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Yakult Swallows

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Final
5 - 4

Yakult Swallows Win

2026-09-25 08:00

✈️

Chunichi Dragons

Away

🎫 Proto entry 🗓 2026 🏆 SUMMRIZE

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 메이지진구 구장 ● Yakult Swallows 2025 · 6th · 57W 7D 79L (RD -121) ● Chunichi Dragons 2025 · 4th · 63W 2D 78L (RD -60)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Yakult Swallows Win

Confidence

69%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

5 - 2

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Yakult Swallows have superior recent form and home record.
  • ✓ Swallows' offense and bullpen statistically outperform Chunichi in 2024.
  • ✓ Dragons rank last in both offense and pitching, especially struggling on the road.
Recommended Bets: Home Win (69%) Over 2.5 (64%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Yakult Swallows
64.9%
35.1%
Chunichi Dragons
Home 64.9%
Away 35.1%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 88.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Home 62.0% Away 38.0%

Most likely scorelines

5-6
3.08%
4-6
2.93%
5-7
2.85%
6-5
2.65%
4-5
2.64%

Next fixtures

Tokyo Yakult Swallows
09/26 H Chunichi Dragons NPB
09/27 A Yomiuri Giants NPB
09/29 A Hanshin Tigers NPB
Chunichi Dragons
09/26 A Tokyo Yakult Swallows NPB
10/01 A Hiroshima Toyo Carp NPB

Compared across 22 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 64.9% · Gap 29.8%p

GREEN
Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 14:04

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Yakult Swallows
L L L W L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-22 NPB
Yakult Swallows 7 : 9 Hanshin Tigers
2026-09-20 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 3 : 2 Yakult Swallows
2026-09-19 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 5 : 3 Yakult Swallows
2026-09-18 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 1 : 3 Yakult Swallows
2026-09-17 NPB
Yakult Swallows 1 : 2 Yokohama BayStars
Chunichi Dragons
L W W L L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-22 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 7 : 3 Chunichi Dragons
2026-09-21 NPB
Chunichi Dragons 10 : 0 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-20 NPB
Chunichi Dragons 8 : 5 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-19 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 14 : 1 Chunichi Dragons
2026-09-18 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 2 : 0 Chunichi Dragons

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

2

Draws

1

Away Wins

7

Average total runs 7.2

Recent matches

2026-09-12 NPB
Chunichi Dragons 5 - 6 Yakult Swallows
Home team won
2026-09-05 NPB
Yakult Swallows 4 - 8 Chunichi Dragons
Away team won
2026-09-04 NPB
Yakult Swallows 1 - 1 Chunichi Dragons
Draw
2026-08-23 NPB
Chunichi Dragons 3 - 2 Yakult Swallows
Away team won
2026-08-22 NPB
Chunichi Dragons 5 - 4 Yakult Swallows
Away team won

Last meeting: 2026-09-12 (5-6)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Yakult Swallows

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

Chunichi Dragons

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

1.89

Closing

Away

1.9

Closing

Match Winner 1 source #4448 Odds & records

Home

1.78

Away

1.74

Match Winner 2 sources #4449 Odds & records

Win

2.8

49.4%

Within 1

2.8

Loss

2.3

50.6%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Yakult Swallows

Chunichi Dragons

The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.

Runs scored / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Runs allowed / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Run differential / game

Home+0.00
Away+0.00

Win percentage

Home0.0%
Away0.0%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Yakult Swallows
↓ -4.26

Sharp decline

Chunichi Dragons
↑ 5.94

Strong upward trend

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Yakult Swallows

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #6 57W 7D 79L 41.9% -121 RD 3.1 / 3.94
2024 NPB #5 62W 4D 77L 44.6% -50 RD 3.54 / 3.89
2023 NPB #5 57W 3D 83L 40.9% -33 RD 3.73 / 3.97
2022 NPB #1 80W 4D 59L 57.3% +53 RD 4.33 / 3.96
2021 NPB #1 73W 18D 52L 57.3% +94 RD 4.37 / 3.71

