Key Analysis
Seattle Sounders have a dominant head-to-head record against Minnesota United, especially at home.
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⚽ Football
MLS
Seattle Sounders
Home
Scheduled
VS
Match Time
2026-09-26
23:30
Minnesota United
Away
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 루멘 필드
● Seattle Sounders 2025 · 5th · 15W 10D 9L (GD +10)
● Minnesota United 2025 · 4th · 16W 10D 8L (GD +17)
Seattle Sounders favored
52%
Confidence
Medium
- · Seattle Sounders last 5: 0W 4D 1L
- · Head-to-head 10 matches: home 4W 4D 2L
- · ⚠ Data-based estimate disagrees — treat with lower confidence
AI analysis 2026-09-20 00:50
·
data as of 2026-09-26 14:02
🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Seattle Sounders Win
Confidence
63%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Seattle Sounders have a dominant head-to-head record against Minnesota United, especially at home.
- ✓ Both teams have solid defensive records, but Seattle's home form is notably strong.
- ✓ Minnesota United's recent improvements could make the match competitive, but historical trends and home advantage favor Seattle.
Recommended Bets:
Home Win
(63%)
Over 2.5
(58%)
📊 Win Probability
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United
52.5%
26.0%
21.5%
Home 52.5%
Draw 26.0%
Away 21.5%
💰 EV Analysis
Overround: 15.0%| Outcome | Odds | Market Prob | AI Prob | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders Win | 1.97 | 44.1% | 52.5% | +3.4% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 24.8% | 26.0% | -9.0% |
| Minnesota United Win | 2.8 | 31.0% | 21.5% | -39.8% |
🔥
Value Bet Detected
Seattle Sounders Win
@ 1.97
EV +3.4%
Kelly 3.5%
📈 Historical results at this odds range
Home odds 1.90~1.99
Home Win 44.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away Win 26.5%
(3,812 matches, 2009~2026)
Draw odds 3.50~3.59
Home Win 43.9% · Away Win 31.3% · Draw 24.8%
(4,070 matches, 2009~2026)
Away odds 2.80~2.89
Home Win 40.8% · Away Win 30.1% · Draw 29.0%
(2,091 matches, 2009~2026)
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 86.9%
35.7%
55.0%
Home 35.7%
Draw 55.0%
Away 9.3%
Most likely scorelines
3-1
6.48%
3-2
5.85%
2-1
5.51%
4-1
5.35%
2-2
5.2%
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Compared across 24 bookmakers.
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 52.5% · Gap 26.5%p
Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.
Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 14:02
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Seattle Sounders
D
D
D
D
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-13
MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
2026-09-06
MLS
Seattle Sounders
0 : 0
New York Red Bulls
2026-08-30
MLS
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2
Chicago Fire
2026-08-23
MLS
FC Cincinnati
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
2026-08-20
MLS
Seattle Sounders
1 : 2
Austin FC
Minnesota United
L
L
L
D
W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-13
MLS
St. Louis City
4 : 2
Minnesota United
2026-09-10
MLS
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
2026-09-06
MLS
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
2026-08-30
MLS
Minnesota United
3 : 3
Orlando City
2026-08-23
MLS
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 5
Minnesota United
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
4
Draws
4
Away Wins
2
Average total goals
3.1
Recent matches
2026-03-23
MLS
Minnesota United
0 - 0
Seattle Sounders
Draw
2025-11-09
MLS
Minnesota United
4 - 3
Seattle Sounders
Draw
2025-11-04
MLS
Seattle Sounders
4 - 2
Minnesota United
Home team won
2025-10-28
MLS
Minnesota United
1 - 0
Seattle Sounders
Draw
2025-08-17
MLS
Minnesota United
1 - 0
Seattle Sounders
Away team won
Last meeting: 2026-03-23 (0-0)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Seattle Sounders
Rank
26
Games played
23
Record
7W · 7D · 9L
Standing points
28
Standing points / match
1.22
Goals for / against
25 / 30
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.09 / 1.3
Minnesota United
Rank
22
Games played
25
Record
7W · 8D · 10L
Standing points
29
Standing points / match
1.16
Goals for / against
37 / 43
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.48 / 1.72
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Seattle Sounders
GOAL
68
ATTACK
30
RS
25
RA
54
DEFENSE
58
Minnesota United
GOAL
80
ATTACK
49
RS
75
RA
21
DEFENSE
53
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Seattle Sounders
↓
-5.87
Sharp decline
Minnesota United
↓
-5.53
Sharp decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1.22
Standing points / match
1.16
1.09
Avg goals scored
1.48
1.3
Avg goals allowed
1.72
Home/Away records
1.36
Standing points / match
1.31
1.45
Avg goals scored
1.92
1.64
Avg goals allowed
2.31
Recent
0.5
Standing points / match
0.75
0.75
Avg goals scored
2.25
1.38
Avg goals allowed
2.38
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Seattle Sounders
Overall
Unbeaten 4
Winless 12
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 9
At Home
Unbeaten 2
Winless 6
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 5
Away
Unbeaten 2
Winless 7
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 5
Minnesota United
Overall
Lose 3
Winless 4
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 5
At Home
Lose 1
Winless 9
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
Away
Lose 2
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 4
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Seattle Sounders
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #5 | 15W 10D 9L | +10 GD | 1.71 / 1.41 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #4 | 16W 9D 9L | +16 GD | 1.5 / 1.03 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #2 | 14W 11D 9L | +9 GD | 1.21 / 0.94 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #11 | 12W 5D 17L | 41 pts +1 GD | 1.38 / 1.35 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #2 | 17W 9D 8L | 60 pts +20 GD | 1.56 / 0.97 |
Minnesota United
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #4 | 16W 10D 8L | +17 GD | 1.65 / 1.15 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #6 | 15W 7D 12L | +9 GD | 1.71 / 1.44 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #11 | 10W 11D 13L | -5 GD | 1.35 / 1.5 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #6 | 14W 6D 14L | 48 pts -3 GD | 1.41 / 1.5 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #5 | 13W 10D 11L | 49 pts -2 GD | 1.24 / 1.29 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Seattle Sounders
