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Hanshin Tigers

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Final
3 - 2

Hanshin Tigers Win

2026-09-21 04:00

✈️

Yokohama BayStars

Away

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 한신 고시엔구장 ● Hanshin Tigers 2025 · 1st · 85W 4D 54L (RD +144) ● Yokohama BayStars 2025 · 2nd · 71W 6D 66L (RD +54)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Hanshin Tigers Win

Confidence

64%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

4 - 2

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Hanshin Tigers have the strongest pitching staff in the Central League, with a team ERA of 2.97.
  • ✓ Hanshin leads both the current standings and recent head-to-head record versus Yokohama BayStars.
  • ✓ BayStars rely on offense but have shown inconsistency on the mound and in close games.
Recommended Bets: Home Win (64%) Over 2.5 (59%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Hanshin Tigers
62.2%
37.8%
Yokohama BayStars
Home 62.2%
Away 37.8%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 87.9%
50.8%
49.2%
Home 50.8% Away 49.2%

Odds movement (open → now)

Home
1.87 → 1.81
▼ 0.06
Away
1.66 → 1.71
▲ 0.05

Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.

Most likely scorelines

3-2
5.74%
2-3
5.1%
4-3
5.02%
4-2
4.86%
3-4
4.34%

Next fixtures

Hanshin Tigers
09/22 A Tokyo Yakult Swallows NPB
09/23 A Tokyo Yakult Swallows NPB
09/25 A Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB
Yokohama DeNA BayStars
09/22 H Chunichi Dragons NPB
09/23 H Chunichi Dragons NPB
09/25 H Hanshin Tigers NPB

Compared across 22 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 62.2% · Gap 24.4%p

GREEN
Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 14:05

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Hanshin Tigers
L L L L L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-13 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 0 : 1 Chunichi Dragons
2026-09-12 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 1 : 0 Hanshin Tigers
2026-09-09 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 : 3 Hiroshima Carp
2026-09-06 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 : 4 Yokohama BayStars
2026-09-05 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 2 : 3 Yokohama BayStars
Yokohama BayStars
W W W W W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-13 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 5 : 0 Yomiuri Giants
2026-09-12 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 2 : 7 Yokohama BayStars
2026-09-11 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 1 : 6 Yokohama BayStars
2026-09-10 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 8 : 1 Yakult Swallows
2026-09-09 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 9 : 2 Yakult Swallows

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

5

Draws

0

Away Wins

5

Average total runs 7.6

Recent matches

2026-09-06 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 - 4 Yokohama BayStars
Away team won
2026-09-05 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 2 - 3 Yokohama BayStars
Away team won
2026-08-23 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 3 - 5 Hanshin Tigers
Home team won
2026-08-21 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 1 - 4 Hanshin Tigers
Home team won
2026-08-06 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 5 - 10 Hanshin Tigers
Home team won

Last meeting: 2026-09-06 (1-4)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Hanshin Tigers

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

Yokohama BayStars

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

1.91

Closing

Away

1.88

Closing

Match Winner 1 source #3714 Odds & records

Home

1.81

Away

1.71

Match Winner 2 sources #3715 Odds & records

Win

2.95

47.0%

Within 1

2.65

Loss

2.31

53.0%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Hanshin Tigers

Yokohama BayStars

The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.

Runs scored / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Runs allowed / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Run differential / game

Home+0.00
Away+0.00

Win percentage

Home0.0%
Away0.0%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Hanshin Tigers
↓ -9.11

Sharp decline

Yokohama BayStars
↑ 8.49

Strong upward trend

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Hanshin Tigers

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #1 85W 4D 54L 61.2% +144 RD 3.47 / 2.46
2024 NPB #2 74W 6D 63L 54.0% +65 RD 3.39 / 2.94
2023 NPB #1 85W 5D 53L 61.2% +131 RD 3.88 / 2.97
2022 NPB #3 68W 4D 71L 49.0% +61 RD 3.42 / 2.99
2021 NPB #2 77W 10D 56L 57.3% +33 RD 3.78 / 3.55

