Key Analysis
Brest finished the 2023/24 Ligue 1 season in the top 3 with a strong defense and consistent results against top-tier opposition.
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⚽ Football
LIGUE1
Auxerre
Home
Final
2
-
1
Auxerre Win
2026-09-20 12:00
Brest
Away
📋
5 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
🏆
SUMMRIZE
Korean market · Odds & records
● Auxerre 2025/2026 · 15th · 8W 10D 16L (GD -10)
● Brest 2025/2026 · 12th · 10W 9D 15L (GD -12)
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Brest Win
Prediction Missed🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Brest Win
Confidence
59%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Brest finished the 2023/24 Ligue 1 season in the top 3 with a strong defense and consistent results against top-tier opposition.
- ✓ Auxerre excelled in Ligue 2 but will face a significant jump in competition level upon returning to Ligue 1.
- ✓ Recent head-to-head meetings have been balanced, but Brest's established Ligue 1 squad and tactical discipline give them the edge.
Recommended Bets:
Away Win
(59%)
Over 2.5
(54%)
📊 Win Probability
Auxerre
Brest
23.5%
29.0%
47.5%
Home 23.5%
Draw 29.0%
Away 47.5%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 87.0%
12.8%
71.3%
15.9%
Home 12.8%
Draw 71.3%
Away 15.9%
Most likely scorelines
1-2
9.64%
1-1
8.61%
0-2
7.65%
1-3
7.09%
0-1
6.72%
Next fixtures
AJ Auxerre
10/12
A
Stade Rennais
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10/19
A
Le Havre
Ligue 1
10/26
H
Le Mans
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois
10/11
H
Angers SCO
Ligue 1
10/18
A
Lille OSC
Ligue 1
10/24
H
OGC Nice
Ligue 1
Compared across 23 bookmakers.
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 47.5% · Gap 18.5%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:07
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Auxerre
W
L
L
L
W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-13
Ligue 1
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
2026-09-05
Ligue 1
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
2026-08-30
Ligue 1
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
2026-08-22
Ligue 1
Lens
5 : 2
Auxerre
2026-05-18
Ligue 1
Lille
0 : 2
Auxerre
Brest
W
D
D
D
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-06
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
2026-08-30
Ligue 1
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
2026-08-23
Ligue 1
Le Mans
2 : 2
Brest
2026-05-18
Ligue 1
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
2026-05-14
Ligue 1
Brest
1 : 2
Strasbourg
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
2
Draws
3
Away Wins
5
Average total goals
2.3
Recent matches
2026-03-22
Ligue 1
Auxerre
3 - 0
Brest
Home team won
2026-01-05
Ligue 1
Brest
2 - 0
Auxerre
Away team won
2025-02-15
Ligue 1
Brest
2 - 2
Auxerre
Draw
2024-09-28
Ligue 1
Auxerre
3 - 0
Brest
Home team won
2023-05-14
Ligue 1
Brest
1 - 0
Auxerre
Away team won
Last meeting: 2026-03-22 (3-0)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Auxerre
Rank
13
Games played
4
Record
1W · 0D · 3L
Standing points
3
Standing points / match
0.75
Goals for / against
5 / 11
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.25 / 2.75
Brest
Rank
7
Games played
3
Record
1W · 2D · 0L
Standing points
5
Standing points / match
1.67
Goals for / against
6 / 5
Avg goals scored / allowed
2.0 / 1.67
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Auxerre
GOAL
50
ATTACK
30
RS
42
RA
8
DEFENSE
34
Brest
GOAL
100
ATTACK
48
RS
67
RA
44
DEFENSE
60
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Auxerre
↑
4.74
Strong upward trend
Brest
↓
-4.42
Sharp decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
0.75
Standing points / match
1.67
1.25
Avg goals scored
2
2.75
Avg goals allowed
1.67
Home/Away records
1.5
Standing points / match
2
1
Avg goals scored
2
1.5
Avg goals allowed
1.5
Recent
0.75
Standing points / match
1.67
1.25
Avg goals scored
2
2.75
