Key Analysis
Both teams ended their previous campaigns unbeaten in five matches, showing strong form.
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⚽ Football
Serie A
Parma
Home
Final
2
-
1
Parma Win
2026-09-20 12:00
Genoa
Away
📋
5 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
🏆
SUMMRIZE
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 엔티오 타르디니 스타디움
● Parma 2025/2026 · 13th · 11W 12D 15L (GD -18)
● Genoa 2025/2026 · 16th · 10W 11D 17L (GD -10)
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Draw
Prediction Missed🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Draw
Confidence
60%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Both teams ended their previous campaigns unbeaten in five matches, showing strong form.
- ✓ Parma dominated Serie B with a solid defense and strong home record, while Genoa was mid-table in Serie A but struggled away.
- ✓ Head-to-head history shows close contests, often high-scoring, with neither side dominating consistently.
Recommended Bets:
Under 2.5
(55%)
📊 Win Probability
Parma
Genoa
33.0%
38.0%
29.0%
Home 33.0%
Draw 38.0%
Away 29.0%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 87.1%
81.9%
Home 10.7%
Draw 81.9%
Away 7.4%
Most likely scorelines
0-1
21.63%
0-0
15.35%
0-2
15.26%
1-1
10.02%
1-0
7.11%
Next fixtures
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10/20
H
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10/25
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10/10
H
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Compared across 22 bookmakers.
🔴
RED
Too Risky
Max probability 38.0% · Gap 5.0%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:07
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Parma
D
L
L
L
W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-06
Serie A
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
2026-09-02
Coppa Italia
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
2026-08-30
Serie A
Juventus
2 : 0
Parma
2026-08-23
Serie A
Parma
0 : 1
Cagliari
2026-08-15
Coppa Italia
Parma
2 : 0
Catania
Genoa
L
L
L
W
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-05
Serie A
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
2026-08-31
Serie A
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
2026-08-23
Serie A
Genoa
0 : 2
Napoli
2026-08-17
Coppa Italia
Genoa
4 : 1
Ascoli
2026-05-25
Serie A
Lecce
1 : 0
Genoa
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
4
Draws
3
Away Wins
3
Average total goals
2.7
Recent matches
2026-01-18
Serie A
Parma
0 - 0
Genoa
Draw
2025-10-19
Serie A
Genoa
0 - 0
Parma
Draw
2025-01-12
Serie A
Genoa
1 - 0
Parma
Away team won
2024-11-05
Serie A
Parma
0 - 1
Genoa
Away team won
2023-02-06
Serie B
Parma
2 - 0
Genoa
Home team won
Last meeting: 2026-01-18 (0-0)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Parma
Rank
17
Games played
3
Record
0W · 1D · 2L
Standing points
1
Standing points / match
0.33
Goals for / against
1 / 4
Avg goals scored / allowed
0.33 / 1.33
Genoa
Rank
19
Games played
3
Record
0W · 0D · 3L
Standing points
0
Standing points / match
0.0
Goals for / against
1 / 7
Avg goals scored / allowed
0.33 / 2.33
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Parma
GOAL
20
ATTACK
9
RS
11
RA
56
DEFENSE
69
Genoa
GOAL
10
ATTACK
8
RS
11
RA
22
DEFENSE
39
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Parma
↓
-4.17
Sharp decline
Genoa
↓
-6.45
Sharp decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
0.33
Standing points / match
0
0.33
Avg goals scored
0.33
1.33
Avg goals allowed
2.33
Home/Away records
0.5
Standing points / match
0
0.5
Avg goals scored
0
1
Avg goals allowed
1
Recent
0.33
Standing points / match
0
0.33
Avg goals scored
0.33
1.33
Avg goals allowed
2.33
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Parma
Overall
Unbeaten 1
Winless 3
Best: Unbeaten 1
At Home
Unbeaten 1
Winless 2
Best: Unbeaten 1
Away
Lose 1
Genoa
Overall
Lose 3
At Home
Lose 2
Away
Lose 1
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Parma
