in draws.
Recommended Bets:
Under 2.5
(53%)
📊 Win Probability
Nice
Lille
33.5%
38.0%
28.5%
Home 33.5%
Draw 38.0%
Away 28.5%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 87.1%
36.4%
59.6%
Home 4.0%
Draw 36.4%
Away 59.6%
Most likely scorelines
0-1
29.2%
0-2
22.01%
0-0
19.05%
0-3
11.27%
0-4
4.34%
Next fixtures
OGC Nice
10/11
H
RC Strasbourg
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10/19
A
Olympique Lyon
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10/24
A
Stade Brestois
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Lille OSC
10/11
H
Le Havre
Ligue 1
10/14
A
Arsenal
UEFA Champions League
10/18
H
Stade Brestois
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Compared across 23 bookmakers.
🔴
RED
Too Risky
Max probability 38.0% · Gap 4.5%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:07
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Nice
L
D
L
D
W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-13
Ligue 1
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
2026-09-06
Ligue 1
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
2026-08-30
Ligue 1
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
2026-08-23
Ligue 1
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
2026-05-30
Ligue 1
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
Lille
L
W
D
W
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-09
UEFA Champions League
Lille
2 : 3
Betis
2026-09-04
Ligue 1
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
2026-08-29
Ligue 1
Lille
2 : 2
PSG
2026-08-23
Ligue 1
Angers
0 : 2
Lille
2026-05-18
Ligue 1
Lille
0 : 2
Auxerre
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
4
Draws
3
Away Wins
3
Average total goals
2.5
Recent matches
2026-04-19
Ligue 1
Lille
0 - 0
Nice
Draw
2025-10-30
Ligue 1
Nice
2 - 0
Lille
Home team won
2025-01-18
Ligue 1
Lille
2 - 1
Nice
Away team won
2024-11-10
Ligue 1
Nice
2 - 2
Lille
Draw
2023-08-12
Ligue 1
Nice
1 - 1
Lille
Draw
Last meeting: 2026-04-19 (0-0)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Nice
Rank
17
Games played
4
Record
0W · 2D · 2L
Standing points
2
Standing points / match
0.5
Goals for / against
1 / 5
Avg goals scored / allowed
0.25 / 1.25
Lille
Rank
5
Games played
3
Record
2W · 1D · 0L
Standing points
7
Standing points / match
2.33
Goals for / against
5 / 2
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.67 / 0.67
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Nice
GOAL
4
ATTACK
6
RS
8
RA
58
DEFENSE
70
Lille
GOAL
50
ATTACK
40
RS
56
RA
78
DEFENSE
84
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Nice
↓
-2.48
Sharp decline
Lille
↓
-0.8
Slight decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
0.5
Standing points / match
2.33
0.25
Avg goals scored
1.67
1.25
Avg goals allowed
0.67
Home/Away records
1
Standing points / match
3
0.5
Avg goals scored
1.5
0.5
Avg goals allowed
0
Recent
0.5
Standing points / match
2.33
0.25
Avg goals scored
1.67
1.25
Avg goals allowed
0.67
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Nice
Overall
Lose 1
Winless 4
Best: Unbeaten 1
At Home
Unbeaten 2
Winless 2
Best: Unbeaten 2
Away
Lose 2
Lille
Overall
Win 1
Unbeaten 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Unbeaten 1
Winless 1
Best: Unbeaten 1
Away
Win 2
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Nice
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #16 | 7W 11D 16L | -23 GD | 1.09 / 1.76 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 17W 9D 8L | +25 GD | 1.94 / 1.21 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #5 | 15W 10D 9L | +11 GD | 1.18 / 0.85 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #9 | 15W 13D 10L | 58 pts +11 GD | 1.26 / 0.97 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 1 | #5 | 20W 7D 11L | 66 pts +16 GD | 1.37 / 0.95 |
Lille
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #3 | 18W 7D 9L | +15 GD | 1.53 / 1.09 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #5 | 17W 9D 8L | +16 GD | 1.53 / 1.06 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 16W 11D 7L | +18 GD | 1.53 / 1.0 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #5 | 19W 10D 9L | 67 pts +21 GD | 1.71 / 1.16 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 1 | #10 | 14W 13D 11L | 55 pts 0 GD | 1.26 / 1.26 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Nice
23 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 90 Kebin (25) | 18 | 0 | 3 |
| FW | 25 Mohamedeu-alri Jo (22) | 17 | 4 | 1 |
| FW | 47 Tiagu Gobeia (25) | 14 | 0 | 2 |
| FW | 32 Kail Boudache (20) | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 11 Sepe Elriye Wahi (23) | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| MF | 10 Sopiang Diop (26) | 26 | 7 | 5 |
| MF | 8 Moreugan Sangsong (32) | 25 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 20 Ruchet Tom | 21 | 3 | 1 1 |
| MF | 24 Chalseu Banhuteu (28) | 21 | 0 | 7 |
| MF | 6 Hihem Budaui (26) | 19 | 1 | 4 |
| MF | 21 Isakeu Yanson (24) Injured | 16 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 99 Salriseu Apdul Samedeu (26) | 14 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 22 Tanggi Eundombelre (30) Injured | 7 | 0 | - |
| MF | 55 Yusupeu Eundaisimiye (28) | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 92 Jonadan Keulroseu (34) | 24 | 1 | - |
| DF | 37 Kojo Peprah (56) | 23 | 1 | 3 |
| DF | 26 Melbin Badeu (26) | 23 | 2 | 3 |
| DF | 33 Mendi Angtuan | 18 | 0 | 5 |
