Key Analysis
LAFC have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 8 of the last 15 matches.
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⚽ Football
MLS
FC Dallas
Home
Scheduled
VS
Match Time
2026-09-26
23:30
Los Angeles FC
Away
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 도요타 스타디움
● FC Dallas 2025 · 7th · 11W 11D 12L (GD -3)
● Los Angeles FC 2025 · 3rd · 17W 9D 8L (GD +25)
Los Angeles FC favored
52%
Confidence
High
- · FC Dallas last 5: 3W 1D 1L
- · Head-to-head 10 matches: home 3W 1D 6L
- · Data-based estimate points the same way
AI analysis 2026-09-20 00:30
·
data as of 2026-09-26 14:02
🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Los Angeles FC Win
Confidence
70%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ LAFC have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 8 of the last 15 matches.
- ✓ LAFC possess a stronger attack (1.93 goals/game vs Dallas' 1.07) and superior overall form.
- ✓ FC Dallas have struggled for consistency and defensive solidity, especially against top sides.
Recommended Bets:
Away Win
(70%)
Over 2.5
(65%)
📊 Win Probability
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC
22.5%
25.0%
52.5%
Home 22.5%
Draw 25.0%
Away 52.5%
💰 EV Analysis
Overround: 14.8%| Outcome | Odds | Market Prob | AI Prob | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas Win | 2.11 | 41.3% | 22.5% | -52.5% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 25.2% | 25.0% | -13.7% |
| Los Angeles FC Win | 2.6 | 33.5% | 52.5% | +36.5% |
🔥
Value Bet Detected
Los Angeles FC Win
@ 2.6
High Odds
EV +36.5%
Kelly 22.8%
📊 High Odds Investment: Value bets with odds ≥ 2.0 have lower hit rates but positive expected returns over time. The math works when you bet consistently — even hitting 1 out of 3 at 4.0x odds yields profit. Never bet more than Kelly suggests. Patience and bankroll discipline are key.
📈 Historical results at this odds range
Home odds 2.10~2.19
Home Win 40.5% · Away Win 30.4% · Draw 29.1%
(3,256 matches, 2009~2026)
Draw odds 3.40~3.49
Home Win 43.1% · Away Win 30.3% · Draw 26.6%
(5,589 matches, 2009~2026)
Away odds 2.60~2.69
Home Win 39.7% · Draw 30.2% · Away Win 30.1%
(2,236 matches, 2009~2026)
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 87.1%
53.1%
34.7%
12.2%
Home 53.1%
Draw 34.7%
Away 12.2%
Most likely scorelines
1-1
9.68%
2-1
9.19%
1-2
6.77%
1-0
6.64%
2-2
6.56%
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Compared across 24 bookmakers.
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 52.5% · Gap 27.5%p
Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.
Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 14:02
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
FC Dallas
W
W
W
D
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-13
MLS
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
2026-09-10
MLS
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
2026-09-06
MLS
FC Dallas
4 : 3
Sporting Kansas City
2026-08-31
MLS
St. Louis City
3 : 3
FC Dallas
2026-08-23
MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps
5 : 0
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC
L
W
D
D
D
View 5 recent results
2026-09-13
MLS
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
2026-09-10
MLS
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
2026-09-06
MLS
Real Salt Lake
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
2026-08-30
MLS
DC United
0 : 0
Los Angeles FC
2026-08-23
MLS
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1
Portland Timbers
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
1
Away Wins
6
Average total goals
2.7
Recent matches
2026-03-08
MLS
Los Angeles FC
1 - 0
FC Dallas
Away team won
2025-08-24
MLS
FC Dallas
1 - 1
Los Angeles FC
Draw
2025-07-13
MLS
Los Angeles FC
2 - 0
FC Dallas
Away team won
2024-09-22
MLS
FC Dallas
3 - 1
Los Angeles FC
Home team won
2024-06-02
MLS
Los Angeles FC
1 - 0
FC Dallas
Away team won
Last meeting: 2026-03-08 (1-0)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
FC Dallas
Rank
5
Games played
25
Record
12W · 7D · 6L
Standing points
43
Standing points / match
1.72
Goals for / against
49 / 42
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.96 / 1.68
Los Angeles FC
Rank
9
Games played
26
Record
11W · 7D · 8L
Standing points
40
Standing points / match
1.54
Goals for / against
41 / 27
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.58 / 1.04
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
FC Dallas
GOAL
55
ATTACK
44
RS
71
RA
29
DEFENSE
54
Los Angeles FC
GOAL
57
ATTACK
31
RS
29
RA
62
DEFENSE
75
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
FC Dallas
↑
7.81
Strong upward trend
Los Angeles FC
↓
-7.29
Sharp decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1.72
Standing points / match
1.54
1.96
Avg goals scored
1.58
1.68
Avg goals allowed
1.04
Home/Away records
1.73
Standing points / match
1.08
2.18
Avg goals scored
1.23
1.82
Avg goals allowed
1.23
Recent
2.13
Standing points / match
0.88
2.13
Avg goals scored
0.88
2.13
Avg goals allowed
1.13
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
FC Dallas
Overall
Win 3
Unbeaten 4
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 5
At Home
Win 2
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 6
Away
Win 1
Unbeaten 2
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 4
Los Angeles FC
Overall
Lose 1
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 6
At Home
Win 1
Unbeaten 2
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 4
Away
Lose 1
Winless 5
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
FC Dallas
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #7 | 11W 11D 12L | -3 GD | 1.53 / 1.62 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #11 | 11W 8D 15L | -2 GD | 1.59 / 1.65 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #7 | 11W 13D 10L | +4 GD | 1.21 / 1.09 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 14W 11D 9L | 53 pts +11 GD | 1.41 / 1.09 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #11 | 7W 12D 15L | 33 pts -9 GD | 1.38 / 1.65 |
Los Angeles FC
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 17W 9D 8L | +25 GD | 1.91 / 1.18 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #1 | 19W 7D 8L | +20 GD | 1.85 / 1.26 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 14W 10D 10L | +15 GD | 1.59 / 1.15 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #1 | 21W 4D 9L | 67 pts +28 GD | 1.94 / 1.12 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #9 | 12W 9D 13L | 45 pts +2 GD | 1.56 / 1.5 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