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Serie A | #13 | 11W 12D 15L | -18 GD | 0.74 / 1.21 |
| 2024/2025 | Serie A | #16 | 7W 15D 16L | -14 GD | 1.16 / 1.53 |
| 2023/2024 | Serie B | #1 | 21W 13D 4L | +31 GD | 1.74 / 0.92 |
| 2022/2023 | Serie B | #4 | 17W 10D 11L | 60 pts +9 GD | 1.26 / 1.03 |
| 2021/2022 | Serie B | #12 | 11W 16D 11L | 49 pts +5 GD | 1.26 / 1.13 |
Genoa
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Serie A | #16 | 10W 11D 17L | -10 GD | 1.08 / 1.34 |
| 2024/2025 | Serie A | #13 | 10W 13D 15L | -12 GD | 0.97 / 1.29 |
| 2023/2024 | Serie A | #11 | 12W 13D 13L | 0 GD | 1.18 / 1.18 |
| 2022/2023 | Serie B | #2 | 21W 11D 6L | 73 pts +25 GD | 1.39 / 0.74 |
| 2021/2022 | Serie A | #19 | 4W 16D 18L | 28 pts -33 GD | 0.71 / 1.58 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Parma
23 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 9 Mateo Pelregeurino (25) | 30 | 8 | 4 |
| FW | 39 Alresandeuro Circati (23) | 23 | 1 | 5 |
| FW | 17 Jeikop Ondeureika (24) | 15 | 0 | 2 |
| FW | 23 Nesta Elphege (25) | 3 | 0 | - |
| FW | 29 Kareuboni Peurangko | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 16 Mandela Keita | 29 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 22 Olribeo Sorenseun (24) | 28 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 10 Aedeurian Bereunabe Gareusia (25) Muscle injury | 27 | 3 | - |
| MF | 8 Nahuel Eseutebejeu (31) | 26 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 24 Christian Ordonez (22) | 20 | 1 | 5 1 |
| MF | 21 Gaetano Oriseutanio (24) | 19 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 11 Pontuseu Alkeubiseuteu (27) Thigh injury | 9 | 0 | - |
| MF | 25 Benjamin Cremaschi (21) Injured | 8 | 0 | - |
| MF | 41 Hanseu Nikolrusi Kabilria (26) | 7 | 0 | - |
| MF | 7 Gabeuriel Seuteurepeja (29) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 15 Enrico Del Prato (27) | 28 | 1 | 5 |
| DF | 14 Emanuele Valeri (28) | 26 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 5 Lautaro Valenti (27) | 22 | 0 | 6 |
| DF | 37 Mariano Troilo (56) | 14 | 1 | 7 2 |
| DF | 3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye | 7 | 0 | 4 1 |
| GK | 40 Edoardo Corvi (25) | 16 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 31 Sion Seujeuki (24) | 13 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 66 Pilripo Rinaldi (24) | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Genoa
22 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 29 Rorencho Kolrombo (24) | 30 | 6 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Biktoreu Olribeira (26) | 28 | 5 | 4 |
| FW | 18 Keilreop Ekuban (32) | 25 | 3 | - |
| FW | 10 Junieo Mesiaseu (35) | 15 | 3 | - |
| FW | 70 Makseuwel Koreune (30) Thigh injury | 7 | 0 | - |
| MF | 77 Elreoteuson Mikael Egil | 29 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 32 Moten Peurendeurupeu (25) | 29 | 1 | 3 |
| MF | 17 Ruseulran Malrinopeuseuki (33) | 28 | 5 | 9 |
| MF | 73 Patrizio Masini (25) | 22 | 0 | 5 |
| MF | 4 Alexsandro Amorim (21) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Tomaso Baldanji (23) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 14 Jang Onana (26) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 22 Yohan Baseukeseu (28) | 30 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 15 Beuruk Norton-Cuffy (22) | 26 | 2 | 5 1 |
| DF | 3 Aron Karikol (29) | 26 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 27 Alresandeuro Marcandalli (24) | 24 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 5 Reo Oeseutigareudeu (27) | 24 | 5 | 6 |
| DF | 20 Seutepano Sabelri (33) | 11 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 34 Sebastian Otoa (22) | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 1 Nikolra Realri (33) | 20 | 0 | 2 1 |
| GK | 16 Jeoseutin Bilrou (28) | 9 | 0 | - |
| GK | 39 Danielre Sommariba (29) | 2 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Parma dominated Serie B with a solid defense and strong home record, while Genoa was mid-table in Serie A but struggled away.
