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Orlando City

Home

Scheduled

VS

Match Time

2026-11-07

22:00

✈️

New England Revolution

Away

● Orlando City 2025 · 9th · 14W 11D 9L (GD +12) ● New England Revolution 2025 · 11th · 9W 9D 16L (GD -7)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Orlando City Win

Confidence

73%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

2 - 0

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Orlando City has a strong home record and a top 5 defense in the conference.
  • ✓ New England Revolution is struggling for form with only two wins in eighteen games and the worst defensive record in the East.
  • ✓ Recent head-to-head strongly favors Orlando City, who have won four of the last five meetings.
Recommended Bets: Home Win (73%) Under 2.5 (68%)

📊 Win Probability

Orlando City
61.0%
24.0%
15.0%
New England Revolution
Home 61.0%
Draw 24.0%
Away 15.0%
🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 61.0% · Gap 37.0%p

GREEN

Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.

Analysis data as of 2026-11-02 21:19

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Orlando City
D D W D D
View 5 recent results
2026-10-29 MLS
Chicago Fire 2 : 2 Orlando City
2026-10-25 MLS
Orlando City 2 : 2 New York City
2026-10-18 MLS
Orlando City 4 : 1 DC United
2026-10-15 MLS
Toronto FC 3 : 3 Orlando City
2026-10-11 MLS
Orlando City 2 : 2 Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
W W W W L
View 5 recent results
2026-10-29 MLS
New England Revolution 3 : 2 New York Red Bulls
2026-10-25 MLS
Philadelphia Union 1 : 2 New England Revolution
2026-10-18 MLS
New England Revolution 1 : 0 Chicago Fire
2026-10-15 MLS
FC Cincinnati 2 : 3 New England Revolution
2026-10-11 MLS
New England Revolution 0 : 3 Seattle Sounders

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

5

Draws

2

Away Wins

3

Average total goals 4.3

Recent matches

2026-09-20 MLS
New England Revolution 4 - 2 Orlando City
Away team won
2026-04-30 Us Open Cup
New England Revolution 3 - 4 Orlando City
Home team won
2025-07-20 MLS
New England Revolution 1 - 2 Orlando City
Home team won
2025-05-11 MLS
Orlando City 3 - 3 New England Revolution
Draw
2024-09-15 MLS
Orlando City 3 - 0 New England Revolution
Home team won

Last meeting: 2026-09-20 (4-2)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Orlando City

Rank 17
Games played 31
Record 11W · 7D · 13L
Standing points 40
Standing points / match 1.29
Goals for / against 60 / 73
Avg goals scored / allowed 1.94 / 2.35

New England Revolution

Rank 3
Games played 32
Record 18W · 4D · 10L
Standing points 58
Standing points / match 1.81
Goals for / against 54 / 44
Avg goals scored / allowed 1.69 / 1.38
More metrics

🕸️ Team Style Comparison

Analysis Data · 5 source indices

Orlando City
GOAL 63 ATTACK 39 RS 83 RA 25 DEFENSE 66
New England Revolution
GOAL 51 ATTACK 37 RS 63 RA 42 DEFENSE 67

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Orlando City
↓ -3.72

Sharp decline

New England Revolution
↑ 9.65

Strong upward trend

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

1.29 Standing points / match 1.81
1.94 Avg goals scored 1.69
2.35 Avg goals allowed 1.38

Home/Away records

1.75 Standing points / match 1.44
1.94 Avg goals scored 1.5
1.38 Avg goals allowed 1.63

Recent

1.25 Standing points / match 2.25
2.5 Avg goals scored 1.88
2.25 Avg goals allowed 1.75

🔥 Streaks

Analysis Data · Current form indicators

Orlando City

Overall

Unbeaten 5 Winless 2

Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 5

At Home

Unbeaten 6 Winless 1

Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 6

Away

Unbeaten 2 Winless 4

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2

New England Revolution

Overall

Win 4

Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 7

At Home

Win 2

Best: Win 6 · Unbeaten 6

Away

Win 2

Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Orlando City

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025 Major League Soccer #9 14W 11D 9L +12 GD 1.85 / 1.5
2024 Major League Soccer #4 15W 7D 12L +9 GD 1.74 / 1.47
2023 Major League Soccer #2 18W 9D 7L +16 GD 1.62 / 1.15
2022 Major League Soccer #7 14W 6D 14L 48 pts -9 GD 1.29 / 1.56
2021 Major League Soccer #6 13W 12D 9L 51 pts +2 GD 1.47 / 1.41

New England Revolution

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025 Major League Soccer #11 9W 9D 16L -7 GD 1.29 / 1.5
2024 Major League Soccer #14 9W 4D 21L -37 GD 1.09 / 2.18
2023 Major League Soccer #5 15W 10D 9L +12 GD 1.71 / 1.35
2022 Major League Soccer #10 10W 12D 12L 42 pts -3 GD 1.38 / 1.47
2021 Major League Soccer #1 22W 7D 5L 73 pts +24 GD 1.91 / 1.21

