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Hiroshima Carp

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Final
2 - 1

Hiroshima Carp Win

2026-09-22 05:00

✈️

Yomiuri Giants

Away

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 마쓰다 줌줌 스타디움 ● Hiroshima Carp 2025 · 5th · 59W 5D 79L (RD -56) ● Yomiuri Giants 2025 · 3rd · 70W 4D 69L (RD +2)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Yomiuri Giants Win

Confidence

62%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

3 - 4

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Yomiuri Giants have a stronger offense, leading in home runs and runs per game.
  • ✓ Recent head-to-head meetings show a slight edge to the Giants, with 3 wins in the last 5.
  • ✓ Both teams are healthy as of June 2024, but the Giants' bullpen and consistency give them an advantage.
Recommended Bets: Away Win (62%) Over 2.5 (57%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Hiroshima Carp
36.9%
63.1%
Yomiuri Giants
Home 36.9%
Away 63.1%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 88.0%
88.8%
Home 11.2% Away 88.8%

Odds movement (open → now)

Home
1.79 → 1.85
▲ 0.06
Away
1.73 → 1.68
▼ 0.05

Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.

Most likely scorelines

2-7
3.83%
2-6
3.53%
2-8
3.49%
3-7
3.41%
3-6
3.12%

Next fixtures

Hiroshima Toyo Carp
09/23 H Yomiuri Giants NPB
09/24 H Yomiuri Giants NPB
09/25 H Yomiuri Giants NPB
Yomiuri Giants
09/23 A Hiroshima Toyo Carp NPB
09/24 A Hiroshima Toyo Carp NPB
09/25 A Hiroshima Toyo Carp NPB

Compared across 22 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 63.1% · Gap 26.2%p

GREEN
Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 15:09

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Hiroshima Carp
W L L L W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-14 NPB
Yakult Swallows 0 : 3 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-13 NPB
Yakult Swallows 3 : 1 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-12 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 2 : 7 Yokohama BayStars
2026-09-11 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 1 : 6 Yokohama BayStars
2026-09-09 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 : 3 Hiroshima Carp
Yomiuri Giants
D L W W W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-14 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 3 : 3 Yomiuri Giants
2026-09-13 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 5 : 0 Yomiuri Giants
2026-09-12 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 1 : 0 Hanshin Tigers
2026-09-10 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 5 : 3 Chunichi Dragons
2026-09-09 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 5 : 1 Chunichi Dragons

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

3

Draws

0

Away Wins

7

Average total runs 7.1

Recent matches

2026-09-06 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 0 - 4 Yomiuri Giants
Away team won
2026-09-05 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 5 - 10 Yomiuri Giants
Away team won
2026-09-04 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 1 - 3 Yomiuri Giants
Away team won
2026-08-23 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 2 - 3 Hiroshima Carp
Home team won
2026-08-22 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 5 - 0 Hiroshima Carp
Away team won

Last meeting: 2026-09-06 (0-4)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Hiroshima Carp

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

Yomiuri Giants

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

1.91

Closing

Away

1.9

Closing

Match Winner 1 source #3835 Odds & records

Home

1.85

Away

1.68

Match Winner 2 sources #3836 Odds & records

Win

3.0

Within 1

2.6

Loss

2.32

50.9%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Hiroshima Carp

Yomiuri Giants

The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.

Runs scored / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Runs allowed / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Run differential / game

Home+0.00
Away+0.00

Win percentage

Home0.0%
Away0.0%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Hiroshima Carp
↓ -7.16

Sharp decline

Yomiuri Giants
↑ 6.34

Strong upward trend

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Hiroshima Carp

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #5 59W 5D 79L 42.8% -56 RD 3.08 / 3.48
2024 NPB #4 68W 5D 70L 49.3% -4 RD 2.9 / 2.93
2023 NPB #2 74W 4D 65L 53.1% -15 RD 3.45 / 3.55
2022 NPB #5 66W 3D 74L 47.2% +8 RD 3.86 / 3.8
2021 NPB #4 63W 12D 68L 48.3% -32 RD 3.9 / 4.12

