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Hanshin Tigers

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Final
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Hiroshima Carp Win

2026-09-19 08:00

✈️

Hiroshima Carp

Away

Korean market · Odds & records

● Hanshin Tigers 2025 · 1st · 85W 4D 54L (RD +144) ● Hiroshima Carp 2025 · 5th · 59W 5D 79L (RD -56)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Hanshin Tigers Win

Confidence

58%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

4 - 3

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Hanshin Tigers typically perform strongly at home, often leveraging a supportive crowd and familiar conditions.
  • ✓ The Tigers' starting pitching and defensive consistency have been key, while Hiroshima's offense can be streaky and dependent on key players' availability.
Recommended Bets: Home Win (58%) Over 2.5 (53%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Hanshin Tigers
57.8%
42.2%
Hiroshima Carp
Home 57.8%
Away 42.2%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 88.0%
94.1%
Home 94.1% Away 5.9%

Odds movement (open → now)

Home
1.54 → 1.50
▼ 0.04
Away
2.05 → 2.13
▲ 0.08

Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.

Most likely scorelines

1-2
7.78%
1-3
7.38%
2-3
7.23%
2-1
5.42%
1-4
5.4%

Next fixtures

Hanshin Tigers
09/20 H Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB
09/21 H Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB
09/22 A Tokyo Yakult Swallows NPB
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
09/20 A Chunichi Dragons NPB
09/21 A Chunichi Dragons NPB
09/22 H Yomiuri Giants NPB

Compared across 22 bookmakers.

🟡

Caution

Max probability 57.8% · Gap 15.6%p

YELLOW
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:06

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Hanshin Tigers
L L L W L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-09 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 : 3 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-06 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 : 4 Yokohama BayStars
2026-09-05 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 2 : 3 Yokohama BayStars
2026-09-03 NPB
Yakult Swallows 4 : 7 Hanshin Tigers
2026-09-02 NPB
Yakult Swallows 5 : 3 Hanshin Tigers
Hiroshima Carp
L W L L L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-11 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 1 : 6 Yokohama BayStars
2026-09-09 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 : 3 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-06 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 0 : 4 Yomiuri Giants
2026-09-05 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 5 : 10 Yomiuri Giants
2026-09-04 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 1 : 3 Yomiuri Giants

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

5

Draws

0

Away Wins

5

Average total runs 7.3

Recent matches

2026-09-09 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 - 3 Hiroshima Carp
Away team won
2026-08-16 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 1 - 8 Hanshin Tigers
Home team won
2026-08-15 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 5 - 2 Hanshin Tigers
Away team won
2026-08-14 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 6 - 1 Hanshin Tigers
Away team won
2026-07-19 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 2 - 4 Hanshin Tigers
Home team won

Last meeting: 2026-09-09 (1-3)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Hanshin Tigers

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

Hiroshima Carp

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

1.67

Closing

Away

2.19

Closing

Match Winner 1 source #2932 Odds & records

Home

1.5

Away

2.13

Match Winner 2 sources #2933 Odds & records

Win

2.39

Within 1

2.45

Loss

3.1

42.9%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Hanshin Tigers

Hiroshima Carp

The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.

Runs scored / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Runs allowed / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Run differential / game

Home+0.00
Away+0.00

Win percentage

Home0.0%
Away0.0%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Hanshin Tigers
↓ -0.85

Slight decline

Hiroshima Carp
↓ -1.72

Slight decline

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Hanshin Tigers

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #1 85W 4D 54L 61.2% +144 RD 3.47 / 2.46
2024 NPB #2 74W 6D 63L 54.0% +65 RD 3.39 / 2.94
2023 NPB #1 85W 5D 53L 61.2% +131 RD 3.88 / 2.97
2022 NPB #3 68W 4D 71L 49.0% +61 RD 3.42 / 2.99
2021 NPB #2 77W 10D 56L 57.3% +33 RD 3.78 / 3.55

Hiroshima Carp

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #5 59W 5D 79L 42.8% -56 RD 3.08 / 3.48
2024 NPB #4 68W 5D 70L 49.3% -4 RD 2.9 / 2.93
2023 NPB #2 74W 4D 65L 53.1% -15 RD 3.45 / 3.55
2022 NPB #5 66W 3D 74L 47.2% +8 RD 3.86 / 3.8
2021 NPB #4 63W 12D 68L 48.3% -32 RD 3.9 / 4.12

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Hanshin Tigers typically perform strongly at home, often leveraging a supportive crowd and familiar conditions.

Match Outlook

Recent historical trends (as of 2024) show Hanshin holding a slight edge over Hiroshima in head-to-head matchups, especially at Koshien Stadium.

Team Status

The Tigers' starting pitching and defensive consistency have been key, while Hiroshima's offense can be streaky and dependent on key players' availability.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win58.0%
Away win42.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

60%

Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win

Score: 4 - 3

  • Hanshin Tigers typically perform strongly at home, often leveraging a supportive crowd and familiar conditions.
  • The Tigers' starting pitching and defensive consistency have been key, while Hiroshima's offense can be streaky and dependent on key players' availability.
Read full reasoning

Due to lack of specific 2026 data, this prediction is based on 2024 patterns and traditional strengths. Hanshin's home advantage and reliable pitching give them a slight edge, but Hiroshima remains competitive, especially if their offense is in form. Confidence is moderate due to data limitations, and the match could be close, potentially even resulting in a draw if both bullpens hold late.

Claude · Forecast 2

55%

Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win

Score: 2 - 1

  • Hanshin Tigers moderate home advantage in early autumn baseball
  • Both teams historically competitive in Central League; head-to-head records typically close
  • September performance trends favor teams with strong late-season pitching depth
  • Weather conditions and roster rotation patterns critical factors for September matchup
  • Limited predictive strength due to future date beyond available data cutoff
Read full reasoning

Hanshin Tigers receive slight preference as the home team, with a projected 2-1 victory reflecting typical close competition between these Central League rivals. September baseball in Japan often emphasizes pitching depth and bullpen management, where established teams typically have advantages. However, confidence is moderate (55%) because precise 2026 roster composition, player injuries, team chemistry, and specific seasonal trajectories cannot be determined. For an accurate prediction approaching the match date, consult NPB's official website, team rosters, recent performance data, and injury reports from Japanese sports media (Nikkan Sports, Daily Sports).

Gemini · Forecast 3

60%

Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win

Score: 4 - 2

  • Koshien Stadium home-field advantage and unique wind conditions
  • Late-season Climax Series seeding pressure
  • Hanshin's historical bullpen depth in high-leverage situations
Read full reasoning

As the NPB season reaches its climax in late September, the Hanshin Tigers typically leverage their formidable starting rotation and the intense atmosphere of Koshien Stadium to secure critical wins. Historically, Hanshin's pitching staff excels at home, particularly in low-scoring tactical battles. The Hiroshima Carp remain a disciplined and contact-oriented side, but they often face challenges producing runs against the Tigers' elite late-inning relievers. Given the high stakes of playoff positioning, the Tigers' experience in high-pressure environments gives them a slight edge. Expect a pitching-dominated game where a single late-inning clutch hit decides the outcome. While the Carp are capable of an upset through aggressive baserunning, the home-field advantage and bullpen reliability make Hanshin the statistical favorite for this matchup.

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