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⚽ Football Serie A
🏠

Parma

Home

Scheduled

VS

Match Time

2026-11-07

18:00

✈️

Bologna

Away

📋 11 ROUND 🗓 2026/2027
● Parma 2025/2026 · 13th · 11W 12D 15L (GD -18) ● Bologna 2025/2026 · 8th · 16W 8D 14L (GD +3)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Bologna Win

Confidence

62%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

1 - 2

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Bologna finished 5th in Serie A with a strong defense and attack, while Parma is newly promoted from Serie B.
  • ✓ Head-to-head history favors Bologna, and their squad depth and recent top-flight experience give them an edge.
  • ✓ Parma has momentum from promotion and a solid home record, but lacks recent Serie A experience.
Recommended Bets: Away Win (62%) Over 2.5 (57%)

📊 Win Probability

Parma
22.5%
27.5%
50.0%
Bologna
Home 22.5%
Draw 27.5%
Away 50.0%
🟡

Caution

Max probability 50.0% · Gap 22.5%p

YELLOW

Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.

Analysis data as of 2026-11-02 21:18

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Parma
D L L W L
View 5 recent results
2026-10-29 Serie A
Parma 0 : 0 Udinese
2026-10-25 Serie A
Lazio 2 : 1 Parma
2026-10-20 Serie A
Parma 0 : 3 Torino
2026-09-20 Serie A
Parma 2 : 1 Genoa
2026-09-15 Serie A
Como 2 : 1 Parma
Bologna
W W W L D
View 5 recent results
2026-10-31 Serie A
Bologna 2 : 1 Monza
2026-10-29 Serie A
AC Milan 2 : 4 Bologna
2026-10-24 Serie A
Cagliari 0 : 2 Bologna
2026-10-18 Serie A
Bologna 1 : 3 Inter
2026-09-19 Serie A
Bologna 1 : 1 Torino

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

2

Draws

3

Away Wins

5

Average total goals 3.1

Recent matches

2026-02-08 Serie A
Bologna 0 - 1 Parma
Home team won
2025-12-05 Coppa Italia
Bologna 2 - 1 Parma
Away team won
2025-11-03 Serie A
Parma 1 - 3 Bologna
Away team won
2025-02-22 Serie A
Parma 2 - 0 Bologna
Home team won
2024-10-06 Serie A
Bologna 0 - 0 Parma
Draw

Last meeting: 2026-02-08 (0-1)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Parma

Rank 17
Games played 8
Record 1W · 2D · 5L
Standing points 5
Standing points / match 0.63
Goals for / against 5 / 12
Avg goals scored / allowed 0.63 / 1.5

Bologna

Rank 12
Games played 9
Record 3W · 2D · 4L
Standing points 11
Standing points / match 1.22
Goals for / against 12 / 12
Avg goals scored / allowed 1.33 / 1.33
More metrics

🕸️ Team Style Comparison

Analysis Data · 5 source indices

Parma
GOAL 13 ATTACK 13 RS 21 RA 50 DEFENSE 72
Bologna
GOAL 42 ATTACK 35 RS 50 RA 54 DEFENSE 78

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Parma
↓ -5.47

Sharp decline

Bologna
↑ 1.63

Slight improvement

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

0.63 Standing points / match 1.22
0.63 Avg goals scored 1.33
1.5 Avg goals allowed 1.33

Home/Away records

1 Standing points / match 1.5
0.6 Avg goals scored 1.5
1.2 Avg goals allowed 1

Recent

0.63 Standing points / match 1.38
0.63 Avg goals scored 1.5
1.5 Avg goals allowed 1.38

🔥 Streaks

Analysis Data · Current form indicators

Parma

Overall

Unbeaten 1 Winless 3

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1

At Home

Unbeaten 1 Winless 2

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2

Away

Lose 3

Bologna

Overall

Win 3

Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 3

At Home

Win 1

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2

Away

Win 2

Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Parma

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025/2026 Serie A #13 11W 12D 15L -18 GD 0.74 / 1.21
2024/2025 Serie A #16 7W 15D 16L -14 GD 1.16 / 1.53
2023/2024 Serie B #1 21W 13D 4L +31 GD 1.74 / 0.92
2022/2023 Serie B #4 17W 10D 11L 60 pts +9 GD 1.26 / 1.03
2021/2022 Serie B #12 11W 16D 11L 49 pts +5 GD 1.26 / 1.13

