Key Analysis
Columbus Crew are undefeated at home in 2024 and boast one of MLS's best defenses.
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⚽ Football
MLS
🏠
Columbus Crew
Home
Scheduled
VS
Match Time
2026-09-27
22:00
✈️
Inter Miami
Away
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 로우어닷컴필드
● Columbus Crew 2025 · 7th · 14W 12D 8L (GD +4)
● Inter Miami 2025 · 3rd · 19W 8D 7L (GD +26)
Columbus Crew favored
48%
Confidence
Medium
- · Columbus Crew last 5: 3W 0D 2L
- · Head-to-head 10 matches: home 2W 2D 6L
- · ⚠ Data-based estimate disagrees — treat with lower confidence
AI analysis 2026-09-20 22:30
·
data as of 2026-09-26 14:03
🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Columbus Crew Win
Confidence
63%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Columbus Crew are undefeated at home in 2024 and boast one of MLS's best defenses.
- ✓ Inter Miami have the league's strongest attack but are less consistent away from home and defensively vulnerable.
- ✓ Head-to-head history favors Columbus at home, and Miami's reliance on aging stars could pose depth issues.
Recommended Bets:
Home Win
(63%)
Over 2.5
(58%)
📊 Win Probability
Columbus Crew
Inter Miami
47.5%
25.0%
27.5%
Home 47.5%
Draw 25.0%
Away 27.5%
💰 EV Analysis
Overround: 14.9%| Outcome | Odds | Market Prob | AI Prob | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew Win | 2.55 | 34.1% | 47.5% | +21.1% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 23.2% | 25.0% | -6.2% |
| Inter Miami Win | 2.04 | 42.7% | 27.5% | -43.9% |
🔥
Value Bet Detected
Columbus Crew Win
@ 2.55
High Odds
EV +21.1%
Kelly 13.6%
📊 High Odds Investment: Value bets with odds ≥ 2.0 have lower hit rates but positive expected returns over time. The math works when you bet consistently — even hitting 1 out of 3 at 4.0x odds yields profit. Never bet more than Kelly suggests. Patience and bankroll discipline are key.
📈 Historical results at this odds range
Home odds 2.50~2.59
Away Win 37.7% · Home Win 32.2% · Draw 30.1%
(1,690 matches, 2009~2026)
Draw odds 3.70~3.79
Home Win 47.2% · Away Win 29.0% · Draw 23.8%
(2,386 matches, 2009~2026)
Away odds 2.00~2.09
Away Win 43.2% · Home Win 28.8% · Draw 28.0%
(2,084 matches, 2009~2026)
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 87.0%
46.3%
46.3%
Home 7.4%
Draw 46.3%
Away 46.3%
Most likely scorelines
1-0
13.84%
1-1
12.61%
0-0
9.8%
2-0
9.78%
0-1
8.96%
Next fixtures
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Compared across 23 bookmakers.
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 47.5% · Gap 20.0%p
Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.
Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 14:03
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Columbus Crew
W
W
L
L
W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-20
MLS
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
2026-09-17
Us Open Cup
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
2026-09-13
MLS
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
2026-09-10
MLS
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
2026-09-06
MLS
Columbus Crew
3 : 0
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
W
D
D
D
W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-17
Campeones Cup
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
2026-09-13
MLS
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
2026-09-10
MLS
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
2026-09-06
MLS
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Atlanta Utd
2026-08-30
MLS
Inter Miami
7 : 1
CF Montreal
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
2
Draws
2
Away Wins
6
Average total goals
3.5
Recent matches
2026-08-02
MLS
Inter Miami
2 - 2
Columbus Crew
Draw
2025-06-01
MLS
Inter Miami
5 - 1
Columbus Crew
Away team won
2025-04-20
MLS
Columbus Crew
0 - 1
Inter Miami
Away team won
2024-10-03
MLS
Columbus Crew
2 - 3
Inter Miami
Away team won
2024-08-14
Leagues Cup
Columbus Crew
3 - 2
Inter Miami
Home team won
Last meeting: 2026-08-02 (2-2)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Columbus Crew
Rank
28
Games played
25
Record
7W · 4D · 14L
Standing points
25
Standing points / match
1.0
Goals for / against
36 / 41
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.44 / 1.64
Inter Miami
Rank
4
Games played
25
Record
12W · 9D · 4L
Standing points
45
Standing points / match
1.8
Goals for / against
61 / 46
Avg goals scored / allowed
2.44 / 1.84
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Columbus Crew
GOAL
46
ATTACK
27
RS
46
RA
42
DEFENSE
71
Inter Miami
GOAL
63
ATTACK
54
RS
75
RA
33
DEFENSE
66
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Columbus Crew
↓
-8.89
Sharp decline
Inter Miami
↓
-7.16
Sharp decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1
Standing points / match
1.8
1.44
Avg goals scored
2.44
1.64
Avg goals allowed
1.84
Home/Away records
1.33
Standing points / match
2.08
1.33
Avg goals scored
2.15
1.17
Avg goals allowed
1.69
Recent
0.75
Standing points / match
1
1.38
Avg goals scored
2.25
1.75
Avg goals allowed
2
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Columbus Crew
Overall
Win 1
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Lose 1
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Inter Miami
Overall
Unbeaten 4
Winless 3
Best: Win 6 · Unbeaten 9
At Home
Unbeaten 3
Winless 2
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 4
Away
Unbeaten 2
Winless 3
Best: Win 6 · Unbeaten 9
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Columbus Crew
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #7 | 14W 12D 8L | +4 GD | 1.62 / 1.5 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #2 | 19W 9D 6L | +32 GD | 2.12 / 1.18 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 16W 9D 9L | +21 GD | 1.97 / 1.35 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #8 | 10W 16D 8L | 46 pts +5 GD | 1.35 / 1.21 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #9 | 13W 8D 13L | 47 pts +1 GD | 1.35 / 1.32 |
Inter Miami
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 19W 8D 7L | +26 GD | 2.38 / 1.62 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #1 | 22W 8D 4L | +30 GD | 2.32 / 1.44 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #14 | 9W 7D 18L | -13 GD | 1.21 / 1.59 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #6 | 14W 6D 14L | 48 pts -9 GD | 1.38 / 1.65 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #11 | 12W 5D 17L | 41 pts -17 GD | 1.06 / 1.56 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Columbus Crew
18 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 9 Abu Alri Besam | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| FW | 27 Maximilian Arfsten (25) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 10 Diego Rosi (28) | 5 | 2 | - |
| FW | 19 Jamal Tiare (33) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 25 Sean Zawadzki (26) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 30 Hugo Picard (23) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 16 Taha Habroune (20) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 7 Dilreon Chaemboseuteu (29) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 17 Sekou Tidiany Bangoura (24) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Daniel Gajeudageu (30) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 20 Andeure Gomeseu (33) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 14 Amareu Sejidik (30) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 2 Mareuselro Erera (28) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 18 Malte Mainche Amunsen (28) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 4 Rudi Kamacho (35) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 31 Seutibeu Moreira (32) | 4 | 0 | - |
| DF | 21 Yebeugen Chebereuko (28) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 28 Pateurik Schulte (25) | 5 | 0 | - |
Inter Miami
17 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 21 Tadeo Allende (27) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| FW | 10 Lionel Messi (39) | 4 | 4 | - |
| FW | 9 Ruiseu Suareseu (39) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 19 German Berterame (28) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 32 Noah Allen (22) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Telasco Segovia (23) | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| MF | 7 Rodrigo De Paul (32) | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 41 Dabideu Ruiz (22) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 22 David Ayala (24) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 2 Melri Gonsalro | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 16 Mikael Doseu Santoseu Silba (26) | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 4 Facundo Mura (27) | 4 | 0 | - |
| DF | 37 Maksimilriano Joel Palkon Pikareu (29) Knee injury | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 17 Ian Fray (24) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 3 Sereuhio Regilron (30) Muscle injury | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 97 Seinteukeulreeo Dein (29) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 34 Roko Rioseu (24) | 1 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Inter Miami have the league's strongest attack but are less consistent away from home and defensively vulnerable.