Chunichi Dragons

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #4 63W 2D 78L 44.7% -60 RD 2.82 / 3.24
2024 NPB #6 60W 8D 75L 44.4% -105 RD 2.61 / 3.34
2023 NPB #6 56W 5D 82L 40.9% -108 RD 2.73 / 3.48
2022 NPB #6 66W 2D 75L 46.9% -81 RD 2.9 / 3.46
2021 NPB #5 55W 17D 71L 44.4% -73 RD 2.83 / 3.34

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Yakult Swallows have superior recent form and home record.

Match Outlook

Swallows' offense and bullpen statistically outperform Chunichi in 2024.

Team Status

Dragons rank last in both offense and pitching, especially struggling on the road.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win69.0%
Draw9.0%
Away win22.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

75%

Prediction: Yakult Swallows Win

Score: 5 - 2

  • Yakult Swallows have superior recent form and home record.
  • Swallows' offense and bullpen statistically outperform Chunichi in 2024.
  • Dragons rank last in both offense and pitching, especially struggling on the road.
Read full reasoning

Based on the most recent available data, the Yakult Swallows hold significant advantages in both team offense and bullpen performance, especially at home. Their key players, like Munetaka Murakami, add power and consistency, while Chunichi continues to struggle with run production and pitching stability. Although historical head-to-head slightly favors Chunichi, recent matchups and trends point to Yakult dominating. Confidence is moderate due to the data being from 2024 and the possibility of roster changes by 2026.

Claude · Forecast 2

68%

Prediction: Yakult Swallows Win

Score: 5 - 2

  • Yakult Swallows show significantly better form with 3rd ranked offense and 2nd ranked bullpen ERA vs Dragons' 6th ranked offense and 5th ranked pitching
  • Swallows have dominated head-to-head recently (15-9 in 2023, 6-4 in early 2024) with clear momentum advantage
  • Chunichi Dragons struggling especially on road (8-19-2 away record) and will be disadvantaged by playing at Yakult's home ground
  • Munetaka Murakami's power and Yakult's bullpen depth should control the game against Dragons' weak offense
Read full reasoning

The Yakult Swallows are clear favorites in this matchup based on comprehensive statistical and recent form advantages. The recent head-to-head record strongly favors Swallows, who have won 15 of 25 games in 2023 and maintained a 6-4 advantage through early 2024. Dragons' particularly poor away performance (8-19-2) makes them vulnerable at Swallows' home stadium. Munetaka Murakami's established power threat and Kazuto Taguchi's reliability as closer should provide Swallows with crucial offensive and defensive advantages against Dragons' struggling lineup. While historical all-time record slightly favors Dragons, current form and momentum heavily tip the scales toward Yakult.

Gemini · Forecast 3

65%

Prediction: Yakult Swallows Win

Score: 4 - 2

  • Yakult's offensive superiority and home-field advantage at Meiji Jingu Stadium
  • Chunichi's historical struggles with run production and road performance
  • Bullpen depth favoring the Swallows in late-game management situations
Read full reasoning

The Yakult Swallows enter this matchup as the favorites, primarily driven by their superior offensive depth and power-hitting core. Historically, the Swallows have maintained a significant edge in matchups against the Dragons, leveraging their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities in late-inning scenarios. The presence of elite sluggers like Munetaka Murakami creates a mismatch for a Dragons pitching staff that has struggled with consistency. Conversely, the Chunichi Dragons have faced ongoing challenges with run production, often ranking near the bottom of the Central League in team batting average and home runs. While their starting rotation can keep games competitive, their bullpen has shown vulnerability under pressure. Given the Swallows' more reliable relief corps and the Dragons' historically poor road record, the home side is well-positioned to secure a victory in this late-season encounter.

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