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Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox

Home

Final
6 - 1

Chicago White Sox Win

2026-09-25 23:40

Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies

Away

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 Guaranteed Rate Field ● Chicago White Sox 2025 · 15th · 60W 102L (RD -95) ● Colorado Rockies 2025 · 15th · 43W 119L (RD -424)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Chicago White Sox Win

Confidence

50%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

5 - 3

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ The Rockies historically perform worse on the road, with one of the league's poorest away records.
  • ✓ Key players for both teams are often injury-prone, but home field and marginally better pitching give the edge to Chicago.
Recommended Bets: Home Win (50%) Over 2.5 (45%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Chicago White Sox
53.5%
46.5%
Colorado Rockies
Home 53.5%
Away 46.5%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 88.0%
91.7%
Home 91.7% Away 8.3%

Most likely scorelines

10-3
2.54%
11-3
2.52%
12-3
2.31%
9-3
2.29%
10-4
2.26%

Next fixtures

Chicago White Sox
09/27 H Colorado Rockies MLB
09/28 H Colorado Rockies MLB
02/20 A Los Angeles Dodgers MLB - 스프링 트레이닝
Colorado Rockies
09/27 A Chicago White Sox MLB
09/28 A Chicago White Sox MLB
02/20 A Arizona Diamondbacks MLB - 스프링 트레이닝

Compared across 22 bookmakers.

🟡

Caution

Max probability 53.5% · Gap 7.0%p

YELLOW
Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 14:02

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Chicago White Sox
W L L W L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-18 MLB
Chicago White Sox 3 : 1 Detroit Tigers
2026-09-17 MLB
Cleveland Guardians 6 : 3 Chicago White Sox
2026-09-16 MLB
Cleveland Guardians 7 : 6 Chicago White Sox
2026-09-15 MLB
Cleveland Guardians 3 : 7 Chicago White Sox
2026-09-14 MLB
St.Louis Cardinals 3 : 1 Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies
L L W L L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-18 MLB
Colorado Rockies 2 : 9 San Diego Padres
2026-09-17 MLB
Colorado Rockies 3 : 9 San Diego Padres
2026-09-16 MLB
Colorado Rockies 9 : 3 San Diego Padres
2026-09-15 MLB
Colorado Rockies 7 : 8 San Diego Padres
2026-09-14 MLB
Detroit Tigers 8 : 1 Colorado Rockies

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

5

Draws

0

Away Wins

5

Average total runs 10.9

Recent matches

2025-07-07 MLB
Colorado Rockies 6 - 4 Chicago White Sox
Away team won
2025-07-06 MLB
Colorado Rockies 3 - 10 Chicago White Sox
Home team won
2025-07-05 MLB
Colorado Rockies 2 - 3 Chicago White Sox
Home team won
2024-07-01 MLB
Chicago White Sox 4 - 5 Colorado Rockies
Away team won
2024-06-30 MLB
Chicago White Sox 11 - 3 Colorado Rockies
Home team won

Last meeting: 2025-07-07 (6-4)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Chicago White Sox

Rank 12
Games played 151
Record 76W · 1D · 74L
Runs scored / allowed 705 / 669
Avg runs scored / allowed 4.67 / 4.43
Win percentage 50.7%

Colorado Rockies

Rank 30
Games played 148
Record 56W · 92L
Runs scored / allowed 690 / 855
Avg runs scored / allowed 4.66 / 5.78
Win percentage 37.8%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

1.45

Closing

67.2%

Away

2.72

Closing

32.8%

Match Winner 1 source #4600 Odds & records

Home

1.31

Away

2.68

Match Winner 2 sources #4601 Odds & records

Win

1.71

67.2%

Within 1

3.55

Loss

3.55

32.8%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Chicago White Sox

151 games played

Colorado Rockies

148 games played

Runs scored / game

Home4.67
Away4.66

Runs allowed / game

Home4.43
Away5.78

Run differential / game

Home+0.24
Away-1.12

Win percentage

Home50.7%
Away37.8%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Chicago White Sox
↓ -3.56

