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Yokohama BayStars

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Final
4 - 3

Yokohama BayStars Win

2026-09-23 08:00

✈️

Chunichi Dragons

Away

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 요코하마 스타디움 ● Yokohama BayStars 2025 · 2nd · 71W 6D 66L (RD +54) ● Chunichi Dragons 2025 · 4th · 63W 2D 78L (RD -60)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Yokohama BayStars Win

Confidence

67%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

4 - 2

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Yokohama BayStars have won 3 of their last 5 games and are showing improved offense.
  • ✓ Chunichi Dragons have struggled offensively and have a weaker run differential.
  • ✓ The BayStars perform well at home, while the Dragons tend to struggle on the road.
Recommended Bets: Home Win (67%) Over 2.5 (62%)

📊 Win / Loss Probability

Yokohama BayStars
64.9%
35.1%
Chunichi Dragons
Home 64.9%
Away 35.1%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 88.0%
93.2%
Home 93.2% Away 6.8%

Odds movement (open → now)

Home
1.45 → 1.41
▼ 0.04
Away
2.24 → 2.34
▲ 0.10

Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.

Most likely scorelines

3-4
4.0%
4-3
3.74%
4-5
3.73%
5-4
3.67%
3-5
3.53%

Next fixtures

Yokohama DeNA BayStars
09/25 H Hanshin Tigers NPB
09/26 H Hanshin Tigers NPB
09/27 H Hiroshima Toyo Carp NPB
Chunichi Dragons
09/25 A Tokyo Yakult Swallows NPB
09/26 A Tokyo Yakult Swallows NPB
10/01 A Hiroshima Toyo Carp NPB

Compared across 22 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 64.9% · Gap 29.8%p

GREEN
Analysis data as of 2026-09-26 15:09

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Yokohama BayStars
W D W W W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-15 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 13 : 2 Yomiuri Giants
2026-09-14 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 3 : 3 Yomiuri Giants
2026-09-13 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 5 : 0 Yomiuri Giants
2026-09-12 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 2 : 7 Yokohama BayStars
2026-09-11 NPB
Hiroshima Carp 1 : 6 Yokohama BayStars
Chunichi Dragons
W W W L L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-15 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 1 : 4 Chunichi Dragons
2026-09-14 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 0 : 6 Chunichi Dragons
2026-09-13 NPB
Hanshin Tigers 0 : 1 Chunichi Dragons
2026-09-12 NPB
Chunichi Dragons 5 : 6 Yakult Swallows
2026-09-10 NPB
Yomiuri Giants 5 : 3 Chunichi Dragons

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

7

Draws

0

Away Wins

3

Average total runs 5.9

Recent matches

2026-08-30 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 4 - 3 Chunichi Dragons
Home team won
2026-08-29 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 1 - 0 Chunichi Dragons
Home team won
2026-08-28 NPB
Yokohama BayStars 4 - 2 Chunichi Dragons
Home team won
2026-08-13 NPB
Chunichi Dragons 1 - 5 Yokohama BayStars
Home team won
2026-08-12 NPB
Chunichi Dragons 3 - 6 Yokohama BayStars
Home team won

Last meeting: 2026-08-30 (4-3)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Yokohama BayStars

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

Chunichi Dragons

Avg runs scored / allowed 0.0 / 0.0
Win percentage 0.0%

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 1 source

Home

1.6

Closing

Away

2.32

Closing

Match Winner 1 source #4059 Odds & records

Home

1.41

Away

2.34

Match Winner 2 sources #4060 Odds & records

Win

1.93

60.7%

Within 1

3.0

Loss

3.35

39.3%

More metrics

Team Style Comparison

Baseball · Season performance

Yokohama BayStars

Chunichi Dragons

The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.

Runs scored / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Runs allowed / game

Home0.00
Away0.00

Run differential / game

Home+0.00
Away+0.00

Win percentage

Home0.0%
Away0.0%

Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.

— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Yokohama BayStars
↑ 6.36

Strong upward trend

Chunichi Dragons
↑ 2.86

Strong upward trend

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Yokohama BayStars

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #2 71W 6D 66L 51.8% +54 RD 3.57 / 3.19
2024 NPB #3 71W 3D 69L 50.7% +19 RD 3.65 / 3.52
2023 NPB #3 74W 3D 66L 52.8% +24 RD 3.64 / 3.47
2022 NPB #2 73W 2D 68L 51.7% -37 RD 3.48 / 3.73
2021 NPB #6 54W 16D 73L 43.4% -65 RD 3.91 / 4.36

Chunichi Dragons

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / RD Avg runs scored / allowed
2025 NPB #4 63W 2D 78L 44.7% -60 RD 2.82 / 3.24
2024 NPB #6 60W 8D 75L 44.4% -105 RD 2.61 / 3.34
2023 NPB #6 56W 5D 82L 40.9% -108 RD 2.73 / 3.48
2022 NPB #6 66W 2D 75L 46.9% -81 RD 2.9 / 3.46
2021 NPB #5 55W 17D 71L 44.4% -73 RD 2.83 / 3.34

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Yokohama BayStars have won 3 of their last 5 games and are showing improved offense.

Match Outlook

Chunichi Dragons have struggled offensively and have a weaker run differential.

Team Status

The BayStars perform well at home, while the Dragons tend to struggle on the road.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win65.0%
Away win35.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

75%

Prediction: Yokohama BayStars Win

Score: 4 - 2

  • