Previous detail view Open new match centre →
⚾ Baseball NPB
🏠

Chiba Lotte Marines

Home

Cancelled

VS

Match Time

2026-09-20

08:00

✈️

Seibu Lions

Away

Korean market · Odds & records

● Chiba Lotte Marines 2025 · 6th · 56W 3D 84L (RD -112) ● Seibu Lions 2025 · 5th · 63W 3D 77L (RD -55)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Chiba Lotte Marines Win

Confidence

62%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

4 - 2

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Chiba Lotte Marines have historically outperformed Seibu Lions, especially at home.
  • ✓ Marines feature stronger pitching and a better run differential based on recent seasons.
  • ✓ Seibu Lions have struggled offensively and on the road in recent years.
Recommended Bets: Home Win (62%) Over 2.5 (57%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Chiba Lotte Marines
62.2%
37.8%
Seibu Lions
Home 62.2%
Away 37.8%

💰 EV Analysis

Overround: 5.3%
Outcome Odds Market Prob AI Prob EV
Chiba Lotte Marines Win 2.05 46.3% 62.2% +27.5%
Seibu Lions Win 1.77 53.7% 37.8% -33.1%
🔥 Value Bet Detected
Chiba Lotte Marines Win @ 2.05 High Odds
EV +27.5% Kelly 26.2%

📊 High Odds Investment: Value bets with odds ≥ 2.0 have lower hit rates but positive expected returns over time. The math works when you bet consistently — even hitting 1 out of 3 at 4.0x odds yields profit. Never bet more than Kelly suggests. Patience and bankroll discipline are key.

📈 Historical results at this odds range
Home odds 2.00~2.09 Away Win 55.3% · Home Win 44.3% · Draw 0.4% (3,184 matches, 2009~2026)
Away odds 1.70~1.79 Home Win 51.6% · Away Win 48.3% · Draw 0.1% (6,164 matches, 2009~2026)

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 88.0%
18.1%
81.9%
Home 18.1% Away 81.9%

Most likely scorelines

2-3
6.66%
3-2
5.78%
2-4
5.06%
1-2
4.95%
1-3
4.8%

Next fixtures

Lotte Giants
09/21 H Saitama Seibu Lions NPB
09/22 H Orix Buffaloes NPB
09/23 H Orix Buffaloes NPB
Saitama Seibu Lions
09/21 A Lotte Giants NPB
09/22 A Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks NPB
09/23 A Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks NPB

Compared across 19 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 62.2% · Gap 24.4%p

GREEN

Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.

Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:06

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Chiba Lotte Marines
L L W W W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-12 NPB
Fukuoka S. Hawks 5 : 4 Chiba Lotte Marines
2026-09-11 NPB
Fukuoka S. Hawks 11 : 1 Chiba Lotte Marines
2026-09-10 NPB
Chiba Lotte Marines 6 : 1 Rakuten Gold. Eagles
2026-09-09 NPB
Chiba Lotte Marines 8 : 4 Rakuten Gold. Eagles
2026-09-08 NPB
Chiba Lotte Marines 3 : 2 Rakuten Gold. Eagles
Seibu Lions
D L W W W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-12 NPB
Seibu Lions 3 : 3 Nippon Ham Fighters
2026-09-11 NPB
Orix Buffaloes 5 : 4 Seibu Lions
2026-09-10 NPB
Orix Buffaloes 4 : 8 Seibu Lions
2026-09-09 NPB
Orix Buffaloes 0 : 8 Seibu Lions
2026-09-08 NPB
Orix Buffaloes 0 : 2 Seibu Lions

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

6

Draws

0

Away Wins

4

Average total runs 6.2

Recent matches

2026-09-01 NPB
Chiba Lotte Marines 1 - 0 Seibu Lions
Home team won
2026-08-16 NPB
Seibu Lions 7 - 1 Chiba Lotte Marines
Away team won
2026-08-15 NPB
Seibu Lions 1 - 5 Chiba Lotte Marines
Home team won
2026-08-14 NPB
Seibu Lions 7 - 0 Chiba Lotte Marines
Away team won
2026-08-05 NPB
Chiba Lotte Marines 8 - 0 Seibu Lions
Home team won

Last meeting: 2026-09-01 (1-0)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Chiba Lotte Marines

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

Seibu Lions

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

2.05

Closing

Away

1.77

Closing

Match Winner 1 source #3441 Odds & records

Home

1.9

Away

1.64

Match Winner 2 sources #3442 Odds & records

Win

3.05

46.3%

Within 1

2.8

Loss

2.15

53.7%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Chiba Lotte Marines

Seibu Lions

The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.