Sharp decline

Colorado Rockies
↓ -6.44

Sharp decline

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

50.7% Win percentage 37.8%
4.67 Avg runs scored 4.66
4.43 Avg runs allowed 5.78

Home/Away records

58.1% Win percentage 33.3%
4.89 Avg runs scored 4.23
4.04 Avg runs allowed 5.33

Recent

37.5% Win percentage 12.5%
3.63 Avg runs scored 4.25
4.25 Avg runs allowed 8

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Chicago White Sox

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 MLB #15 60W 102L 37.0% -95 RD 3.99 / 4.58
2024 MLB #15 41W 121L 25.3% -306 RD 3.13 / 5.02
2023 MLB AL Central #13 61W 101L 37.7% -200 RD 3.96 / 5.19
2022 MLB AL Central #8 81W 81L 50.0% -31 RD 4.23 / 4.43
2021 MLB AL Central #3 93W 69L 57.4% +160 RD 4.91 / 3.93

Colorado Rockies

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 MLB #15 43W 119L 26.5% -424 RD 3.69 / 6.3
2024 MLB #15 61W 101L 37.7% -247 RD 4.21 / 5.73
2023 MLB NL West #15 59W 103L 36.4% -236 RD 4.45 / 5.91
2022 MLB NL West #12 68W 94L 42.0% -175 RD 4.31 / 5.39
2021 MLB NL West #10 74W 87L 46.0% -57 RD 4.59 / 4.94

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Both teams struggled in the 2024 season, but the White Sox have a slight edge at home.

Match Outlook

The Rockies historically perform worse on the road, with one of the league's poorest away records.

Team Status

Key players for both teams are often injury-prone, but home field and marginally better pitching give the edge to Chicago.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win54.0%
Away win47.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

55%

Prediction: Chicago White Sox Win

Score: 5 - 3

  • The Rockies historically perform worse on the road, with one of the league's poorest away records.
  • Key players for both teams are often injury-prone, but home field and marginally better pitching give the edge to Chicago.
Read full reasoning

Based on 2024 trends, both teams are in rebuilding phases and struggle offensively and defensively. The White Sox's home advantage and the Rockies' poor away performance slightly tip the scales. However, due to the lack of 2026-specific data, confidence is moderate and the analysis strength is low. Closer to the match, updated rosters, standings, and form could shift the prediction.

Claude · Forecast 2

52%

Prediction: Chicago White Sox Win

Score: 4 - 3

  • Chicago White Sox benefit from home field advantage at Guaranteed Rate Field
  • Late September match suggests both teams may be out of playoff contention with reduced motivation
  • Colorado Rockies historically struggle in away games, particularly in non-altitude environments
  • Both teams showed weakness in pitching depth as of June 2024 data (ERA 5.20 vs 5.80)
  • Interleague matchups between these teams are relatively infrequent with limited historical precedent
Read full reasoning

Given that current data only extends to June 2024 and this match is scheduled for September 2026, analysis strength is inherently limited. Based on available context, the White Sox hold marginal advantage due to home field benefit, as the Rockies historically underperform in road games and outside elevation environments. Both teams demonstrated significant pitching weaknesses in early 2024, and September timing suggests potential roster changes and reduced motivation. However, without 2026 roster information, current standings, recent form, or key player availability, confidence remains moderate. The prediction favors a competitive, close-scoring affair won by the White Sox, reflecting home advantage rather than dominant performance expectations."

Gemini · Forecast 3

45%

Prediction: Chicago White Sox Win

Score: 5 - 4

  • Historical trend of Colorado Rockies struggling significantly in road games away from Coors Field.
  • Both franchises are currently in long-term rebuilding phases with high roster turnover expected by 2026.
  • Late-season matchup dynamics often favor the home team when postseason implications are minimal.
Read full reasoning

Predicting a matchup for September 2026 requires projecting the development of current minor league prospects. By 2026, their core of young arms should be more established. Conversely, the Rockies continue to face the unique challenge of the 'Coors Field hangover,' where their offensive production typically drops significantly during road series due to the change in pitch movement at sea level. This specific game, occurring in the final week of the 2026 regular season, will likely feature younger rosters as both teams evaluate talent for the following year. Given the historical difficulty the Rockies face on the road and the White Sox's aggressive rebuilding timeline, the home team holds a slight statistical advantage. However, the analysis remains speculative due to the two-year gap and potential trades or free-agent acquisitions that could alter team compositions.

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