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Yakult Swallows

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Final
7 - 9

Hanshin Tigers Win

2026-09-22 08:00

✈️

Hanshin Tigers

Away

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 메이지진구 구장 ● Yakult Swallows 2025 · 6th · 57W 7D 79L (RD -121) ● Hanshin Tigers 2025 · 1st · 85W 4D 54L (RD +144)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Hanshin Tigers Win

Confidence

65%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

3 - 5

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Hanshin Tigers hold a recent head-to-head advantage and stronger pitching staff.
  • ✓ Hanshin's offense is more consistent, with better OBP and slugging than Yakult.
  • ✓ Yakult struggles against strong pitching and has a negative run differential.
Recommended Bets: Away Win (65%) Over 2.5 (60%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Yakult Swallows
30.5%
69.5%
Hanshin Tigers
Home 30.5%
Away 69.5%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 88.0%
26.9%
73.0%
Home 26.9% Away 73.0%

Most likely scorelines

1-4
6.69%
1-5
6.48%
1-3
5.83%
1-6
4.89%
2-4
4.89%

Next fixtures

Tokyo Yakult Swallows
09/23 H Hanshin Tigers NPB
09/25 H Chunichi Dragons NPB
09/26 H Chunichi Dragons NPB
Hanshin Tigers
09/23 A Tokyo Yakult Swallows NPB
09/25 A Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB
09/26 A Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB

Compared across 22 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 69.5% · Gap 39.0%p

GREEN
Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 14:05

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Yakult Swallows
L W W L L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-14 NPB
Yakult Swallows 0 : 3 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-13 NPB
Yakult Swallows 3 : 1 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-12 NPB
Chunichi Dragons 5 : 6 Yakult Swallows
2026-09-10 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 8 : 1 Yakult Swallows
2026-09-09 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 9 : 2 Yakult Swallows
Hanshin Tigers
L L L L L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-14 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 0 : 6 Chunichi Dragons
2026-09-13 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 0 : 1 Chunichi Dragons
2026-09-12 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 1 : 0 Hanshin Tigers
2026-09-09 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 : 3 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-06 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 : 4 Yokohama BayStars

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

2

Draws

0

Away Wins

8

Average total runs 6.0

Recent matches

2026-09-03 NPB
Yakult Swallows 4 - 7 Hanshin Tigers
Away team won
2026-09-02 NPB
Yakult Swallows 5 - 3 Hanshin Tigers
Home team won
2026-09-01 NPB
Yakult Swallows 2 - 6 Hanshin Tigers
Away team won
2026-08-20 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 - 4 Yakult Swallows
Home team won
2026-08-19 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 2 - 1 Yakult Swallows
Away team won

Last meeting: 2026-09-03 (4-7)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Yakult Swallows

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

Hanshin Tigers

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

3.03

Closing

Away

1.37

Closing

Match Winner 1 source #3852 Odds & records

Home

2.72

Away

1.3

Match Winner 2 sources #3853 Odds & records

Win

4.85

32.3%

Within 1

3.1

Loss

1.61

67.7%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Yakult Swallows

Hanshin Tigers

The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.

Runs scored / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Runs allowed / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Run differential / game

Home+0.00
Away+0.00

Win percentage

Home0.0%
Away0.0%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Yakult Swallows
↑ 1.0

Slight improvement

Hanshin Tigers
↓ -12.82

Sharp decline

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Yakult Swallows

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #6 57W 7D 79L 41.9% -121 RD 3.1 / 3.94
2024 NPB #5 62W 4D 77L 44.6% -50 RD 3.54 / 3.89
2023 NPB #5 57W 3D 83L 40.9% -33 RD 3.73 / 3.97
2022 NPB #1 80W 4D 59L 57.3% +53 RD 4.33 / 3.96
2021 NPB #1 73W 18D 52L 57.3% +94 RD 4.37 / 3.71

Hanshin Tigers

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #1 85W 4D 54L 61.2% +144 RD 3.47 / 2.46
2024 NPB #2 74W 6D 63L 54.0% +65 RD 3.39 / 2.94
2023 NPB #1 85W 5D 53L 61.2% +131 RD 3.88 / 2.97
2022 NPB #3 68W 4D 71L 49.0% +61 RD 3.42 / 2.99
2021 NPB #2 77W 10D 56L 57.3% +33 RD 3.78 / 3.55

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Hanshin Tigers hold a recent head-to-head advantage and stronger pitching staff.

