Key Analysis
Brest finished the 2023/24 season with strong home form and a solid defense.
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⚽ Football
LIGUE1
🏠
Brest
Home
Scheduled
VS
Match Time
2026-11-08
17:15
✈️
Lyon
Away
📋
10 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
● Brest 2025/2026 · 12th · 10W 9D 15L (GD -12)
● Lyon 2025/2026 · 4th · 18W 6D 10L (GD +13)
Brest favored
44%
Confidence
Medium
- · Brest last 5: 2W 0D 3L
- · Head-to-head 10 matches: home 3W 3D 4L
- · Data-based estimate points the same way
AI analysis 2026-11-01 22:22
·
data as of 2026-11-04 21:21
🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Brest Win
Confidence
64%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Lyon improved in late 2023/24 but were inconsistent away from home.
- ✓ Head-to-head fixtures have been close, but Brest have an edge at home.
Recommended Bets:
Home Win
(64%)
Under 2.5
(59%)
📊 Win Probability
Brest
Lyon
44.0%
31.5%
24.5%
Home 44.0%
Draw 31.5%
Away 24.5%
🔴
RED
Too Risky
Max probability 44.0% · Gap 12.5%p
Strategy: Highly unpredictable. Skip this match or use only the safest derivative options. Never chase losses on coin-flip matches.
Analysis data as of 2026-11-04 21:21
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Brest
L
W
L
L
W
View 5 recent results
2026-10-24
Ligue 1
Brest
1 : 2
Nice
2026-10-11
Ligue 1
Brest
5 : 1
Angers
2026-09-20
Ligue 1
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
2026-09-14
Ligue 1
Brest
0 : 1
PSG
2026-09-06
Ligue 1
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
Lyon
L
L
W
L
W
View 5 recent results
2026-10-27
Ligue 1
PSG
2 : 0
Lyon
2026-10-23
UEFA Europa League
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Lyon
2026-10-16
UEFA Europa League
Lyon
3 : 2
Crystal Palace
2026-10-10
Ligue 1
Lens
2 : 1
Lyon
2026-09-17
UEFA Europa League
Anderlecht
1 : 2
Lyon
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
3
Away Wins
4
Average total goals
2.8
Recent matches
2026-01-19
Ligue 1
Lyon
2 - 1
Brest
Away team won
2025-11-03
Ligue 1
Brest
0 - 0
Lyon
Draw
2025-03-02
Ligue 1
Lyon
2 - 1
Brest
Away team won
2025-01-12
Ligue 1
Brest
2 - 1
Lyon
Home team won
2024-04-15
Ligue 1
Lyon
4 - 3
Brest
Away team won
Last meeting: 2026-01-19 (2-1)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Brest
Rank
12
Games played
7
Record
2W · 2D · 3L
Standing points
8
Standing points / match
1.14
Goals for / against
13 / 11
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.86 / 1.57
Lyon
Rank
13
Games played
6
Record
2W · 2D · 2L
Standing points
8
Standing points / match
1.33
Goals for / against
7 / 6
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.17 / 1.0
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Brest
GOAL
44
ATTACK
44
RS
62
RA
48
DEFENSE
59
Lyon
GOAL
31
ATTACK
20
RS
39
RA
67
DEFENSE
78
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Brest
↓
-1.39
Slight decline
Lyon
↑
2.26
Strong upward trend
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1.14
Standing points / match
1.33
1.86
Avg goals scored
1.17
1.57
Avg goals allowed
1
Home/Away records
1
Standing points / match
1
2
Avg goals scored
0.75
1.5
Avg goals allowed
1
Recent
1.14
Standing points / match
1.33
1.86
Avg goals scored
1.17
1.57
Avg goals allowed
1
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Brest
Overall
Lose 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Lose 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Lose 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Lyon
Overall
Lose 2
Winless 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 4
At Home
Win 1
Unbeaten 2
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Lose 2
Winless 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Brest
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #12 | 10W 9D 15L | -12 GD | 1.26 / 1.62 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #9 | 15W 5D 14L | -7 GD | 1.53 / 1.74 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #3 | 17W 10D 7L | +19 GD | 1.56 / 1.0 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #14 | 11W 11D 16L | 44 pts -10 GD | 1.16 / 1.42 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 1 | #11 | 13W 9D 16L | 48 pts -8 GD | 1.29 / 1.5 |
Lyon
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 18W 6D 10L | +13 GD | 1.56 / 1.18 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #6 | 17W 6D 11L | +19 GD | 1.91 / 1.35 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #6 | 16W 5D 13L | -6 GD | 1.44 / 1.62 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #7 | 18W 8D 12L | 62 pts +18 GD | 1.71 / 1.24 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 1 | #8 | 17W 11D 10L | 61 pts +15 GD | 1.74 / 1.34 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Brest
19 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 10 Romain Del Castillo (30) | 25 | 8 | 1 1 |
| FW | 19 Rudobichi Ahoreuke (32) | 25 | 7 | 9 1 |
| FW | 99 Pathe Mboup (23) | 22 | 1 | 6 |
| FW | 17 Mama Baldé (31) | 14 | 2 | - |
| MF | 13 Joris Chotard (25) | 26 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 8 Hugo Magnetti (28) | 26 | 1 | 4 |
| MF | 14 Remy Labeau (23) | 21 | 4 | 2 |
| MF | 7 Erik Dina (26) | 21 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 23 Kamory Doumbia (23) Injured | 20 | 5 | 6 |
| MF | 24 Rukaseu Tujareu (29) | 19 | 0 | - |