Avg goals allowed
1.67
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Auxerre
Overall
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
At Home
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Lose 2
Brest
Overall
Win 1
Unbeaten 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Unbeaten 1
Winless 1
Best: Unbeaten 1
Away
Win 1
Unbeaten 2
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Auxerre
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #15 | 8W 10D 16L | -10 GD | 1.0 / 1.29 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #11 | 11W 9D 14L | -3 GD | 1.41 / 1.5 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 2 | #1 | 21W 11D 6L | +36 GD | 1.89 / 0.95 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #17 | 8W 11D 19L | 35 pts -28 GD | 0.92 / 1.66 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 2 | #3 | 21W 11D 6L | 74 pts +22 GD | 1.61 / 1.03 |
Brest
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #12 | 10W 9D 15L | -12 GD | 1.26 / 1.62 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #9 | 15W 5D 14L | -7 GD | 1.53 / 1.74 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #3 | 17W 10D 7L | +19 GD | 1.56 / 1.0 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #14 | 11W 11D 16L | 44 pts -10 GD | 1.16 / 1.42 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 1 | #11 | 13W 9D 16L | 48 pts -8 GD | 1.29 / 1.5 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Auxerre
20 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 10 Sinayoko Rasin (27) | 25 | 6 | 6 |
| FW | 7 Josue Casimir (25) | 25 | 1 | 5 1 |
| FW | 19 Daniel Rodeo (26) | 23 | 3 | 6 |
| FW | 9 Seku Mara (24) | 21 | 0 | - |
| MF | 5 Kevin Danois (22) | 26 | 2 | 3 |
| MF | 42 Elrisya Ousu (29) | 22 | 0 | 6 |
| MF | 22 Peuredeurik Opigadeu (24) | 19 | 0 | 1 1 |
| MF | 21 Lasso Coulibaly (24) Injured | 14 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 18 Asane Diuse (29) | 14 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 17 El Ajouji Osama Injured | 11 | 1 | 1 1 |
| MF | 8 Naouirou Ahamada (24) | 9 | 0 | - |
| MF | 28 Romaeng Paibeureu (28) | 6 | 0 | - |
| DF | 14 Gideon Mensa (28) | 23 | 0 | 6 |
| DF | 92 Clement Akpa (25) | 23 | 0 | 4 1 |
| DF | 29 Senaya Mabin | 20 | 1 | 5 |
| DF | 20 Sinaly Diomande (25) | 17 | 1 | 4 1 |
| DF | 4 Peuransiseuko Siieonta (29) | 10 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 24 Beuraieon Oko (23) | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| GK | 16 Donoban Reon (34) | 25 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 40 De Pereusin Teo | 4 | 0 | - |
Brest
19 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 10 Romain Del Castillo (30) | 25 | 8 | 1 1 |
| FW | 19 Rudobichi Ahoreuke (32) | 25 | 7 | 9 1 |
| FW | 99 Pathe Mboup (23) | 22 | 1 | 6 |
| FW | 17 Mama Baldé (31) | 14 | 2 | - |
| MF | 13 Joris Chotard (25) | 26 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 8 Hugo Magnetti (28) | 26 | 1 | 4 |
| MF | 14 Remy Labeau (23) | 21 | 4 | 2 |
| MF | 7 Erik Dina (26) | 21 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 23 Kamory Doumbia (23) Injured | 20 | 5 | 6 |
| MF | 24 Rukaseu Tujareu (29) | 19 | 0 | - |
| DF | 77 Kenny Lala (35) | 26 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 5 Beurendan Syadonet (32) | 24 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 27 Gindo Dauda | 20 | 0 | 3 1 |
| DF | 2 Roko Beuraedeulri | 19 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Michel Diaz Jr. (23) | 16 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 44 Kulribalri Somilra | 13 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 12 Luc Zogbe (2026) | 6 | 0 | - |
| GK | 30 Geuregoieo Kudeoteu (27) | 18 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Radoseulra Majeki (27) | 10 | 0 | 1 |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Auxerre excelled in Ligue 2 but will face a significant jump in competition level upon returning to Ligue 1.