Team Status
Head-to-head history favors Columbus at home, and Miami's reliance on aging stars could pose depth issues.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win47.0%
Draw25.0%
Away win28.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win66%
Draw33%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
65%Prediction: Columbus Crew Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Columbus Crew are undefeated at home in 2024 and boast one of MLS's best defenses.
- Inter Miami have the league's strongest attack but are less consistent away from home and defensively vulnerable.
- Head-to-head history favors Columbus at home, and Miami's reliance on aging stars could pose depth issues.
Read full reasoning
Based on available 2024 data, Columbus Crew's formidable home record and defensive solidity give them a slight edge over Inter Miami, who are potent in attack but less reliable defensively and away from home. While Miami's star power (Messi, Suárez) is a major threat, Columbus's structure and home advantage are key. However, given roster and form changes by 2026, confidence is moderate.
Claude · Forecast 2
62%Prediction: Draw
Score: 2 - 2
- Columbus Crew's exceptional home record (6W-2D-0L) vs Inter Miami's potent attacking threat led by Messi and Suárez
- Both teams historically play to close contests with a 2-2 draw in their most recent meeting (2024)
- Inter Miami's defensive vulnerabilities away from home align with Columbus's strong offensive output, creating a balanced attacking scenario
- Tactical matchup: Wilfried Nancy's possession-based press against Tata Martino's flexible attacking structure typically produces open, high-scoring affairs
- Both teams in top form - Columbus 3rd in Eastern Conference (9W-5D-3L), Inter Miami 1st (11W-3D-4L) with +15 goal difference
Read full reasoning
Columbus Crew presents a formidable home advantage with an undefeated record at home and strong recent form (9-5-3 record). However, Inter Miami's attacking prowess (38 goals in 18 games, 2.11 per game) and Messi-Suárez partnership create a dangerous offensive threat. The teams' historical head-to-head shows competitive balance: Columbus leads 4-3-2 in all-time meetings, but their last encounter ended 2-2, highlighting their tendency toward high-scoring draws. Columbus's top-5 defensive rating will be tested by Miami's league-leading xG creation, while Miami's away record (4-3-2) suggests vulnerability against strong home opposition. Given Columbus's home dominance, attacking capability (1.88 goals/game), and Miami's defensive frailties on the road, a competitive match is expected. The 2-2 prediction reflects both teams' proven offensive capabilities and the historical pattern of open, attacking football between these MLS competitors.
Gemini · Forecast 3
65%Prediction: Columbus Crew Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Inter Miami's defensive vulnerabilities, especially when facing high-pressing teams on the road.
- Tactical battle between Nancy's possession-based system and Martino's reliance on individual brilliance.
Read full reasoning
The Columbus Crew under Wilfried Nancy have established themselves as a tactical powerhouse in MLS, characterized by a disciplined possession game and a formidable home record. Their defensive organization, conceding only 1.18 goals per game, provides a stable foundation to counter high-scoring opponents. With Cucho Hernández providing a consistent threat up front, the Crew are well-equipped to exploit the spaces left by Inter Miami's more adventurous attacking style. Inter Miami possesses the league's most dangerous attack, but their defensive statistics (1.28 goals conceded per game) suggest they are susceptible to well-organized counter-attacks and sustained pressure. While the individual quality of Miami's roster can change a game in an instant, the Crew's collective cohesion and home-field advantage often neutralize star-heavy lineups. Expect Columbus to control the tempo and capitalize on Miami's defensive lapses to secure a narrow victory in this high-profile Eastern Conference clash.