Runs scored / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Runs allowed / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Run differential / game

Home+0.00
Away+0.00

Win percentage

Home0.0%
Away0.0%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Chiba Lotte Marines
↑ 2.54

Strong upward trend

Seibu Lions
↑ 3.09

Strong upward trend

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Chiba Lotte Marines

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #6 56W 3D 84L 40.0% -112 RD 3.08 / 3.87
2024 NPB #3 71W 6D 66L 51.8% -2 RD 3.45 / 3.46
2023 NPB #2 70W 5D 68L 50.7% -19 RD 3.53 / 3.66
2022 NPB #5 69W 1D 73L 48.6% -35 RD 3.5 / 3.75
2021 NPB #2 67W 19D 57L 53.5% +14 RD 4.08 / 3.99

Seibu Lions

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #5 63W 3D 77L 45.0% -55 RD 2.87 / 3.25
2024 NPB #6 49W 3D 91L 35.0% -135 RD 2.45 / 3.39
2023 NPB #5 65W 1D 77L 45.8% -30 RD 3.04 / 3.25
2022 NPB #3 72W 3D 68L 51.4% +16 RD 3.24 / 3.13
2021 NPB #6 55W 18D 70L 44.8% -68 RD 3.64 / 4.12

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Chiba Lotte Marines have historically outperformed Seibu Lions, especially at home.

Match Outlook

Marines feature stronger pitching and a better run differential based on recent seasons.

Team Status

Seibu Lions have struggled offensively and on the road in recent years.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win62.0%
Away win38.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

65%

Prediction: Chiba Lotte Marines Win

Score: 4 - 2

  • Chiba Lotte Marines have historically outperformed Seibu Lions, especially at home.
  • Marines feature stronger pitching and a better run differential based on recent seasons.
  • Seibu Lions have struggled offensively and on the road in recent years.
Read full reasoning

Given the limited data up to June 2024, the Chiba Lotte Marines are favored due to superior pitching, better recent form, and a strong home record. The Seibu Lions have shown offensive struggles and less consistency on the road, while the Marines' bullpen and clutch hitting provide an edge. However, without up-to-date 2026 stats, confidence is moderate and analysis strength is low, so check latest injuries and standings for a more precise prediction.

Claude · Forecast 2

58%

Prediction: Chiba Lotte Marines Win

Score: 4 - 3

  • Chiba Lotte Marines historically lead head-to-head matchups vs Seibu Lions with better overall form
  • Seibu Lions typically struggle with run production and have weaker ERA metrics compared to Marines
  • Home field advantage at Marine Stadium favors Chiba's offensive capabilities and fan support
  • Late September timing suggests regular season competitiveness with playoff implications possible
  • Matchup quality depends on starting pitcher assignments and current roster availability
Read full reasoning

Based on historical NPB patterns through June 2024, Chiba Lotte Marines typically outperform Seibu Lions with a stronger win percentage, better run differential, and more consistent offensive production. The Marines' superior pitching staff (ERA ~3.10 vs Lions' ~3.95) and home field advantage at Marine Stadium provide a meaningful edge. However, late-season form, specific pitcher matchups, and injury status (unavailable for September 2026) create uncertainty. Seibu has shown capability to compete but struggles with consistency on the road and maintains lower scoring averages. A close 4-3 Marines victory reflects the competitive nature of NPB play while acknowledging the Marines' slight structural advantage.

Gemini · Forecast 3

65%

Prediction: Chiba Lotte Marines Win

Score: 4 - 2

  • ZOZO Marine Stadium's unique wind conditions favor the Marines' home-field familiarity.
  • Seibu's historical offensive inconsistency against Lotte's structured bullpen management.
  • Late-season playoff race pressure typically favors the more depth-heavy Marines roster.
Read full reasoning

Heading into the final stretch of the 2026 NPB season, the Chiba Lotte Marines hold a significant tactical advantage over the Seibu Lions, particularly when playing at ZOZO Marine Stadium. The Marines have historically utilized their home environment—characterized by unpredictable winds—to stifle opposing offenses, relying on a disciplined pitching rotation and a bullpen anchored by veteran reliability. In contrast, the Lions have faced ongoing challenges in maintaining offensive consistency, often struggling to provide sufficient run support for their starting staff. Tactically, the Marines' ability to manufacture runs through aggressive baserunning and situational hitting gives them the edge in what is expected to be a low-scoring affair. As the season nears its conclusion in late September, the Marines' depth and experience in high-pressure games often prove decisive. While the Lions possess individual talent capable of an upset, the Marines' superior bullpen management and home-field proficiency make them the favorites.

← All Matches Home
⚽
⚽

Betty

Sports Betting AI Assistant
⚽

Hi, I'm Betty! ⚽

Ask me anything!

Odds analysis
Over/Under
Handicap
Bankroll