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Final
2 - 7

Arizona Diamondbacks Win

2026-09-23 00:40

Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks

Away

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 Coors Field ● Colorado Rockies 2025 · 15th · 43W 119L (RD -424) ● Arizona Diamondbacks 2025 · 9th · 80W 82L (RD +6)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Arizona Diamondbacks Win

Confidence

53%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

4 - 6

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ As of June 2024, the Diamondbacks have a stronger roster and better recent form than the Rockies.
  • ✓ Arizona leads the 2024 head-to-head series 4-2 and has a more consistent offense, led by Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte.
  • ✓ Colorado has struggled with pitching and depth, reflected in a significantly worse win percentage and run differential.
Recommended Bets: Away Win (53%) Over 2.5 (48%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Colorado Rockies
35.9%
64.1%
Arizona Diamondbacks
Home 35.9%
Away 64.1%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 88.0%
90.8%
Home 9.2% Away 90.8%

Most likely scorelines

3-5
4.23%
3-4
4.05%
2-5
3.83%
3-6
3.77%
2-4
3.62%

Next fixtures

Colorado Rockies
09/24 H Arizona Diamondbacks MLB
09/25 H Arizona Diamondbacks MLB
09/26 A Chicago White Sox MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks
09/24 A Colorado Rockies MLB
09/25 A Colorado Rockies MLB
09/26 A San Diego Padres MLB

Compared across 22 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 64.1% · Gap 28.2%p

GREEN
Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 14:05

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Colorado Rockies
L L L L L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-15 MLB
Colorado Rockies 7 : 8 San Diego Padres
2026-09-14 MLB
Detroit Tigers 8 : 1 Colorado Rockies
2026-09-13 MLB
Detroit Tigers 11 : 7 Colorado Rockies
2026-09-12 MLB
Detroit Tigers 6 : 2 Colorado Rockies
2026-09-11 MLB
New York Yankees 10 : 3 Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
W L L W L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-15 MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks 8 : 7 Miami Marlins
2026-09-14 MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks 6 : 7 Texas Rangers
2026-09-13 MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks 2 : 6 Texas Rangers
2026-09-12 MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks 9 : 1 Texas Rangers
2026-09-10 MLB
Kansas City Royals 5 : 2 Arizona Diamondbacks

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

4

Draws

0

Away Wins

6

Average total runs 8.1

Recent matches

2026-08-13 MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks 4 - 6 Colorado Rockies
Home team won
2026-08-12 MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks 2 - 3 Colorado Rockies
Home team won
2026-08-11 MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks 9 - 0 Colorado Rockies
Away team won
2026-05-25 MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks 9 - 1 Colorado Rockies
Away team won
2026-05-24 MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks 5 - 4 Colorado Rockies
Away team won

Last meeting: 2026-08-13 (4-6)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Colorado Rockies

Rank 30
Games played 145
Record 55W · 90L
Runs scored / allowed 676 / 834
Avg runs scored / allowed 4.66 / 5.75
Win percentage 37.9%

Arizona Diamondbacks

Rank 10
Games played 145
Record 76W · 69L
Runs scored / allowed 641 / 641
Avg runs scored / allowed 4.42 / 4.42
Win percentage 52.4%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

2.56

Closing

35.3%

Away

1.5

Closing

64.7%

Match Winner 1 source #3979 Odds & records

Home

2.49

Away

1.36

Match Winner 2 sources #3980 Odds & records

Win

3.95

35.3%

Within 1

3.65

Loss

1.61

64.7%

Match Winner 1 source #3979 Odds & records

Home

2.49

Away

1.36

Match Winner 2 sources #3980 Odds & records

Win

4.1

35.3%

Within 1

3.8

Loss

1.56

64.7%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Colorado Rockies

145 games played

Arizona Diamondbacks

145 games played

Runs scored / game

Home4.66
Away4.42

Runs allowed / game

Home5.75
Away4.42

Run differential / game

Home-1.09
Away+0.00

Win percentage

Home37.9%
Away52.4%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Colorado Rockies
↓ -10.44

