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Hiroshima Carp

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Final
3 - 2

Hiroshima Carp Win

2026-09-25 08:00

✈️

Yomiuri Giants

Away

🎫 Proto entry 🗓 2026 🏆 SUMMRIZE

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 마쓰다 줌줌 스타디움 ● Hiroshima Carp 2025 · 5th · 59W 5D 79L (RD -56) ● Yomiuri Giants 2025 · 3rd · 70W 4D 69L (RD +2)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Yomiuri Giants Win

Confidence

49%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

3 - 4

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ No current data for 2026 recent form, head-to-head, or player status
  • ✓ Traditionally, Yomiuri Giants have a stronger roster and more postseason experience
  • ✓ Home advantage for Hiroshima Carp could influence a close contest
Recommended Bets: Away Win (49%) Over 2.5 (44%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Hiroshima Carp
46.5%
53.5%
Yomiuri Giants
Home 46.5%
Away 53.5%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 88.0%
95.5%
Home 4.5% Away 95.5%

Odds movement (open → now)

Home
2.15 → 2.24
▲ 0.09
Away
1.49 → 1.45
▼ 0.04

Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.

Most likely scorelines

0-4
7.7%
1-4
7.35%
0-5
6.94%
0-3
6.94%
1-5
6.7%

Next fixtures

Hiroshima Toyo Carp
09/27 A Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB
09/28 A Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB
09/29 A Yomiuri Giants NPB
Yomiuri Giants
09/27 H Tokyo Yakult Swallows NPB
09/29 H Hiroshima Toyo Carp NPB
10/01 A Hanshin Tigers NPB

Compared across 22 bookmakers.

🟡

Caution

Max probability 53.5% · Gap 7.0%p

YELLOW
Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 15:08

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Hiroshima Carp
W L L W L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-22 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 2 : 1 Yomiuri Giants
2026-09-21 NPB
Chunichi Dragons 10 : 0 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-20 NPB
Chunichi Dragons 8 : 5 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-19 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 : 5 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-18 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 2 : 1 Hiroshima Carp
Yomiuri Giants
L W W W L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-22 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 2 : 1 Yomiuri Giants
2026-09-20 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 3 : 2 Yakult Swallows
2026-09-19 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 14 : 1 Chunichi Dragons
2026-09-18 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 2 : 0 Chunichi Dragons
2026-09-15 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 13 : 2 Yomiuri Giants

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

3

Draws

0

Away Wins

7

Average total runs 6.7

Recent matches

2026-09-22 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 2 - 1 Yomiuri Giants
Home team won
2026-09-06 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 0 - 4 Yomiuri Giants
Away team won
2026-09-05 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 5 - 10 Yomiuri Giants
Away team won
2026-09-04 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 1 - 3 Yomiuri Giants
Away team won
2026-08-23 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 2 - 3 Hiroshima Carp
Home team won

Last meeting: 2026-09-22 (2-1)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Hiroshima Carp

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

Yomiuri Giants

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

1.88

Closing

40.9%

Away

1.9

Closing

59.1%

Match Winner 1 source #4458 Odds & records

Home

2.24

Away

1.45

Match Winner 2 sources #4459 Odds & records

Win

3.75

40.9%

Within 1

2.8

Loss

1.9

59.1%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Hiroshima Carp

Yomiuri Giants

The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.

Runs scored / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Runs allowed / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Run differential / game

Home+0.00
Away+0.00

Win percentage

Home0.0%
Away0.0%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Hiroshima Carp
↑ 1.02

Slight improvement

Yomiuri Giants
↑ 2.43

Strong upward trend

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Hiroshima Carp

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #5 59W 5D 79L 42.8% -56 RD 3.08 / 3.48
2024 NPB #4 68W 5D 70L 49.3% -4 RD 2.9 / 2.93
2023 NPB #2 74W 4D 65L 53.1% -15 RD 3.45 / 3.55
2022 NPB #5 66W 3D 74L 47.2% +8 RD 3.86 / 3.8
2021 NPB #4 63W 12D 68L 48.3% -32 RD 3.9 / 4.12