Yokohama BayStars

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #2 71W 6D 66L 51.8% +54 RD 3.57 / 3.19
2024 NPB #3 71W 3D 69L 50.7% +19 RD 3.65 / 3.52
2023 NPB #3 74W 3D 66L 52.8% +24 RD 3.64 / 3.47
2022 NPB #2 73W 2D 68L 51.7% -37 RD 3.48 / 3.73
2021 NPB #6 54W 16D 73L 43.4% -65 RD 3.91 / 4.36

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Hanshin Tigers have the strongest pitching staff in the Central League, with a team ERA of 2.97.

Match Outlook

Hanshin leads both the current standings and recent head-to-head record versus Yokohama BayStars.

Team Status

BayStars rely on offense but have shown inconsistency on the mound and in close games.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win62.0%
Away win38.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

65%

Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win

Score: 4 - 2

  • Hanshin Tigers have the strongest pitching staff in the Central League, with a team ERA of 2.97.
  • Hanshin leads both the current standings and recent head-to-head record versus Yokohama BayStars.
  • BayStars rely on offense but have shown inconsistency on the mound and in close games.
Read full reasoning

Given the available data as of June 2024, the Hanshin Tigers are favored due to superior pitching, strong home record, and recent historical success over the BayStars. While Yokohama BayStars have a dangerous offense, their pitching depth and bullpen reliability remain concerns, especially against Hanshin's balanced approach. However, due to the long gap until the actual match date and possible roster changes, confidence is moderate and this analysis should be updated closer to the match.

Claude · Forecast 2

65%

Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win

Score: 3 - 2

  • Hanshin Tigers lead Central League standings and recent season series against BayStars (7-4 record)
  • Hanshin's superior pitching (2.97 ERA vs 3.60) and defense provide significant advantage in close games
  • BayStars' strong offense (4.4 RPG) can compete but inconsistent bullpen exploited by Tigers' clutch defense
  • Home field advantage at Koshien favors Tigers; recent head-to-head shows Hanshin dominant (6-4 in last 10)
Read full reasoning

Hanshin Tigers are heavy favorites based on multiple analytical factors. As the defending Central League champions and current division leaders (38-24, .613 WP), they possess the league's best ERA (2.97) and run differential (+42). Their recent form shows 3 wins in last 5 games with strong pitching depth led by Koutaro Ohtake (7-2, 2.23 ERA). While Yokohama BayStars boast potent offense (4.4 RPG) with players like Keita Sano (.295, 15 HR), their pitching inconsistency (3.60 ERA) and bullpen vulnerabilities are exposed against Hanshin's disciplined approach. Hanshin's home record (22-10) provides additional edge at Koshien Stadium. Prediction: Hanshin victory with tight scoreline reflects BayStars' offensive capability but acknowledges Tigers' overall superiority.

Gemini · Forecast 3

65%

Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win

Score: 4 - 2

  • Hanshin Tigers' league-leading pitching staff and team ERA (2.97).
  • Yokohama BayStars' offensive reliance vs Hanshin's defensive consistency.
  • Hanshin's historical head-to-head dominance during the 2023 and 2024 seasons.
Read full reasoning

The Hanshin Tigers enter this matchup as favorites, primarily driven by their superior pitching rotation and defensive stability. With a team ERA significantly lower than the league average, the Tigers are well-equipped to neutralize the BayStars' potent middle-of-the-order. Their performance at home has historically been dominant, particularly at Koshien Stadium, where they leverage high-pressure environments against visiting teams. Conversely, while the Yokohama BayStars boast a high-scoring offense led by Keita Sano and Shugo Maki, their pitching inconsistency remains a critical vulnerability. The BayStars often struggle in low-scoring, tactical games where bullpen depth becomes the deciding factor. Given the 2024 data showing Hanshin leading the season series, the Tigers are likely to control the tempo. Expect a game where Hanshin's starters provide enough length to hand over a lead to their reliable closing unit, securing a victory through defensive discipline.

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