Sharp decline

Arizona Diamondbacks
↑ 2.79

Strong upward trend

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

37.9% Win percentage 52.4%
4.66 Avg runs scored 4.42
5.75 Avg runs allowed 4.42

Home/Away records

42.9% Win percentage 49.3%
5.13 Avg runs scored 4.27
6.2 Avg runs allowed 4.52

Recent

0.0% Win percentage 62.5%
4 Avg runs scored 5
8 Avg runs allowed 4.38

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Colorado Rockies

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 MLB #15 43W 119L 26.5% -424 RD 3.69 / 6.3
2024 MLB #15 61W 101L 37.7% -247 RD 4.21 / 5.73
2023 MLB NL West #15 59W 103L 36.4% -236 RD 4.45 / 5.91
2022 MLB NL West #12 68W 94L 42.0% -175 RD 4.31 / 5.39
2021 MLB NL West #10 74W 87L 46.0% -57 RD 4.59 / 4.94

Arizona Diamondbacks

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 MLB #9 80W 82L 49.4% +6 RD 4.88 / 4.85
2024 MLB #5 89W 73L 54.9% +98 RD 5.47 / 4.86
2023 MLB NL West #5 84W 78L 51.9% -15 RD 4.6 / 4.7
2022 MLB NL West #9 74W 88L 45.7% -38 RD 4.33 / 4.57
2021 MLB NL West #15 52W 110L 32.1% -214 RD 4.19 / 5.51

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

As of June 2024, the Diamondbacks have a stronger roster and better recent form than the Rockies.

Match Outlook

Arizona leads the 2024 head-to-head series 4-2 and has a more consistent offense, led by Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte.

Team Status

Colorado has struggled with pitching and depth, reflected in a significantly worse win percentage and run differential.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win36.0%
Away win64.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw0%
Away Win100%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

35%

Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks Win

Score: 4 - 6

  • As of June 2024, the Diamondbacks have a stronger roster and better recent form than the Rockies.
  • Arizona leads the 2024 head-to-head series 4-2 and has a more consistent offense, led by Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte.
  • Colorado has struggled with pitching and depth, reflected in a significantly worse win percentage and run differential.
Read full reasoning

Given the available data up to June 2024, the Arizona Diamondbacks have shown better performance both in recent games and the season series against the Rockies. The Rockies' pitching issues and overall weaker roster suggest a disadvantage, especially if key players remain injured or underperforming.

Claude · Forecast 2

62%

Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks Win

Score: 3 - 5

  • Arizona Diamondbacks historically stronger franchise with better recent NL West performance
  • Colorado Rockies consistently underperform with lower standings position and weaker offensive metrics
  • Coors Field elevation is a double-edged sword - benefits both teams but Rockies lack pitching depth to capitalize
  • Diamondbacks possess superior roster depth with established stars like Corbin Carroll and better pitching rotation
  • Late September matchup typically favors teams still in playoff contention - Arizona stronger postseason position
Read full reasoning

Based on historical NL West dynamics, the Arizona Diamondbacks project as favorites in this late-season matchup. The D-backs have consistently outperformed the Rockies in division standings and possess a superior roster composition with more reliable starting pitching and offensive consistency. While Coors Field presents environmental factors that could favor the home team, Colorado's historically weaker pitching staff struggles more with the altitude than Arizona benefits from it. In September baseball, playoff positioning becomes crucial - Arizona typically maintains better standing and offensive momentum. The Diamondbacks' proven ability to win close games and their superior bullpen depth gives them the edge despite playing in Denver.

Gemini · Forecast 3

65%

Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks Win

Score: 5 - 8

  • Arizona's superior rotation depth compared to Colorado's perennial pitching struggles at altitude.
  • The Diamondbacks' speed-oriented offense is well-suited to exploit the expansive outfield gaps at Coors Field.
  • Late-season motivation gap, as Arizona is historically more likely to be in postseason contention compared to Colorado.
Read full reasoning

The Arizona Diamondbacks enter this late-season matchup as the clear favorites based on franchise trajectory and roster depth. By late September, Arizona's balanced lineup—led by a core of high-contact hitters and elite baserunners—is typically optimized to exploit the unique dimensions and thin air of Coors Field. Conversely, the Colorado Rockies continue to face significant challenges in recruiting and maintaining a pitching staff capable of neutralizing high-powered offenses in Denver. Statistical trends from the mid-2020s suggest a widening gap between these NL West rivals. Arizona's focus on defensive efficiency and bullpen versatility provides them with a safety net that the Rockies often lack. While the 'Coors Field Effect' can lead to unpredictable high-scoring variance, the Diamondbacks' ability to manufacture runs through stolen bases and extra-base hits gives them a higher floor. Expect a high-scoring game where Arizona's late-inning relief pitching secures the win.

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