Yomiuri Giants

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #3 70W 4D 69L 50.4% +2 RD 3.24 / 3.22
2024 NPB #1 77W 7D 59L 56.6% +81 RD 3.23 / 2.66
2023 NPB #4 71W 2D 70L 50.3% +16 RD 3.66 / 3.55
2022 NPB #4 68W 3D 72L 48.6% -41 RD 3.83 / 4.12
2021 NPB #3 61W 20D 62L 49.7% +11 RD 3.86 / 3.78

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

No current data for 2026 recent form, head-to-head, or player status

Match Outlook

Traditionally, Yomiuri Giants have a stronger roster and more postseason experience

Team Status

Home advantage for Hiroshima Carp could influence a close contest

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win36.0%
Draw15.0%
Away win49.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win66%
Draw0%
Away Win33%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

1 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

35%

Prediction: Hiroshima Carp Win

Score: 4 - 3

  • No current data for 2026 recent form, head-to-head, or player status
  • Traditionally, Yomiuri Giants have a stronger roster and more postseason experience
  • Home advantage for Hiroshima Carp could influence a close contest
Read full reasoning

Due to the absence of up-to-date statistics or player news for the 2026 season, this prediction relies on general historical trends and home field dynamics. The Yomiuri Giants are usually considered the stronger club in NPB, but the Hiroshima Carp's home advantage may keep the game close. Confidence is low, and probabilities are distributed to reflect the uncertainty and lack of specific season context.

Claude · Forecast 2

62%

Prediction: Yomiuri Giants Win

Score: 3 - 4

  • Yomiuri Giants' superior historical dominance in NPB with stronger roster depth
  • Early September matches typically favor more established powerhouse teams with playoff pressure experience
  • Hiroshima Carp shows competitive spirit but historically trails Giants in head-to-head matchups
  • Giants' veteran lineup better equipped to handle late-season intensity and close games
Read full reasoning

As of June 2024, specific 2026 NPB season statistics are unavailable. However, historical patterns suggest the Yomiuri Giants maintain consistent competitive advantage over the Hiroshima Carp in direct matchups. The Giants, as a perennial powerhouse in the NPB, typically demonstrate stronger roster depth and experience in high-pressure late-season scenarios. September 25 fixtures generally favor teams with established momentum and veteran leadership. While Hiroshima presents a competitive challenge as a respectable mid-tier franchise, the Giants' organizational consistency and historical performance trends favor an away victory. The confidence level reflects the inherent uncertainty of future-dated predictions combined with historical data limitations.

Gemini · Forecast 3

52%

Prediction: Hiroshima Carp Win

Score: 4 - 3

  • Mazda Stadium home-field advantage in a high-stakes late-September pennant race.
  • Hiroshima's superior tactical execution in small-ball situations versus Giants' power-hitting reliance.
  • Late-season bullpen fatigue typically favors the home team's ability to manage high-leverage matchups.
Read full reasoning

As this match is scheduled for late September 2026, the assessment is based on historical organizational profiles and the typical dynamics of the Central League pennant race. Hiroshima Carp generally maintain a significant advantage at Mazda Stadium, where the outdoor conditions and specialized dimensions favor their contact-oriented hitting and aggressive baserunning. Historically, the Carp's pitching staff is built for durability, which is a critical factor during the final weeks of the NPB season when rosters are stretched. The Yomiuri Giants often rely on a power-heavy lineup that can be neutralized in the larger, more wind-affected environment of Hiroshima compared to the Tokyo Dome. While the Giants possess the financial depth to bolster their roster, the Carp's developmental system often produces peak performance from younger players during late-season pressure. Expect a tightly contested game where Hiroshima's situational hitting and bullpen management provide the marginal difference in a one-run victory.

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