Key Analysis
LAFC is in strong form, sitting near the top of the Western Conference and boasting a solid attack and defense.
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⚽ Football
MLS
⭐ Featured
San Jose Earthquakes
Home
Final
2
-
2
Draw
2026-09-19 22:30
Los Angeles FC
Away
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 리바이스스타디움
● San Jose Earthquakes 2025 · 10th · 11W 8D 15L (GD -3)
● Los Angeles FC 2025 · 3rd · 17W 9D 8L (GD +25)
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Los Angeles FC Win
Prediction Missed🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Los Angeles FC Win
Confidence
80%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 3
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ LAFC is in strong form, sitting near the top of the Western Conference and boasting a solid attack and defense.
- ✓ San Jose has struggled significantly, especially defensively, conceding over 2 goals per game and ranking last in the conference.
- ✓ LAFC has dominated the recent head-to-head matchups, including a comfortable home win in their last meeting.
Recommended Bets:
Away Win
(80%)
Over 2.5
(70%)
📊 Win Probability
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
12.5%
17.5%
70.0%
Home 12.5%
Draw 17.5%
Away 70.0%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 87.1%
20.0%
26.3%
53.6%
Home 20.0%
Draw 26.3%
Away 53.6%
Most likely scorelines
0-1
14.86%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.95%
1-0
10.53%
0-2
9.07%
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Compared across 24 bookmakers.
🟢
GREEN
Safe Bet
Max probability 70.0% · Gap 52.5%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:06
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
San Jose Earthquakes
W
D
D
L
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-10
MLS
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
2026-09-06
MLS
Austin FC
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
2026-08-30
MLS
Houston Dynamo
0 : 0
San Jose Earthquakes
2026-08-23
MLS
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 5
Minnesota United
2026-08-20
MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 0
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
W
D
D
D
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-10
MLS
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
2026-09-06
MLS
Real Salt Lake
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
2026-08-30
MLS
DC United
0 : 0
Los Angeles FC
2026-08-23
MLS
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1
Portland Timbers
2026-08-20
MLS
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
1
Away Wins
6
Average total goals
4.3
Recent matches
2026-04-20
MLS
Los Angeles FC
1 - 4
San Jose Earthquakes
Home team won
2025-09-14
MLS
San Jose Earthquakes
2 - 4
Los Angeles FC
Away team won
2025-04-13
MLS
Los Angeles FC
2 - 1
San Jose Earthquakes
Away team won
2024-10-20
MLS
Los Angeles FC
3 - 1
San Jose Earthquakes
Away team won
2024-08-14
Leagues Cup
Los Angeles FC
4 - 1
San Jose Earthquakes
Away team won
Last meeting: 2026-04-20 (1-4)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
San Jose Earthquakes
Rank
10
Games played
24
Record
11W · 5D · 8L
Standing points
38
Standing points / match
1.58
Goals for / against
43 / 36
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.79 / 1.5
Los Angeles FC
Rank
5
Games played
25
Record
11W · 7D · 7L
Standing points
40
Standing points / match
1.6
Goals for / against
40 / 24
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.6 / 0.96
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
San Jose Earthquakes
GOAL
38
ATTACK
35
RS
38
RA
29
DEFENSE
56
Los Angeles FC
GOAL
55
ATTACK
32
RS
42
RA
75
DEFENSE
78
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
San Jose Earthquakes
↓
-7.79
Sharp decline
Los Angeles FC
↓
-4.16
Sharp decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1.58
Standing points / match
1.6
1.79
Avg goals scored
1.6
1.5
Avg goals allowed
0.96
Home/Away records
1.27
Standing points / match
1.17
1.73
Avg goals scored
1.25
1.73
Avg goals allowed
1.08
Recent
0.75
Standing points / match
1.25
1.13
Avg goals scored
1.25
2.13
Avg goals allowed
0.75
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
San Jose Earthquakes
Overall
Win 1
Unbeaten 3
Best: Win 6 · Unbeaten 8
At Home
Lose 2
Winless 6
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 3
Away
Win 1
Unbeaten 3
Best: Win 5 · Unbeaten 6
Los Angeles FC
Overall
Win 1
Unbeaten 4
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 6
At Home
Win 1
Unbeaten 2
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 4
Away
Unbeaten 2
Winless 4
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
San Jose Earthquakes
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #10 | 11W 8D 15L | -3 GD | 1.76 / 1.85 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #14 | 6W 3D 25L | -37 GD | 1.21 / 2.29 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #9 | 10W 14D 10L | -4 GD | 1.15 / 1.26 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #14 | 8W 11D 15L | 35 pts -17 GD | 1.53 / 2.03 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #10 | 10W 11D 13L | 41 pts -8 GD | 1.35 / 1.59 |
Los Angeles FC
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 17W 9D 8L | +25 GD | 1.91 / 1.18 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #1 | 19W 7D 8L | +20 GD | 1.85 / 1.26 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 14W 10D 10L | +15 GD | 1.59 / 1.15 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #1 | 21W 4D 9L | 67 pts +28 GD | 1.94 / 1.12 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #9 | 12W 9D 13L | 45 pts +2 GD | 1.56 / 1.5 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
San Jose Earthquakes
15 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 28 Benjamin Kikanobichi (26) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 19 Peureseuteon Jeodeu (27) | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| FW | 7 Ousseni Bouda (26) | 5 | 2 | - |
