Previous detail view Open new match centre →
⚾ Baseball MLB
Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners

Home

Scheduled

VS

Match Time

2026-09-27

01:40

Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels

Away

Korean market · Odds & records

2026 / 114 · #4964 · Match Winner → 2026 / 114 · #4965 · Match Winner → 2026 / 114 · #4966 · Handicap (-2.5) -2.5 → 2026 / 114 · #4967 · Over/Under (7.5) 7.5 → 2026 / 114 · #4968 · Total Sum →
🏟 T-Mobile Park ● Seattle Mariners 2025 · 3rd · 90W 72L (RD +72) ● Los Angeles Angels 2025 · 13th · 72W 90L (RD -164)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Seattle Mariners Win

Confidence

77%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

5 - 2

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Seattle's pitching staff is among the AL's best, while the Angels' rotation and bullpen are major weaknesses, allowing over 5 runs per game.
  • ✓ The Angels are missing key players like Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon, further limiting their offensive potential.
Recommended Bets: Home Win (77%) Over 2.5 (70%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Seattle Mariners
72.5%
27.5%
Los Angeles Angels
Home 72.5%
Away 27.5%

💰 EV Analysis

Overround: 5.6%
Outcome Odds Market Prob AI Prob EV
Seattle Mariners Win 1.51 62.7% 72.5% +9.5%
Los Angeles Angels Win 2.54 37.3% 27.5% -30.1%
🔥 Value Bet Detected
Seattle Mariners Win @ 1.51
EV +9.5% Kelly 18.6%
📈 Historical results at this odds range
Home odds 1.50~1.59 Home Win 56.9% · Away Win 43.0% · Draw 0.1% (9,173 matches, 2009~2026)
Away odds 2.50~2.59 Home Win 68.5% · Away Win 31.0% · Draw 0.5% (1,005 matches, 2009~2026)

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 88.0%
43.6%
56.4%
Home 43.6% Away 56.4%

Most likely scorelines

5-6
3.07%
4-6
2.88%
6-5
2.8%
4-5
2.68%
5-4
2.65%

Next fixtures

Seattle Mariners
09/28 H Los Angeles Angels MLB
02/20 H San Diego Padres MLB - 스프링 트레이닝
02/21 A Colorado Rockies MLB - 스프링 트레이닝
Los Angeles Angels
09/28 A Seattle Mariners MLB
02/20 A Milwaukee Brewers MLB - 스프링 트레이닝
02/21 H Cleveland Guardians MLB - 스프링 트레이닝

Compared across 20 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 72.5% · Gap 45.0%p

GREEN

Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.

Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 14:02

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Seattle Mariners
W W L L L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-19 MLB
Colorado Rockies 4 : 5 Seattle Mariners
2026-09-17 MLB
Los Angeles Angels 2 : 7 Seattle Mariners
2026-09-16 MLB
Los Angeles Angels 2 : 1 Seattle Mariners
2026-09-15 MLB
Los Angeles Angels 6 : 4 Seattle Mariners
2026-09-14 MLB
Athletics 8 : 7 Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
L W L W W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-19 MLB
Los Angeles Angels 0 : 3 Minnesota Twins
2026-09-18 MLB
Los Angeles Angels 5 : 4 Minnesota Twins
2026-09-17 MLB
Los Angeles Angels 2 : 7 Seattle Mariners
2026-09-16 MLB
Los Angeles Angels 2 : 1 Seattle Mariners
2026-09-15 MLB
Los Angeles Angels 6 : 4 Seattle Mariners

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

6

Draws

0

Away Wins

4

Average total runs 7.5

Recent matches

2026-09-17 MLB
Los Angeles Angels 2 - 7 Seattle Mariners
Home team won
2026-09-16 MLB
Los Angeles Angels 2 - 1 Seattle Mariners
Away team won
2026-09-15 MLB
Los Angeles Angels 6 - 4 Seattle Mariners
Away team won
2026-07-03 MLB
Seattle Mariners 1 - 0 Los Angeles Angels
Home team won
2026-07-01 MLB
Seattle Mariners 8 - 3 Los Angeles Angels
Home team won

Last meeting: 2026-09-17 (2-7)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Seattle Mariners

Rank 22
Games played 145
Record 69W · 76L
Runs scored / allowed 597 / 644
Avg runs scored / allowed 4.12 / 4.44
Win percentage 47.6%

Los Angeles Angels

Rank 27
Games played 144
Record 57W · 87L
Runs scored / allowed 570 / 639
Avg runs scored / allowed 3.96 / 4.44
Win percentage 39.6%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

1.51

Closing

64.7%

Away

2.54

Closing

35.3%

Match Winner 1 source #4964 Odds & records

Home

1.36

Away

2.49

Match Winner 2 sources #4965 Odds & records

Win

1.81

64.7%

Within 1

3.4

Loss

3.3

35.3%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Seattle Mariners

145 games played

Los Angeles Angels

144 games played

Runs scored / game

Home4.12
Away3.96

Runs allowed / game

Home4.44
Away4.44

Run differential / game

Home-0.32
Away-0.48

Win percentage

Home47.6%
Away39.6%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Seattle Mariners
↓ -3.62