Match Outlook

Hanshin's offense is more consistent, with better OBP and slugging than Yakult.

Team Status

Yakult struggles against strong pitching and has a negative run differential.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win30.0%
Away win69.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win33%
Draw0%
Away Win66%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

70%

Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win

Score: 3 - 5

  • Hanshin Tigers hold a recent head-to-head advantage and stronger pitching staff.
  • Hanshin's offense is more consistent, with better OBP and slugging than Yakult.
  • Yakult struggles against strong pitching and has a negative run differential.
Read full reasoning

Based on trends up to mid-2024, the Hanshin Tigers have consistently outperformed Yakult in both pitching and hitting metrics. Hanshin's bullpen is elite and their starters have posted better ERAs, while Yakult's offense can be inconsistent, especially against quality pitching. The Tigers' lineup depth and aggressive baserunning give them an edge. While Yakult plays better at home, overall data supports Hanshin as favorites, though confidence is tempered due to lack of 2026-specific data.

Claude · Forecast 2

62%

Prediction: Yakult Swallows Win

Score: 3 - 2

  • Yakult Swallows playing at home venue (Jingu Stadium) where they historically show stronger offensive production and familiarity
  • Hanshin Tigers' away record slightly weaker than home performance, despite strong pitching which doesn't fully compensate on the road
  • Historical head-to-head data shows Hanshin slight edge overall, but home field advantage and Yakult core players (Munetaka Murakami) create competitive matchup
  • Yakult's bullpen depth remains a concern, but Cy Sneed's pitching can contain Hanshin's lineup if supported by early offensive runs
  • Close contest expected with late-inning execution determining outcome; home team advantage and field familiarity favors Swallows slightly
Read full reasoning

Without access to 2026 real-time data, this assessment relies on established 2023-2024 NPB trends and historical patterns. Yakult Swallows receive a marginal home-field advantage at Jingu Stadium, where their offense historically outperforms their road stats. Hanshin Tigers, while possessing the superior overall record and stronger ERA (3.30 vs 3.87), show a slight decline in away games. The Tigers' bullpen depth is elite, but Yakult's core power hitter Munetaka Murakami presents consistent offensive threat. Yakult's 2026 roster maturity after a semi-rebuild phase may enhance consistency. The prediction reflects a competitive low-scoring affair with home-field advantage as the deciding factor, though Hanshin's pitching depth keeps this highly uncertain.

Gemini · Forecast 3

65%

Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win

Score: 3 - 5

  • Hanshin's superior pitching depth and bullpen ERA
  • Yakult's historical struggles with late-season bullpen fatigue
  • Tigers' tactical advantage in small-ball and situational hitting
Read full reasoning

The Hanshin Tigers enter this late-season matchup with a historical advantage rooted in their pitching consistency. By late September, the NPB pennant race typically rewards teams with deep rotations and reliable relief corps. Hanshin’s organizational philosophy focuses on high-velocity arms and elite control, which tends to neutralize Yakult's power-heavy lineup, specifically at the hitter-friendly Jingu Stadium. While the Swallows possess significant home-run potential through core hitters like Munetaka Murakami, their reliance on the long ball makes them vulnerable to the Tigers' disciplined pitching staff. Furthermore, Yakult has historically struggled with pitching depth toward the end of the grueling NPB season. In contrast, Hanshin’s bullpen management allows them to maintain high performance levels in high-leverage situations. Expect a close game through the middle innings, but the Tigers' ability to manufacture runs through aggressive base running and situational hitting should allow them to pull away in the final third of the contest.

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