| FW | 11 Timo Bereuneo (30) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 10 Niko Tsakiris (21) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 6 Ian Hakeuseu (31) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 14 Honaudu Bieira (28) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 16 Jaek Seukahan (28) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 40 Jonatan Gonjalreseu (27) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Daniel Munie (56) | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| DF | 24 Dejuan Jonseu (29) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 3 Pol Mari (31) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 87 Bitoreu Koseuta De Beurito (32) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Deibideu Romni (33) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 42 Daniel (32) | 5 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles FC
16 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 99 Deniseu Buangga (32) | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 19 Tailreo Boideu (32) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 7 Sonheungmin (34) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 65 Amin Boudri (22) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 27 Nathan Ordaz (56) | 2 | 1 | - |
| FW | 21 Raieon Raposo (27) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Mareuko Delgado (31) | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 11 Timoti Tilman (27) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 66 Matioe Choiniereu (27) | 5 | 2 | - |
| MF | 46 Seutepan Antuneseu Yuseutakio (30) Leg injury | 3 | 1 | - |
| MF | 24 Raieon Holringswedeu (35) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 91 Eunkosi Beojiseu (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Raieon Poreuteuseu (27) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 4 Edi Segura (29) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 14 Sereugi Palrensia (30) | 4 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Hyugo Yoriseu (40) | 5 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
San Jose has struggled significantly, especially defensively, conceding over 2 goals per game and ranking last in the conference.
Team Status
LAFC has dominated the recent head-to-head matchups, including a comfortable home win in their last meeting.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win12.0%
Draw17.0%
Away win70.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw0%
Away Win100%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
85%Prediction: Los Angeles FC Win
Score: 1 - 3
- LAFC is in strong form, sitting near the top of the Western Conference and boasting a solid attack and defense.
- San Jose has struggled significantly, especially defensively, conceding over 2 goals per game and ranking last in the conference.
- LAFC has dominated the recent head-to-head matchups, including a comfortable home win in their last meeting.
Read full reasoning
Based on recent form, squad quality, and historical head-to-head results from 2024, LAFC is the clear favorite. San Jose's defensive issues and poor league standing suggest they will struggle to contain LAFC's attack. While rosters may change by 2026, the current data strongly favors LAFC. However, the confidence is not maximum due to the distant fixture date and potential for roster/coaching changes.
Claude · Forecast 2
82%Prediction: Los Angeles FC Win
Score: 1 - 3
- LAFC dominates recent form with 3 wins in last 5 games vs San Jose's 1 win in 5 games
- Historical head-to-head strongly favors LAFC with 8 wins vs San Jose's 5 wins, including dominant 2-0 win in May 2024
- San Jose's defensive crisis (conceding 2.05 goals/game) vs LAFC's potent attack (1.68 goals/game) creates significant mismatch
- LAFC's possession-based tactics and high-press style exploits San Jose's structural vulnerabilities
Read full reasoning
Los Angeles FC enters as overwhelming favorites for this September 2026 matchup based on sustained dominance indicators from 2024 baseline data. LAFC maintains top-tier form, currently 2nd in Western Conference with 34 points, while San Jose sits 14th with only 11 points and a catastrophic -19 goal differential. The recent May 2024 clash exemplifies the gap—LAFC won 2-0, part of their 8-13 all-time head-to-head record. San Jose's defensive crisis (39 goals conceded in 14 games) contrasts sharply with LAFC's efficient defense (20 conceded in 19 games). While team compositions may evolve significantly by 2026, structural competitive advantages rarely reverse quickly in MLS. LAFC's system under Steve Cherundolo emphasizes possession and transitions that exploit San Jose's weaknesses.
Gemini · Forecast 3
75%Prediction: Los Angeles FC Win
Score: 1 - 3
- LAFC's offensive efficiency (1.68 goals/game) vs San Jose's defensive struggles (2.05 conceded/game).
- Historical dominance by LAFC with 8 wins in 13 regular season meetings.
- Significant disparity in conference standings and goal differential (+12 for LAFC vs -19 for San Jose).
Read full reasoning
Los Angeles FC enters this matchup as the heavy favorite, boasting a significantly more balanced roster and superior tactical organization. Based on the 2024 data provided, LAFC's high-press 4-3-3 system is perfectly suited to exploit San Jose's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly their tendency to concede late goals and struggle with transition defense. San Jose's goals-against average of over 2.0 per match suggests they lack the structural integrity to hold off an elite attacking unit for 90 minutes. While the Earthquakes have shown flashes of individual brilliance from players like Espinoza, their home record offers little protection against a title-contending side. LAFC's depth and consistency in the Western Conference standings highlight a gulf in class. Given that recent head-to-head history heavily favors the visitors and San Jose remains in a rebuilding phase, the most likely outcome is a multi-goal victory for LAFC, even playing away from home.