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⚾ Baseball MLB
Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers

Home

Scheduled

VS

Match Time

2026-09-26

23:10

St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals

Away

Korean market · Odds & records

2026 / 114 · #4876 · Match Winner → 2026 / 114 · #4877 · Match Winner → 2026 / 114 · #4878 · Handicap (-2.5) -2.5 → 2026 / 114 · #4879 · Over/Under (7.5) 7.5 → 2026 / 114 · #4880 · Total Sum →
🏟 American Family Field ● Milwaukee Brewers 2025 · 1st · 97W 65L (RD +172) ● St. Louis Cardinals 2025 · 11th · 78W 84L (RD -65)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers Win

Confidence

69%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

5 - 3

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Milwaukee Brewers have a stronger overall record and better run differential as of June 2024.
  • ✓ Brewers hold a recent head-to-head advantage over the Cardinals, both in the current and prior seasons.
  • ✓ The Cardinals have struggled with inconsistent offense and a less reliable pitching staff, especially after injuries.
Recommended Bets: Home Win (69%) Over 2.5 (64%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Milwaukee Brewers
64.1%
35.9%
St. Louis Cardinals
Home 64.1%
Away 35.9%

💰 EV Analysis

Overround: 5.8%
Outcome Odds Market Prob AI Prob EV
Milwaukee Brewers Win 1.52 62.2% 64.1% -2.6%
St. Louis Cardinals Win 2.5 37.8% 35.9% -10.3%
No value bets detected for this match
📈 Historical results at this odds range
Home odds 1.50~1.59 Home Win 56.9% · Away Win 43.0% · Draw 0.1% (9,173 matches, 2009~2026)
Away odds 2.50~2.59 Home Win 68.5% · Away Win 31.0% · Draw 0.5% (1,005 matches, 2009~2026)

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 87.9%
90.0%
Home 90.0% Away 10.0%

Most likely scorelines

3-1
6.81%
4-1
6.69%
3-2
6.08%
4-2
5.78%
2-1
5.38%

Next fixtures

Milwaukee Brewers
09/28 H St. Louis Cardinals MLB
02/20 H Los Angeles Angels MLB - 스프링 트레이닝
02/21 H Chicago White Sox MLB - 스프링 트레이닝
St. Louis Cardinals
09/28 A Milwaukee Brewers MLB
02/20 A Miami Marlins MLB - 스프링 트레이닝
02/21 H Houston Astros MLB - 스프링 트레이닝

Compared across 17 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 64.1% · Gap 28.2%p

GREEN

Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.

Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 14:02

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Milwaukee Brewers
W L W W L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-19 MLB
Baltimore Orioles 5 : 6 Milwaukee Brewers
2026-09-18 MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates 7 : 4 Milwaukee Brewers
2026-09-17 MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates 4 : 5 Milwaukee Brewers
2026-09-16 MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates 1 : 5 Milwaukee Brewers
2026-09-14 MLB
Milwaukee Brewers 3 : 4 Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
L L L W W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-19 MLB
St.Louis Cardinals 1 : 9 Washington Nationals
2026-09-17 MLB
St.Louis Cardinals 5 : 6 San Francisco Giants
2026-09-16 MLB
St.Louis Cardinals 3 : 10 San Francisco Giants
2026-09-15 MLB
St.Louis Cardinals 2 : 1 San Francisco Giants
2026-09-14 MLB
St.Louis Cardinals 3 : 1 Chicago White Sox

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

8

Draws

0

Away Wins

2

Average total runs 7.6

Recent matches

2026-07-10 MLB
St.Louis Cardinals 4 - 8 Milwaukee Brewers
Home team won
2026-07-09 MLB
St.Louis Cardinals 5 - 1 Milwaukee Brewers
Away team won
2026-07-08 MLB
St.Louis Cardinals 2 - 10 Milwaukee Brewers
Home team won
2026-07-08 MLB
St.Louis Cardinals 3 - 4 Milwaukee Brewers
Home team won
2026-07-07 MLB
St.Louis Cardinals 3 - 4 Milwaukee Brewers
Home team won

Last meeting: 2026-07-10 (4-8)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Milwaukee Brewers

Rank 1
Games played 150
Record 95W · 55L
Runs scored / allowed 780 / 583
Avg runs scored / allowed 5.2 / 3.89
Win percentage 63.3%

St. Louis Cardinals

Rank 17
Games played 151
Record 73W · 1D · 77L
Runs scored / allowed 675 / 693
Avg runs scored / allowed 4.47 / 4.59
Win percentage 48.7%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

1.52

Closing

61.9%

Away

2.5

Closing

38.1%

Match Winner 1 source #4876 Odds & records

Home

1.42

Away

2.31

Match Winner 2 sources #4877 Odds & records

Win

1.91

61.9%

Within 1

3.35

Loss

3.05

38.1%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Milwaukee Brewers

150 games played

St. Louis Cardinals

151 games played

Runs scored / game

Home5.20
Away4.47

Runs allowed / game

Home3.89
Away4.59

Run differential / game

Home+1.31
Away-0.12

Win percentage

Home63.3%
Away48.7%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Milwaukee Brewers
↑ 4.44

