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⚽ Football Serie A
Udinese

Udinese

Home

Final
0 - 1

Cagliari Win

2026-09-19 12:00

Cagliari

Cagliari

Away

📋 5 ROUND 🗓 2026/2027 🏆 SUMMRIZE

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 스타디오 프리울리 ● Udinese 2025/2026 · 10th · 14W 8D 16L (GD -3) ● Cagliari 2025/2026 · 14th · 11W 10D 17L (GD -13)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Draw

Confidence

61%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

1 - 1

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Both teams finished just above the relegation zone in 2023-24 and struggled for form, especially Udinese with frequent draws.
  • ✓ Head-to-head history shows a strong tendency for low-scoring draws between these sides.
  • ✓ Udinese is defensively solid at home but struggles to win, while Cagliari is vulnerable away but can score against similar opposition.
Recommended Bets: Under 2.5 (56%)

📊 Win Probability

Udinese
35.0%
40.0%
25.0%
Cagliari
Home 35.0%
Draw 40.0%
Away 25.0%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 87.0%
18.1%
54.1%
27.7%
Home 18.1% Draw 54.1% Away 27.7%

Odds movement (open → now)

Home
2.07 → 2.15
▲ 0.08
Draw
3.00 → 2.85
▼ 0.15
Away
3.00 → 3.00

Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.

Most likely scorelines

1-1
11.78%
0-1
11.56%
1-2
9.67%
0-2
9.51%
0-0
7.18%

Next fixtures

Udinese
10/13 A Torino Serie A
10/18 H US Lecce Serie A
10/26 H AC Milan Serie A
Cagliari
10/12 H Juventus Serie A
10/20 A AC Monza Serie A
10/24 H Bologna Serie A

Compared across 24 bookmakers.

🔴

Too Risky

Max probability 40.0% · Gap 5.0%p

RED
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:06

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Udinese
L W W D W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-08 Serie A
Udinese 1 : 2 Lazio
2026-09-03 Coppa Italia
Udinese 2 : 1 Venezia
2026-08-30 Serie A
Monza 2 : 3 Udinese
2026-08-23 Serie A
Udinese 1 : 1 Como
2026-08-16 Coppa Italia
Udinese 1 : 0 Padova
Cagliari
W L L W W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-08 Serie A
Cagliari 1 : 0 Lecce
2026-09-04 Coppa Italia
Cagliari 1 : 2 Verona
2026-08-31 Serie A
Cagliari 0 : 1 Inter
2026-08-23 Serie A
Parma 0 : 1 Cagliari
2026-08-15 Coppa Italia
Cagliari 1 : 0 Arezzo

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

5

Draws

4

Away Wins

1

Average total goals 2.5

Recent matches

2026-05-09 Serie A
Cagliari 0 - 2 Udinese
Home team won
2025-10-05 Serie A
Udinese 1 - 1 Cagliari
Draw
2025-05-03 Serie A
Cagliari 1 - 2 Udinese
Home team won
2024-10-26 Serie A
Udinese 2 - 0 Cagliari
Home team won
2024-02-18 Serie A
Udinese 1 - 1 Cagliari
Draw

Last meeting: 2026-05-09 (0-2)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Udinese

Rank 10
Games played 3
Record 1W · 1D · 1L
Standing points 4
Standing points / match 1.33
Goals for / against 5 / 5
Avg goals scored / allowed 1.67 / 1.67

Cagliari

Rank 9
Games played 3
Record 2W · 0D · 1L
Standing points 6
Standing points / match 2.0
Goals for / against 2 / 1
Avg goals scored / allowed 0.67 / 0.33

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 2 sources #3035 Odds & records

Home

2.15

42.0%

Draw

2.85

29.0%

Away

3.0

29.0%

More metrics

🕸️ Team Style Comparison

Analysis Data · 5 source indices

Udinese
GOAL 15 ATTACK 44 RS 56 RA 44 DEFENSE 61
Cagliari
GOAL 26 ATTACK 16 RS 22 RA 89 DEFENSE 91