Bologna

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025/2026 Serie A #8 16W 8D 14L +3 GD 1.29 / 1.21
2024/2025 Serie A #9 16W 14D 8L +10 GD 1.5 / 1.24
2023/2024 Serie A #5 18W 14D 6L +22 GD 1.42 / 0.84
2022/2023 Serie A #9 14W 12D 12L 54 pts +4 GD 1.39 / 1.29
2021/2022 Serie A #13 12W 10D 16L 46 pts -11 GD 1.16 / 1.45

👥 Squads

Registered players with season stats

Parma

23 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 9 Mateo Pelregeurino (25) 30 8 4
FW 39 Alresandeuro Circati (23) 23 1 5
FW 17 Jeikop Ondeureika (24) 15 0 2
FW 23 Nesta Elphege (25) 3 0 -
FW 29 Kareuboni Peurangko 2 0 -
MF 16 Mandela Keita 29 0 1
MF 22 Olribeo Sorenseun (24) 28 1 2
MF 10 Aedeurian Bereunabe Gareusia (25) Muscle injury 27 3 -
MF 8 Nahuel Eseutebejeu (31) 26 0 3
MF 24 Christian Ordonez (22) 20 1 5 1
MF 21 Gaetano Oriseutanio (24) 19 1 1
MF 11 Pontuseu Alkeubiseuteu (27) Thigh injury 9 0 -
MF 25 Benjamin Cremaschi (21) Injured 8 0 -
MF 41 Hanseu Nikolrusi Kabilria (26) 7 0 -
MF 7 Gabeuriel Seuteurepeja (29) 7 0 1
DF 15 Enrico Del Prato (27) 28 1 5
DF 14 Emanuele Valeri (28) 26 0 2
DF 5 Lautaro Valenti (27) 22 0 6
DF 37 Mariano Troilo (56) 14 1 7 2
DF 3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye 7 0 4 1
GK 40 Edoardo Corvi (25) 16 0 1
GK 31 Sion Seujeuki (24) 13 0 1
GK 66 Pilripo Rinaldi (24) 1 0 1

Bologna

24 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 9 Santiago Castro (22) 27 7 2
FW 28 Nikolro Kambiagi (26) 24 3 3 1
FW 10 Pederiko Bereunareudeseuki (32) 22 2 2
FW 21 Yenseu Odeugareudeu (27) Thigh injury 22 5 1
FW 24 Tijeu Dalringga (26) 21 2 2
FW 11 Jon Rou (23) 20 1 2
FW 30 Benjamin Dominguez (56) 13 0 1
MF 7 Rikareudo Osolrini (29) 28 7 2
MF 6 Nikolra Moro (28) 23 2 1
MF 8 Remo Peuroelreo (34) 21 0 5
MF 4 Tomaso Pobega (27) Hip Injury06.04.2026 20 2 1 1
MF 19 Ruiseu Peogeoseun (27) 20 1 5
MF 23 Saimeon Som (25) 7 0 1
MF 17 Joao Mario Neto Ropeuseu (26) 5 0 -
DF 20 Nadireu Joreutea (27) 25 0 2
DF 33 Huan Miranda (26) 24 1 6
DF 14 Torbjorn Lysaker Heggem (27) 22 0 1
DF 26 Jon Rukumi (28) 22 1 4
DF 41 Matin Bitik (23) 17 0 3
DF 16 Nikolro Kasalre (28) 11 0 -
DF 22 Syararamboseu Rikojianiseu (33) 10 0 3
DF 29 Rorenjo De Silbeseuteuri (38) Muscle injury 9 0 2
GK 1 Rukaseu Seukorupseuki (35) Muscle injury 17 0 1 1
GK 13 Pederiko Rabageulria (27) 14 0 3

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Bologna finished 5th in Serie A with a strong defense and attack, while Parma is newly promoted from Serie B.