Sharp decline

Los Angeles Angels
↓ -1.95

Slight decline

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

47.6% Win percentage 39.6%
4.12 Avg runs scored 3.96
4.44 Avg runs allowed 4.44

Home/Away records

55.1% Win percentage 35.2%
3.81 Avg runs scored 4.44
3.88 Avg runs allowed 4.76

Recent

50.0% Win percentage 37.5%
6.5 Avg runs scored 3.5
4 Avg runs allowed 4.38

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Seattle Mariners

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 MLB #3 90W 72L 55.6% +72 RD 4.73 / 4.28
2024 MLB #7 85W 77L 52.5% +69 RD 4.17 / 3.75
2023 MLB AL West #6 88W 74L 54.3% +99 RD 4.68 / 4.07
2022 MLB AL West #5 90W 72L 55.6% +67 RD 4.26 / 3.85
2021 MLB AL West #7 90W 72L 55.6% -51 RD 4.3 / 4.62

Los Angeles Angels

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 MLB #13 72W 90L 44.4% -164 RD 4.15 / 5.17
2024 MLB #14 63W 99L 38.9% -162 RD 3.92 / 4.92
2023 MLB AL West #12 73W 89L 45.1% -90 RD 4.56 / 5.12
2022 MLB AL West #11 73W 89L 45.1% -45 RD 3.85 / 4.12
2021 MLB AL West #11 77W 85L 47.5% -81 RD 4.46 / 4.96

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

The Mariners have a significant edge in recent form and head-to-head matchups, leading the Angels 5-1 in the 2024 season series.

Match Outlook

Seattle's pitching staff is among the AL's best, while the Angels' rotation and bullpen are major weaknesses, allowing over 5 runs per game.

Team Status

The Angels are missing key players like Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon, further limiting their offensive potential.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win72.0%
Away win28.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

85%

Prediction: Seattle Mariners Win

Score: 5 - 2

  • Seattle's pitching staff is among the AL's best, while the Angels' rotation and bullpen are major weaknesses, allowing over 5 runs per game.
  • The Angels are missing key players like Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon, further limiting their offensive potential.
Read full reasoning

Their superior pitching and recent dominance over the Angels, combined with the Angels' injury issues and poor recent form, make Seattle clear favorites. However, as the data is not current for 2026, some uncertainty exists regarding player moves or injuries, so the confidence is not maximal.

Claude · Forecast 2

72%

Prediction: Seattle Mariners Win

Score: 5 - 2

  • Seattle's dominant pitching staff significantly outmatches Angels' struggling rotation and bullpen
  • Mariners' superior offensive consistency (4.1 RPG) vs Angels' bottom-tier defense (5.1 RA/G) creates favorable matchup
  • Angels severely hampered by Mike Trout's season-ending injury and multiple IL players reduces offensive firepower
  • Mariners' playoff push motivation and form (3-2 recent trend) contrasts sharply with Angels' rebuild struggles (0-5 skid in June 2024)
Read full reasoning

The Seattle Mariners are heavily favored as the home team against the Los Angeles Angels in this late-September matchup. The Mariners possess a significantly superior roster with elite pitching depth (3.8 RA/G) led by ace Logan Gilbert, combined with solid offensive production anchored by Julio Rodríguez. Conversely, the Angels remain crippled by Mike Trout's season-ending injury and multiple players on the injured list, severely limiting their competitive capacity. The Angels' defensive vulnerabilities (5.1 RA/G, bottom-5 in AL) and bullpen inconsistencies will be ruthlessly exposed by Mariners' contact hitters and disciplined approach. At home, where Seattle posts a .606 winning percentage versus Angels' dismal .390 away record, the Mariners should control both sides of the ball decisively. Late-season playoff positioning implications likely motivate Seattle further.

Gemini · Forecast 3

75%

Prediction: Seattle Mariners Win

Score: 5 - 2

  • Seattle Mariners' elite starting pitching rotation and low team ERA
  • Los Angeles Angels' persistent struggles with bullpen depth and run prevention
  • Significant disparity in recent head-to-head performance favoring Seattle
Read full reasoning

The Seattle Mariners enter this matchup as heavy favorites based on their established dominance in the AL West and superior pitching metrics. With a rotation capable of limiting high-powered offenses and a bullpen that has shown reliability in close games, the Mariners are well-positioned against an Angels squad that has struggled with consistency and depth. The Angels' rebuilding phase, compounded by previous injuries to key veterans, has left them trailing in run differential and overall win percentage. Historically, the Mariners have controlled the recent season series, effectively neutralizing the Angels' offensive threats. Given the Mariners' strong home record and the Angels' historical struggles on the road, a victory for Seattle is the most probable outcome. The tactical matchup favors Seattle's disciplined approach at the plate against an Angels pitching staff that has frequently struggled with command and allowing high-slugging percentages.

← All Matches Home
⚽
⚽

Betty

Sports Betting AI Assistant
⚽

Hi, I'm Betty! ⚽

Ask me anything!

Odds analysis
Over/Under
Handicap
Bankroll