Team Status
Recent head-to-head meetings have been balanced, but Brest's established Ligue 1 squad and tactical discipline give them the edge.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win23.0%
Draw29.0%
Away win47.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw33%
Away Win66%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
65%Prediction: Brest Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Brest finished the 2023/24 Ligue 1 season in the top 3 with a strong defense and consistent results against top-tier opposition.
- Auxerre excelled in Ligue 2 but will face a significant jump in competition level upon returning to Ligue 1.
- Recent head-to-head meetings have been balanced, but Brest's established Ligue 1 squad and tactical discipline give them the edge.
Read full reasoning
Based on the most recent available data, Brest enters this matchup with more top-flight experience and a proven defensive record. While Auxerre showed excellent form in Ligue 2, their squad may need time to adapt to Ligue 1's pace and quality. Brest's stability, depth, and recent high finish suggest they are better equipped to secure an away win, though Auxerre's home advantage and momentum from promotion could keep the contest competitive. Data limitations for the 2026/27 season lower confidence slightly.
Claude · Forecast 2
55%Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
- Auxerre returning to Ligue 1 after strong Ligue 2 promotion but faces established top-5 Brest side with proven defensive solidity
- Brest's compact 4-3-3 defensive structure and proven European-quality squad provide significant competitive advantage over newly promoted Auxerre
- Head-to-head history shows competitive balance (7 Auxerre wins, 8 Brest wins, 8 draws in 23 meetings) but Brest dominated recent encounters
- Home advantage for Auxerre in early season could be negated by their adjustment period to Ligue 1 intensity after Ligue 2 dominance
- Tactical mismatch: Auxerre's possession-based 4-2-3-1 may struggle against Brest's disciplined defensive shape and counter-attacking efficiency
Read full reasoning
This is a fascinating asymmetric matchup featuring Auxerre, the newly promoted Ligue 2 champions, against Brest, the established Ligue 1 elite side that finished 3rd in 2023/24. Auxerre arrives with strong recent form (unbeaten last 5, +35 goal differential in Ligue 2) and excellent home record (13W-4D-2L), but faces a significant step up in competition level. Brest brings proven Ligue 1 pedigree, exceptional defensive structure (38 goals conceded, 3rd best in league), and a methodical Eric Roy system built for consistency. Historically, the sides are balanced (23 meetings, 8-8-7 record), but Brest's recent dominance and superior squad depth suggest structural advantage. Auxerre's attacking potency (68 goals in Ligue 2) could threaten Brest's defense, while Brest's organized compactness and transitions offer defensive resilience. Early season unpredictability, Auxerre's home advantage, and historical draw tendency point toward a cagey encounter.
Gemini · Forecast 3
60%Prediction: Brest Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Brest's proven Ligue 1 defensive structure and top-flight stability
- Auxerre's challenge in adapting offensive Ligue 2 tactics to top-tier opposition
- Historical head-to-head parity suggesting a narrow margin of victory
Read full reasoning
Their tactical identity under Eric Roy emphasizes a compact 4-3-3 system that is notoriously difficult to break down, especially for sides recently promoted from the second tier. Auxerre, despite their offensive flair and dominance in Ligue 2, often faces a significant jump in quality when facing teams with Brest's defensive discipline. While the home atmosphere at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps usually provides a significant boost, Brest's superior quality in transitions and set-piece efficiency gives them the edge. Auxerre's defensive organization will be tested by clinical playmakers like Del Castillo. Expect a closely contested match where Brest's top-flight experience and physical presence in the midfield eventually secure a narrow victory on the road, continuing their trend of being a difficult opponent for mid-table sides.