Strong upward trend

St. Louis Cardinals
↓ -3.05

Sharp decline

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

63.3% Win percentage 48.7%
5.2 Avg runs scored 4.47
3.89 Avg runs allowed 4.59

Home/Away records

68.0% Win percentage 50.0%
5.53 Avg runs scored 5.15
3.45 Avg runs allowed 4.68

Recent

75.0% Win percentage 37.5%
8 Avg runs scored 4
4.5 Avg runs allowed 5.38

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Milwaukee Brewers

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 MLB #1 97W 65L 59.9% +172 RD 4.98 / 3.91
2024 MLB #3 93W 69L 57.4% +136 RD 4.8 / 3.96
2023 MLB NL Central #3 92W 70L 56.8% +81 RD 4.49 / 3.99
2022 MLB NL Central #7 86W 76L 53.1% +37 RD 4.48 / 4.25
2021 MLB NL Central #3 95W 67L 58.6% +115 RD 4.56 / 3.85

St. Louis Cardinals

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 MLB #11 78W 84L 48.1% -65 RD 4.25 / 4.65
2024 MLB #9 83W 79L 51.2% -47 RD 4.15 / 4.44
2023 MLB NL Central #14 71W 91L 43.8% -110 RD 4.44 / 5.12
2022 MLB NL Central #4 93W 69L 57.4% +135 RD 4.77 / 3.93
2021 MLB NL Central #4 90W 72L 55.6% +34 RD 4.36 / 4.15

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Milwaukee Brewers have a stronger overall record and better run differential as of June 2024.

Match Outlook

Brewers hold a recent head-to-head advantage over the Cardinals, both in the current and prior seasons.

Team Status

The Cardinals have struggled with inconsistent offense and a less reliable pitching staff, especially after injuries.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win64.0%
Away win36.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

75%

Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers Win

Score: 5 - 3

  • Milwaukee Brewers have a stronger overall record and better run differential as of June 2024.
  • Brewers hold a recent head-to-head advantage over the Cardinals, both in the current and prior seasons.
  • The Cardinals have struggled with inconsistent offense and a less reliable pitching staff, especially after injuries.
Read full reasoning

Based on data up to June 2024, the Brewers are clearly outperforming the Cardinals in both pitching and offense, and have shown consistency at home. The Cardinals’ pitching depth and offensive production have been inconsistent, and their recent head-to-head performance against the Brewers is lacking. While future developments (trades, injuries) could impact this projection by September 2026, current trends and rosters favor Milwaukee at home.

Claude · Forecast 2

68%

Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers Win

Score: 4 - 2

  • Milwaukee Brewers favored based on superior recent form and standings position (1st vs 4th in NL Central as of June 2024)
  • Brewers demonstrate better pitching depth (3.78 ERA vs Cardinals' 4.28 ERA) and more consistent offensive production
Read full reasoning

Based on available data through June 2024, the Milwaukee Brewers are clear favorites in this late September matchup. The Brewers hold a significant advantage in divisional standings (+8 GB), positive run differential (+35 vs Cardinals -25), and have demonstrated superior pitching and offensive consistency. Their 3-of-5 recent wins and strong 20-10 home record contrast sharply with the Cardinals' .475 win percentage and struggles both at home and on the road. Historically, the Brewers have dominated this rivalry in 2023-2024, winning 8 of 13 matchups and leading the current season series 4-2. While the Cardinals boast veteran talent (Goldschmidt, Arenado), their pitching depth concerns and inconsistent performance make them underdogs. The prediction favors a Brewers home victory, though the Cardinals' star power could produce a competitive game.

Gemini · Forecast 3

65%

Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers Win

Score: 5 - 3

  • Brewers' pitching staff maintains a significantly lower ERA (3.78) compared to the Cardinals (4.28).
  • The Cardinals' negative run differential indicates a lack of consistency in both run production and prevention.
Read full reasoning

Their pitching rotation, anchored by high-strikeout starters and a reliable bullpen, gives them a significant advantage over a St. Louis Cardinals staff that has struggled with depth and a high WHIP. Milwaukee's offensive efficiency, led by the resurgence of Christian Yelich and the breakout of William Contreras, provides a steady run-scoring floor that the Cardinals' streaky lineup often fails to match. Historically, the Brewers have dominated the NL Central divisional matchups in recent years, demonstrating a tactical edge in late-season series. The Cardinals' reliance on aging veteran stars like Goldschmidt and Arenado introduces more volatility compared to the Brewers' younger, more athletic roster. Given the home-field advantage and the statistical gap in run differential, the Brewers are favored to win a typical mid-to-high scoring contest.

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