Team Status
Head-to-head history shows close contests, often high-scoring, with neither side dominating consistently.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win33.0%
Draw38.0%
Away win29.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win33%
Draw66%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
60%Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
- Both teams ended their previous campaigns unbeaten in five matches, showing strong form.
- Parma dominated Serie B with a solid defense and strong home record, while Genoa was mid-table in Serie A but struggled away.
- Head-to-head history shows close contests, often high-scoring, with neither side dominating consistently.
Read full reasoning
Given Parma's momentum from winning Serie B and their formidable home record, they should be competitive despite being newly promoted. Genoa has top-tier experience and offensive threats like Guðmundsson, but their away form was inconsistent last season. Recent mutual history reflects balanced outcomes, and both teams are likely to prioritize defensive solidity early in the new season. Without current squad and injury data, a draw is the most probable outcome, with both teams likely to score.
Claude · Forecast 2
62%Prediction: Parma Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Parma promoted as Serie B champions with superior defensive record (0.84 GA/game) vs Genoa's 1.26
- Strong head-to-head advantage: Parma won 5 of last 10 meetings with dominant 2019/20 performances
- Home advantage crucial in recent matchups; Parma finished unbeaten (3W-2D) in final 5 Serie B games with 11 goals scored
- Genoa's mid-table finish (11th) and away record weaker; high-scoring tendency suggests attacking entertainment
Read full reasoning
Parma enters as Serie A newcomers but with impressive credentials: they dominated Serie B (1st place, 76 points, +34 goal differential) and finished unbeaten in their final stretch with clinical finishing. Their defense was elite (fewest goals conceded), which should provide stability against Genoa's mid-table outfit. Historically, Parma dominates this fixture (5 wins in 10), particularly with large margins in 2019/20 (5-1 and 4-1 home/away wins). Genoa, while competitive (unbeaten in final 5), finished 11th in Serie A and showed vulnerability away from home. However, Genoa's counter-attacking prowess (11 goals in final 5 games) and Guðmundsson's finishing ability (14 Serie A goals) present genuine scoring threats. Home advantage, defensive superiority, and historical dominance favor Parma, but Genoa's offensive quality prevents high confidence.
Gemini · Forecast 3
60%Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
- Parma's strong defensive home record from their promotion campaign
- Genoa's established tactical stability as a mid-table Serie A side
- Historical tendency for high-scoring encounters between these two clubs
Read full reasoning
Parma enters this early-season clash with the momentum of their promotion to the top flight, relying on the defensive solidity that saw them concede only 0.84 goals per game in Serie B. At the Ennio Tardini, they are traditionally aggressive and look to dominate possession through creative wingers like Dennis Man. However, Genoa has evolved into a resilient Serie A unit under Alberto Gilardino, characterized by a disciplined 3-5-2 or 4-3-3 structure that is difficult to break down on the road. Considering the match takes place early in the season, both teams are likely still optimizing their tactical cohesion. While Parma has historical dominance in head-to-head home fixtures, Genoa's experience in managing Serie A tempos gives them a slight edge in game management. A score draw is the most probable outcome, as Parma's enthusiasm and home support will likely be neutralized by Genoa's organized midfield and top-flight experience.