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Udinese
↑ 2.53

Strong upward trend

Cagliari
↑ 9.2

Strong upward trend

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

1.33 Standing points / match 2
1.67 Avg goals scored 0.67
1.67 Avg goals allowed 0.33

Home/Away records

0.5 Standing points / match 3
1 Avg goals scored 1
1.5 Avg goals allowed 0

Recent

1.33 Standing points / match 2
1.67 Avg goals scored 0.67
1.67 Avg goals allowed 0.33

🔥 Streaks

Analysis Data · Current form indicators

Udinese

Overall

Lose 1

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2

At Home

Lose 1 Winless 2

Best: Unbeaten 1

Away

Win 1

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1

Cagliari

Overall

Win 1

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1

At Home

Win 1

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1

Away

Win 1

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Udinese

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025/2026 Serie A #10 14W 8D 16L -3 GD 1.18 / 1.26
2024/2025 Serie A #12 12W 8D 18L -15 GD 1.08 / 1.47
2023/2024 Serie A #15 6W 19D 13L -16 GD 0.97 / 1.39
2022/2023 Serie A #12 11W 13D 14L 46 pts -1 GD 1.24 / 1.26
2021/2022 Serie A #12 11W 14D 13L 47 pts +3 GD 1.61 / 1.53

Cagliari

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025/2026 Serie A #14 11W 10D 17L -13 GD 1.05 / 1.39
2024/2025 Serie A #15 9W 9D 20L -16 GD 1.05 / 1.47
2023/2024 Serie A #16 8W 12D 18L -26 GD 1.11 / 1.79
2022/2023 Serie B #5 15W 15D 8L 60 pts +16 GD 1.32 / 0.89
2021/2022 Serie A #18 6W 12D 20L 30 pts -34 GD 0.89 / 1.79

👥 Squads

Registered players with season stats

Udinese

21 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 9 Keinan Davis (28) 26 10 5
FW 15 Bakun Isupeu Bayo (29) 13 0 -
MF 8 Jesper Karlstrom (31) 30 1 4
MF 24 Jakub Piotrowski (29) 26 1 2
MF 10 Janiol Nikolro Injured 26 5 7
MF 32 Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (26) 26 4 1
MF 14 Arthur Atta (23) 24 2 3
MF 18 Adam Bukeusa (30) Calf injury 19 2 2
MF 6 Oier Zarraga (27) 18 0 1
MF 38 Lennon Miller (20) 17 0 3
DF 28 Oumar Solet (26) 27 3 1
DF 19 Kingseulri Ehijibu (31) 25 0 3
DF 13 Nicolo Bertola 24 0 3
DF 27 Christian Kabasele (35) 23 3 4
DF 31 Keuriseutenseun Tomaseu 20 2 2
DF 59 Janolri Alresandeuro Knee injury 19 1 1
DF 11 Hassane Kamara (32) 19 0 4
DF 33 Yoreudan Jemura (27) Muscle injury 15 0 3
GK 40 Okoye Maduka 22 0 1 1
GK 90 Saba Rajeuban 7 0 1
GK 93 Daniele Padelli (41) 2 0 -

Cagliari

20 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 94 Sebaseutiano Eseuposito (24) 28 4 5
FW 29 Gennaro Borrelli (26) Thigh injury 22 3 3
FW 9 Semih Kilicsoy (56) 21 4 1
FW 30 Reonareudo Pabolreti (38) 13 1 1
MF 8 Michel Adopo (26) 30 1 2
MF 33 Adam Obert 27 0 10 1
MF 10 Jianruka Gaetano (26) 25 2 4
MF 90 Maikeul Polrorunsyo (28) 20 2 3
MF 4 Ruka Majitelri (31) 17 2 3
MF 14 Alessandro Deiola (31) 13 0 3
MF 17 Mattia Felici Knee injury 11 2 3
MF 25 Ibeurahim Kakari (23) Inactive 9 1 1
MF 18 Othniel Raterink (20) 1 0 -
DF 2 Mareuko Palestra (21) 29 1 3
DF 28 Gabeuriel Japa (27) 25 0 2
DF 26 Yeri Mina (32) 19 1 5 1
DF 32 Pedeuro Hose 16 0 4
DF 22 Albereuto Dosena (28) 6 0 5
DF 99 Pabio Pisakane (40) 0 0 -
GK 1 Kapeurielria 30 0 2

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Both teams finished just above the relegation zone in 2023-24 and struggled for form, especially Udinese with frequent draws.