FC Dallas
14 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 9 Petareu Musa (28) | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| FW | 14 Yohanseun Heomeon | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 7 Ruisiuseu Doteuseun (25) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 28 Sabereu Samuel | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 8 Patrickson Delgado (23) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 17 Ramiro (33) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 12 Keuriseutian Kapiseu (27) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 77 Bernard Kamungo (24) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 21 Joaquin Valiente (25) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 11 Andereuson Andeureseu Hulrio Santoseu (30) Leg injury | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 18 Syakel Mueo (30) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 25 Sebaseuchan Ibeiha (34) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 3 Osaje Ureuhohide (26) | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 32 Nolran Noriseu (21) | 2 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles FC
16 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 19 Tailreo Boideu (32) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 7 Sonheungmin (34) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 99 Deniseu Buangga (32) | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 65 Amin Boudri (22) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 27 Nathan Ordaz (56) | 2 | 1 | - |
| FW | 21 Raieon Raposo (27) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Mareuko Delgado (31) | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 11 Timoti Tilman (27) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 66 Matioe Choiniereu (27) | 5 | 2 | - |
| MF | 46 Seutepan Antuneseu Yuseutakio (30) Leg injury | 3 | 1 | - |
| MF | 24 Raieon Holringswedeu (35) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Edi Segura (29) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 91 Eunkosi Beojiseu (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Raieon Poreuteuseu (27) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 14 Sereugi Palrensia (30) | 4 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Hyugo Yoriseu (40) | 5 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
LAFC possess a stronger attack (1.93 goals/game vs Dallas' 1.07) and superior overall form.
Team Status
FC Dallas have struggled for consistency and defensive solidity, especially against top sides.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win23.0%
Draw25.0%
Away win53.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw0%
Away Win100%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
75%Prediction: Los Angeles FC Win
Score: 1 - 2
- LAFC have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 8 of the last 15 matches.
- LAFC possess a stronger attack (1.93 goals/game vs Dallas' 1.07) and superior overall form.
- FC Dallas have struggled for consistency and defensive solidity, especially against top sides.
Read full reasoning
Based on 2024 data, LAFC are consistently one of the league's elite, boasting a high-powered attack and a positive record both home and away. FC Dallas show signs of promise but remain inconsistent, particularly in defense, and historically have had trouble beating LAFC. While the match is at Dallas, LAFC's superior squad depth, attacking options, and favorable head-to-head give them the edge. Confidence is tempered by the need for 2026-specific updates.
Claude · Forecast 2
72%Prediction: Los Angeles FC Win
Score: 1 - 2
- LAFC's dominant head-to-head record (8 wins in 15 meetings) with recent 3-1 victory over Dallas in 2024
- FC Dallas' poor away form (0W-2D-5L) contrasts sharply with LAFC's strong home record (6W-1D-1L)
- LAFC's superior attacking output (1.93 goals/game vs 1.07) and possession control (54% vs 46%) historically dictates match dynamics
- Dallas' defensive vulnerabilities (conceded 22 goals in first 15 games, 2024) vulnerable against LAFC's high-octane attack
- LAFC's tactical identity under Cherundolo prioritizes possession and pressing, exploiting Dallas' away defensive frailties
Read full reasoning
LAFC are clear favorites based on historical dominance over FC Dallas and contrasting form trajectories. The away side has won 8 of their last 15 meetings, including a comfortable 3-1 victory in April 2024, and maintain a significantly superior home record (6W-1D-1L) versus Dallas' poor away performance (0W-2D-5L). LAFC's attacking prowess (1.93 goals/game, possession dominance at 54%) consistently overwhelms Dallas' defensive frailties (22 goals conceded in 2024). Dallas score minimally away from home (historically 0.6 goals/game away) while LAFC average 2.0+ at home. Tactically, Cherundolo's possession-based system exploits Dallas' transitional weaknesses. A 2-1 LAFC victory reflects their attacking superiority while acknowledging Dallas' capacity for a goal at home.
Gemini · Forecast 3
65%Prediction: Los Angeles FC Win
Score: 1 - 2
- LAFC historical dominance with 8 wins in 15 matchups against FC Dallas.
- Significant disparity in goal-scoring efficiency, with LAFC averaging nearly 2 goals per game.
- FC Dallas's reliance on home-field advantage to mitigate defensive inconsistencies.
Read full reasoning
Despite FC Dallas playing at Toyota Stadium, Los Angeles FC enters this matchup as the favorite based on long-term organizational stability and historical performance patterns. LAFC has consistently demonstrated a superior attacking output, driven by elite individual talents. Their ability to dominate possession and create high-quality chances often overwhelms teams that struggle with defensive transitions, which has been a recurring issue for the Dallas backline in recent seasons. FC Dallas typically performs significantly better at home than on the road, which provides them a competitive edge to potentially force a draw. However, their historical record against LAFC remains poor. For Dallas to secure a result, they must capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities through Jesús Ferreira and maintain high defensive discipline. Given the historical trends and squad depth, a narrow away victory for LAFC is the most probable outcome.