| DF | 2 Alri Apdi (33) | 16 | 1 | 4 1 |
| DF | 4 Dante | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 64 Moise Bombito (26) Leg injury | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 80 Yeban Diupeu (27) | 19 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 31 Maksim Dyupeu (33) | 8 | 0 | - |
Lille
23 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 27 Pelrikseu Koreia (25) | 27 | 3 | 2 |
| FW | 10 Halraldeuson Hakon Areunareu | 25 | 6 | 5 |
| FW | 9 Olribereu Jiru (40) | 24 | 6 | 2 |
| FW | 20 Noah Edjouma (21) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 32 Eiyubeu Buadi (2026) | 24 | 0 | 5 1 |
| MF | 7 Matiaseu Fernandez-Pardo (56) | 22 | 5 | 4 |
| MF | 6 Nabil Bentaleb (32) | 22 | 2 | 3 |
| MF | 21 Benjamin Andre (36) Injured | 20 | 2 | 7 |
| MF | 11 Osame Sahraoui (25) Injured | 16 | 1 | - |
| MF | 8 Ethan Mbappé (20) Thigh injury | 11 | 3 | - |
| MF | 14 Mariuseu Sibereusen Beuroholreum (22) Injured | 11 | 1 | - |
| MF | 28 Gaetan Perrin Injured | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 17 Ngal Ayel Mukau (22) | 23 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 15 Romain Perraud (29) | 23 | 2 | 4 1 |
| DF | 3 Neiseon Eunggoi (23) | 23 | 1 | 7 1 |
| DF | 23 Aisa Mandi (35) | 22 | 1 | 7 |
| DF | 12 Tomaseu Meunie (35) | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 22 Tiago Santos (24) Inactive | 13 | 0 | - |
| DF | 24 Kalbin Pereudongkeu (29) | 13 | 0 | 3 1 |
| DF | 18 Chansel Eumbemba (32) | 12 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 4 Alexsandro Ribeiro (27) | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 1 Berke Ozer (26) Injured | 25 | 0 | 3 |
| GK | 16 Areuno Bodareuteu (28) | 3 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Nice possess a strong home defensive record, while Lille are less effective away.
Team Status
Head-to-head history is balanced, with recent meetings often close or ending in draws.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win34.0%
Draw38.0%
Away win28.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw100%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
65%Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
- Both teams finished 2023/24 with nearly identical form and points.
- Nice possess a strong home defensive record, while Lille are less effective away.
- Head-to-head history is balanced, with recent meetings often close or ending in draws.
Read full reasoning
Based on end-of-2023/24 data, Nice are slightly stronger defensively and perform well at home, while Lille's offense, led by Jonathan David, is more prolific but less consistent away. The head-to-head is very even, and their last meeting ended 2-2. With no major injuries reported at season's end and both tactical setups favoring balance, a draw is the most likely outcome, though a narrow win for either side is possible. The medium confidence reflects uncertainty due to potential changes by 2026.
Claude · Forecast 2
45%Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
- Lille's superior home record (11W-6D-2L) vs Nice's solid away performance (6W-5D-4L) suggests competitive balance
- Head-to-head trend shows even split with recent draw (2-2 in May 2024), indicating well-matched tactical approaches
- Lille's prolific attack (52 GF) countered by Nice's strong defense (29 GA lowest in Ligue 1) creates equilibrium
- Both teams finished season strong with identical records in last 5 matches (3W-1D-1L)
- Lille vulnerable away from home (5W-5D-7L) despite Nice's home advantage at Allianz Riviera
Read full reasoning
Lille finished 4th with superior goal output (52 GF) and boast the league's best home record, but their away record is concerning (5W-5D-7L). Nice finished 5th with the tightest defense (29 GA) and showed improving form under Farioli. The teams drew 2-2 in their May 2024 meeting, reflecting their tactical similarity. While Lille's Jonathan David adds attacking threat, Nice's defensive organization under Farioli should contain them. However, predicting outcomes for 2026 carries inherent uncertainty due to potential squad changes, injuries, and managerial shifts beyond available data. The fixture's recent pattern and balanced statistics suggest a draw is most probable, with slight lean toward Lille's quality, though Nice's home advantage provides genuine winning chances.
Gemini · Forecast 3
65%Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
- Nice boasted the best defensive record in Ligue 1 (2023/24) with only 29 goals conceded.
- The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced with 4 wins each and 2 draws in their last 10 meetings.
Read full reasoning
This matchup features two of France's most tactically disciplined sides. Nice's success is built on a rock-solid defensive foundation and a high-pressing system that excels at home. However, their offensive output often lags behind their defensive stability, which can lead to stalemates against high-quality opposition. Lille, while possessing a more prolific attack led by Jonathan David, has shown a significant drop-off in performance when playing away from home. Given Nice's ability to neutralize threats and Lille's slight away-day inconsistency, a low-scoring draw is the most probable outcome. Both teams prioritize tactical shape, likely resulting in a midfield battle where clear-cut chances are at a premium.