Yomiuri Giants

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #3 70W 4D 69L 50.4% +2 RD 3.24 / 3.22
2024 NPB #1 77W 7D 59L 56.6% +81 RD 3.23 / 2.66
2023 NPB #4 71W 2D 70L 50.3% +16 RD 3.66 / 3.55
2022 NPB #4 68W 3D 72L 48.6% -41 RD 3.83 / 4.12
2021 NPB #3 61W 20D 62L 49.7% +11 RD 3.86 / 3.78

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Yomiuri Giants have a stronger offense, leading in home runs and runs per game.

Match Outlook

Recent head-to-head meetings show a slight edge to the Giants, with 3 wins in the last 5.

Team Status

Both teams are healthy as of June 2024, but the Giants' bullpen and consistency give them an advantage.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win37.0%
Away win63.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw0%
Away Win100%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

65%

Prediction: Yomiuri Giants Win

Score: 3 - 4

  • Yomiuri Giants have a stronger offense, leading in home runs and runs per game.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings show a slight edge to the Giants, with 3 wins in the last 5.
  • Both teams are healthy as of June 2024, but the Giants' bullpen and consistency give them an advantage.
Read full reasoning

Based on the latest available data, the Yomiuri Giants have shown greater offensive power and a slightly better pitching staff compared to the Hiroshima Carp. The Giants' consistency and head-to-head edge suggest they are more likely to secure a narrow away victory. However, Hiroshima's strong pitching and home-field advantage keep the contest close. The analysis is of medium strength due to reliance on 2024 data and lack of 2026-specific updates.

Claude · Forecast 2

62%

Prediction: Yomiuri Giants Win

Score: 3 - 4

  • Yomiuri Giants show stronger recent form with 3 wins in last 5 games vs Carp's alternating pattern
  • Giants' superior offensive output (4.3 runs/game, 56 HRs) outweighs Carp's speed-focused approach (37 stolen bases)
  • Giants' bullpen improvements and Sugano's ace-pitcher reliability provide edge in late-game situations
  • Carp's strong home record (19-15) and aggressive baserunning offer competitive resistance
Read full reasoning

The Yomiuri Giants emerge as the slight favorites in this matchup based on multiple convergent factors from the June 2024 data. Giants demonstrate superior current form with 3 wins in their last 5 games and a better run differential (+26 vs +5). Their offensive firepower is notably stronger (4.3 runs/game, 56 HRs, 2nd in league) compared to Hiroshima's more modest metrics. While Carp employ an effective small-ball strategy with league-leading stolen bases and Sasaoka's tactical approach, the Giants' balanced power/speed game and improved bullpen give them the edge. The match is predicted as competitive but favoring Giants as the away team, with moderate confidence due to the significant time gap (June 2024 data for September 2026 match) and potential roster/form changes.

Gemini · Forecast 3

60%

Prediction: Yomiuri Giants Win

Score: 3 - 5

  • Yomiuri Giants possess superior power hitting, led by Kazuma Okamoto.
  • Hiroshima Carp rely heavily on small-ball tactics and league-leading stolen base metrics.
  • Giants hold a slight edge in pitching depth with a lower team ERA and stronger bullpen stats.
Read full reasoning

The Yomiuri Giants enter this matchup with a clear offensive advantage, particularly in their ability to generate runs through power hitting. Based on the 2024 data trends, the Giants' 56 home runs significantly outpace the Carp's 42, giving them a higher ceiling in high-scoring games. While the Carp are excellent at manufacturing runs through speed and aggressive baserunning, they often struggle to keep pace when the Giants' middle order finds its rhythm. Defensively, the Giants maintain a slightly more consistent pitching staff. In late-season NPB matchups where pressure is high, the Giants' ability to rely on veteran leadership and power provides a more reliable path to victory than the Carp's small-ball approach. While Mazda Stadium can provide a home-field advantage for Hiroshima, the Giants' historical head-to-head edge and superior run differential make them the favorites in this encounter.

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