👥 Squads

Registered players with season stats

Orlando City

14 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 77 Anggulro Koreuteseu Iban Dario 5 0 -
FW 24 Dosi Geuripin 5 0 1
FW 10 Ojeda Mareutin (28) 5 2 -
FW 13 Duncan McGuire (25) 5 1 -
FW 11 Tiagu (21) 4 1 -
MF 8 Beureian Ojeda (26) 5 0 -
MF 87 Mareuko Pasalrik (26) 5 1 1
MF 20 Eduareu Atueseuta (29) Thigh injury 3 0 1
MF 16 Wildereu Hose Kareutahena Mendosa (32) Thigh injury 1 0 -
DF 57 Iago Teodoro Nogueira (21) 4 0 1
DF 4 Dabideu Beurekalro (28) Lower body injury 4 0 -
DF 3 Adeurian Marin (29) 2 0 -
GK 86 Maksim Keurepo (32) 4 0 1
GK 12 Habiereu Otero (24) 2 0 -

New England Revolution

17 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 23 Wil Saenjeu (26) 4 0 -
FW 41 Luca Langoni (24) 4 0 1
FW 7 Geuripin You (24) 4 1 2
FW 77 Diego Pagundejeu (31) 2 0 -
FW 9 Reonareudo Kampana (26) Injured 2 1 -
MF 80 Alhasanyusupeu (26) 4 1 -
MF 10 Kareulreseu Hil (34) 4 0 1
MF 21 Brooklyn Raines (21) 4 0 1
MF 14 Jaekseun Yuil (29) 3 0 -
DF 8 Maet Polseuteo (33) 4 0 1
DF 3 Sebalroseu Himeneseu Beurayan Andeureseu 3 2 2
DF 2 Mamadu Popana (28) 3 0 1
DF 22 Edan Koelreo (21) 2 0 -
DF 88 Aendeuryu Parel (34) Hip injury 1 0 -
DF 4 Taeneo Biseun (29) 1 0 -
DF 5 Keegan Hughes (26) 1 0 -
GK 30 Maet Teoneo (32) 4 0 -

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Orlando City has a strong home record and a top 5 defense in the conference.

Match Outlook

New England Revolution is struggling for form with only two wins in eighteen games and the worst defensive record in the East.

Team Status

Recent head-to-head strongly favors Orlando City, who have won four of the last five meetings.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win61.0%
Draw24.0%
Away win15.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

75%

Prediction: Orlando City Win

Score: 2 - 0

  • Orlando City has a strong home record and a top 5 defense in the conference.
  • New England Revolution is struggling for form with only two wins in eighteen games and the worst defensive record in the East.
  • Recent head-to-head strongly favors Orlando City, who have won four of the last five meetings.
Read full reasoning

Based on the latest available data (mid-2024), Orlando City is a clear favorite, particularly at home where they have been consistent and defensively sound. New England Revolution is in a transitional phase with poor recent form and defensive issues, making it unlikely they will pose a significant threat. Despite the projection being nearly two years early, trends and squad quality point to a comfortable Orlando City win unless significant changes occur before the match.

Claude · Forecast 2

72%

Prediction: Orlando City Win

Score: 2 - 0

  • Orlando City's strong home form (only 2 losses at home in 2024) vs New England's struggling away record (1W-2D-6L)
  • Significant form disparity: Orlando 2W-1D-2L vs New England 0W-1D-4L in last 5 matches
  • Orlando dominates head-to-head: 4W-1L in last 5 meetings, demonstrating tactical superiority and psychological edge
  • New England's defensive vulnerability (32 GA, -17 GD) exploitable by Orlando's clinical attack with Torres and McGuire
  • Coach stability advantage: Oscar Pareja established vs Caleb Porter's transitional first season implementing new tactics
Read full reasoning

Orlando City enters as clear favorites given their home dominance, superior current form, and established head-to-head advantage over New England. The Revolution are in crisis mode with only 13 points from 18 games, the worst record in the Eastern Conference with -17 goal differential and winless in their last 5. Orlando's balanced approach (26 goals, strong defense with only 20 conceded) creates a significant tactical mismatch against New England's porous defense and struggling offense (15 goals). While the November 2026 date means squad changes are likely, the historical patterns and structural advantages (coaching stability, home venue psychology, superior squad depth indicators) strongly favor Orlando. New England's only path involves Carles Gil's creativity unlocking rare opportunities, but inconsistent form and recent defensive struggles make this unlikely.

Gemini · Forecast 3

75%

Prediction: Orlando City Win

Score: 2 - 0

  • New England Revolution has the lowest offensive output in the Eastern Conference, averaging less than one goal per game.
  • Historical head-to-head data shows Orlando City has won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two clubs.
Read full reasoning

Orlando City enters this matchup as the clear favorite based on the current trajectory of both clubs. Orlando's defensive organization, led by Pedro Gallese and a disciplined backline, has made them difficult to break down at home, where they have only lost twice this season. Their tactical setup under Oscar Pareja emphasizes quick transitions that are likely to exploit the gaps in a New England defense that has struggled with consistency and late-game fatigue. Conversely, the New England Revolution are in a period of significant transition and struggle. With the lowest goal-scoring record in the conference and a defensive line that has conceded 32 goals, they lack the clinical edge required to challenge a top-six side away from home. While Carles Gil remains a creative threat, the lack of support in the final third and their poor recent form (winless in five) suggests they will struggle to secure even a point in this fixture.

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