| DF | 77 Kenny Lala (35) | 26 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 5 Beurendan Syadonet (32) | 24 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 27 Gindo Dauda | 20 | 0 | 3 1 |
| DF | 2 Roko Beuraedeulri | 19 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Michel Diaz Jr. (23) | 16 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 44 Kulribalri Somilra | 13 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 12 Luc Zogbe (2026) | 6 | 0 | - |
| GK | 30 Geuregoieo Kudeoteu (27) | 18 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Radoseulra Majeki (27) | 10 | 0 | 1 |
Lyon
20 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 17 Afonso Daniel (56) | 20 | 2 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Endrick (20) | 9 | 3 | 2 1 |
| MF | 6 Tanner Tessmann (25) | 25 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 22 Keulrinteon Mukoni Mata Pedeuro Rurenko (34) | 25 | 0 | 5 |
| MF | 8 Corentin Tolisso (32) | 24 | 7 | 5 |
| MF | 23 Tyler Morton (24) | 23 | 2 | 5 1 |
| MF | 10 Pabel Seolkeu (26) | 22 | 11 | 2 |
| MF | 7 Aedeom Karabek (23) | 19 | 1 | 3 |
| MF | 11 Malick Fofana (21) | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| MF | 18 Rasideu Gejal (34) | 8 | 0 | - |
| MF | 99 Noah Nartey (21) | 8 | 2 | - |
| MF | 5 Orel Manggalra (28) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 77 Roman Yaremchukeu (31) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 19 Moussa Niakhaté (30) | 25 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 98 Tako Pol (29) Injured | 23 | 1 | 6 1 |
| DF | 3 Nicolás Tagliafico (34) | 19 | 0 | 6 2 |
| DF | 33 Hanseu Hateuboeo (32) | 13 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 21 Ruben Keulruibereu (25) Hamstring injury | 11 | 1 | 2 |
| GK | 1 Dominikeu Geuripeu (29) | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 40 Remi Dekang (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Lyon improved in late 2023/24 but were inconsistent away from home.
Team Status
Head-to-head fixtures have been close, but Brest have an edge at home.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win44.0%
Draw32.0%
Away win24.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
65%Prediction: Brest Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Lyon improved in late 2023/24 but were inconsistent away from home.
- Head-to-head fixtures have been close, but Brest have an edge at home.
Read full reasoning
Based on end-2023/24 data, Brest were very strong at home, losing just twice and showing defensive solidity. Lyon’s away record was mixed, and while their attack is potent with Lacazette, they have been less reliable on the road. Recent H2H matches suggest tight contests, but Brest’s home advantage and squad stability give them the edge. However, as this analysis projects from older data, confidence is moderate, and updated 2026 info could shift probabilities.
Claude · Forecast 2
65%Prediction: Brest Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Brest's superior home form in 2023/24 (10W, 5D, 2L) vs Lyon's inconsistent away record (7W, 2D, 8L)
- Brest's defensive solidity (1.03 goals conceded per game) provides foundation for home advantage
- Recent H2H pattern shows cagey matches; Brest won 1-0 at home in Sept 2023, establishing home strength
- Lyon's attack dependent on Lacazette's form; Brest's organized defense under Eric Roy can contain threats
- Tactical edge: Brest's quick transitions suit home setup; Lyon's 4-3-3 pressing less effective on the road
Read full reasoning
Brest holds a significant advantage as the home side in this fixture. The statistical data from 2023/24 shows Brest as a strong home performer (10W-5D-2L), while Lyon struggled away from home (7W-2D-8L). Brest finished 3rd in the table with +18 goal differential, demonstrating overall superiority compared to Lyon's 6th place finish (+6 GD). Defensively, Brest conceded only 1.03 goals per game versus Lyon's 1.26, suggesting they can neutralize Lyon's attack led by Lacazette. The recent H2H record shows Brest won 1-0 at home in September 2023, with subsequent matches proving cagey and low-scoring. Brest's organized defensive setup under Eric Roy and tactical use of quick transitions gives them the edge. Lyon's pressing 4-3-3 formation tends to be less effective away from home.
Gemini · Forecast 3
65%Prediction: Brest Win
Score: 1 - 0
- Brest's elite home defensive record from the 2023/24 cycle (only 2 losses).
- Lyon's historical inconsistency in away fixtures despite recent form improvements.
- Low-scoring trend in recent head-to-head matchups favoring defensive organization.
Read full reasoning
Brest has established themselves as a formidable defensive unit, prioritizing structure and efficient transitions that particularly excel at home. Their ability to limit opponents to approximately one goal per game creates a high floor for success. Tactically, the matchup favors Brest's organized 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 setup, which is designed to stifle creative playmakers like Cherki. Lyon's heavy reliance on Alexandre Lacazette for clinical finishing makes them predictable if the service is cut off. Given the historical cagey nature of this fixture and Brest's superior defensive metrics at the Stade Francis-Le Blé, a narrow home victory is the most likely outcome, though a draw remains a distinct possibility if Lyon's individual quality manages to find a breakthrough.