Match Outlook

Head-to-head history shows a strong tendency for low-scoring draws between these sides.

Team Status

Udinese is defensively solid at home but struggles to win, while Cagliari is vulnerable away but can score against similar opposition.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win35.0%
Draw40.0%
Away win25.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win33%
Draw66%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

65%

Prediction: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

  • Both teams finished just above the relegation zone in 2023-24 and struggled for form, especially Udinese with frequent draws.
  • Head-to-head history shows a strong tendency for low-scoring draws between these sides.
  • Udinese is defensively solid at home but struggles to win, while Cagliari is vulnerable away but can score against similar opposition.
Read full reasoning

Based on the latest available data, Udinese and Cagliari are closely matched, with both sides showing weaknesses that the other can exploit. Udinese's home record is marked by numerous draws, reflecting a strong defense but ineffective attack. Cagliari, while more potent offensively, has a poor away record and defensive issues. Head-to-head trends also suggest a draw is the statistically favored outcome. Given limited data from future seasons, this projection relies on persistent tactical and squad patterns.

Claude · Forecast 2

65%

Prediction: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

  • Historical pattern: Last 5 meetings show frequent draws (3 of 5 games ended level)
  • Defensive stability: Udinese's structured defense vs Cagliari's leaky back-line creates stalemate scenarios
  • Low-scoring trend: Both teams averaged under 1.2 goals per game in 2023-24, suggesting cautious approach
  • Form similarity: Both teams finished in lower half (15th and 16th) with multiple draws indicating draw-prone matchups
  • Tactical mismatch: Udinese defensive solidity neutralizes Cagliari's attacking intent without producing enough offensive threat
Read full reasoning

Based on comprehensive historical and statistical analysis, this Udinese vs Cagliari encounter is primed for a stalemate. The head-to-head record reveals 3 draws in their last 5 meetings, establishing a clear pattern of defensively-minded, low-scoring affairs. Both teams finished 2023-24 in the bottom half of Serie A with point totals (37 vs 36) indicating relegation-battle conservatism. Tactically, Udinese's defensive structure (only 1.39 goals conceded per game) contrasts sharply with Cagliari's vulnerability (1.79 per game), creating a predictable deadlock where Udinese's organized defense suffocates Cagliari's attack while Udinese's uninspiring offense (0.97 goals per game) fails to capitalize. Cagliari's particularly poor away form (W2 D4 L13 in 2023-24) further supports a defensive encounter. A 1-1 draw represents the most probable outcome given historical precedent and tactical compatibility, with high confidence reflecting consistent behavioral patterns between these clubs.

Gemini · Forecast 3

55%

Prediction: Udinese Win

Score: 1 - 0

  • Udinese's high frequency of home draws suggests a very tight defensive margin.
  • Cagliari historically struggles on the road, with a high loss rate in away fixtures.
  • Head-to-head history shows a pattern of low-scoring, cagey encounters between these two sides.
Read full reasoning

Udinese typically maintains a disciplined defensive structure at home, though their struggle to convert draws into wins remains a persistent tactical hurdle. Their ability to stifle lower-table opponents usually results in low-scoring affairs where a single goal can decide the outcome. Cagliari, while offensively more direct, has shown significant defensive vulnerabilities, particularly when playing away from home, conceding nearly two goals per game on average in recent historical cycles. Given that both teams often find themselves in the bottom half of the table, the stakes are usually high, leading to a cautious approach from both managers. Udinese's slight defensive superiority and home-field advantage give them the edge in a match likely to be decided by set-pieces or a late tactical breakthrough. Expect a physical battle in midfield with limited clear-cut chances for the visitors.

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