16 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 95 Osaje De Rosario (25) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 16 Alex Roldan (30) Hip injury | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Yesu Pereira (26) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 19 Danny Musovski (31) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 17 Pol Ariolra (31) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 13 Jordan Morris (32) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 7 Cristian Roldan (31) | 5 | 1 | - |
| MF | 11 Albert Rusnak (32) | 5 | 1 | - |
| MF | 44 Nikolra Peteukobichi (23) | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 14 Paul Rothrock (27) | 4 | 2 | - |
| MF | 31 Hassani Dotson (29) Concussion | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 25 Jaekseun Ragen (28) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 5 Nouhou Tolo (29) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 28 Yeimareu Gomejeu (34) Muscle injury | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 33 Cody Baker (22) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 26 Tomeoseu Aendeuryu | 5 | 0 | - |
Minnesota United
17 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 21 Bongokuhle Hlongwane (26) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 9 Kelvin Yeboah (26) | 5 | 2 | - |
| FW | 8 Tomas Chancalay (27) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 26 Joaquin Pereyra (28) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 20 Wil Trapp (33) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 30 Owen Gene (56) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 24 Yulrian Geuresel (33) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 67 Kareulroseu Habi (26) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 10 Hameseu Rodeurigeseu (35) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 2 Devin Padelford (23) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 25 Nectarios Triantis (23) | 5 | 1 | - |
| DF | 13 Anthony Markanich (27) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 27 Dijei Teilreo (29) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 3 Kail Deonkeon (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 15 Maikeul Bakseuol (38) Lower body injury | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Nicolas Romero (23) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 12 Deureikeu Kaelreondeo (29) | 5 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Both teams have solid defensive records, but Seattle's home form is notably strong.
Team Status
Minnesota United's recent improvements could make the match competitive, but historical trends and home advantage favor Seattle.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win53.0%
Draw26.0%
Away win21.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
70%Prediction: Seattle Sounders Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Seattle Sounders have a dominant head-to-head record against Minnesota United, especially at home.
- Both teams have solid defensive records, but Seattle's home form is notably strong.
- Minnesota United's recent improvements could make the match competitive, but historical trends and home advantage favor Seattle.
Read full reasoning
Based on current (2024) data, Seattle Sounders are consistently strong at home and have a clear historical advantage over Minnesota United. While Minnesota has improved under new management and boasts a more dynamic attack, they have rarely won away at Seattle. Both teams have robust defenses, but Seattle's tactical discipline and home support give them the edge. Minnesota could challenge, but the most probable outcome is a narrow Seattle win. Confidence is moderate due to the time gap and potential roster changes before 2026.
Claude · Forecast 2
62%Prediction: Seattle Sounders Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Seattle's dominant 11-2 head-to-head record over Minnesota with 5 consecutive wins in their last meetings
- Seattle's exceptional home form (5W-2D-1L at CenturyLink) provides significant advantage in September
- Minnesota's improved attacking capability (1.60 GPG) and better road performances under Ramsay pose genuine threat
- Both teams have solid defensive records, but Seattle's experience and home ground advantage historically decisive
Read full reasoning
Seattle Sounders are favored based on their overwhelming historical dominance over Minnesota United (11 wins in 18 meetings) and exceptional home record. Their 5-game winning streak against Minnesota demonstrates consistency in this matchup. While Minnesota United has shown positive trajectory with a 2-win-2-draw form in 2024 under new coach Eric Ramsay and improved attacking output (1.60 GPG), they struggle away from home (3W-2D-4L). Seattle's 5W-2D-1L home record and stronger defensive stability make them favorites. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects Seattle's home dominance while acknowledging Minnesota's legitimate attacking threats from players like Teemu Pukki and Emanuel Reynoso.
Gemini · Forecast 3
60%Prediction: Seattle Sounders Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Seattle holds a dominant 11-2-5 all-time H2H record against Minnesota.
- The Sounders maintain a formidable home record at Lumen Field.
- Minnesota's improved defensive structure under Eric Ramsay makes them more competitive away.
Read full reasoning
Seattle Sounders enter this matchup with a significant psychological and historical advantage. Historically, the Sounders have dominated this fixture, particularly in Seattle where Minnesota has struggled to find results. While Minnesota United has shown significant growth in the latest season cycles with a more aggressive pressing style and improved defensive metrics, overcoming the Sounders at Lumen Field remains one of the toughest tasks in the Western Conference. Seattle's tactical discipline and ability to control possession at home usually neutralize Minnesota's counter-attacking threats. We anticipate a closely contested match given both teams' recent defensive improvements, but Seattle's experience and historical dominance in this specific pairing make them the likely victors. Minnesota's best path to a result involves exploiting transitions, but Seattle's defensive anchor and their organized backline are well-equipped to handle the Loons' offensive threats.