Match Outlook

Head-to-head history favors Bologna, and their squad depth and recent top-flight experience give them an edge.

Team Status

Parma has momentum from promotion and a solid home record, but lacks recent Serie A experience.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win23.0%
Draw28.0%
Away win50.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw0%
Away Win100%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

70%

Prediction: Bologna Win

Score: 1 - 2

  • Bologna finished 5th in Serie A with a strong defense and attack, while Parma is newly promoted from Serie B.
  • Head-to-head history favors Bologna, and their squad depth and recent top-flight experience give them an edge.
  • Parma has momentum from promotion and a solid home record, but lacks recent Serie A experience.
Read full reasoning

Bologna enters this fixture as clear favorites based on their proven Serie A quality, recent form, and superior squad depth. Parma's strong promotion campaign and home form suggest competitiveness, but the step up in level may challenge them. Bologna's tactical flexibility and attacking options, even with potential summer changes, give them the edge. However, without current-season data, confidence is tempered to 'medium.' A close match is expected, but Bologna's experience should prevail.

Claude · Forecast 2

62%

Prediction: Bologna Win

Score: 1 - 2

  • Bologna's Champions League pedigree and Serie A experience gives them a tactical advantage over newly promoted Parma
  • Parma's strong Serie B form (top offense, best defense) shows promise but transitioning to Serie A is challenging
  • Head-to-head history favors Bologna (2W-0L-3D), though recent matches show competitive encounters
  • Bologna's dynamic attacking style under new coach Italiano should exploit Parma's unfamiliarity with top-flight pace
  • Parma's defensive solidity and possession-based approach under Pecchia can frustrate but likely insufficient to secure points away
Read full reasoning

Bologna enters as clear favorites despite Parma's impressive promotion campaign. While Parma finished Serie B with the best defense (37 GA) and top attack (66 GF), the jump to Serie A represents a significant step up in quality and intensity. Bologna's 2023/24 Champions League qualification demonstrates superior squad depth and experience at this level. Under Italiano's tactical approach, Bologna's high press and dynamic attacking should create opportunities against a Parma side still adapting to Serie A's pace. Historically, Bologna has dominated the head-to-head (2W-0L in last 5), and their strong away record (6W-9D-4L in Serie A) provides confidence. Parma will be competitive defensively but likely lack the attacking firepower to secure points at home against a Champions League-caliber opponent. A narrow Bologna victory represents the most probable outcome.

Gemini · Forecast 3

55%

Prediction: Bologna Win

Score: 1 - 2

  • Bologna's superior technical depth and recent experience in European competitions
  • Parma's home advantage in the high-stakes Derby dell'Emilia
  • Historical head-to-head dominance where Bologna is unbeaten in the last five meetings
Read full reasoning

Bologna enters this fixture as the favorite, maintaining their trajectory as a top-half Serie A side following their historic 2023/24 campaign and subsequent European experience. While Parma has shown significant resilience and a clear tactical identity under Fabio Pecchia, the gap in squad quality and financial investment typically favors the Rossoblù in this regional derby. Bologna's ability to control the midfield and their superior defensive record in top-flight football provide a more stable foundation for an away victory. Parma will rely heavily on their home atmosphere at the Ennio Tardini to bridge the gap, but Bologna's tactical flexibility under Vincenzo Italiano is expected to exploit the spaces left by Parma's aggressive pressing style. Historical data further supports this, as Parma has struggled to secure wins against Bologna in recent Serie A encounters.

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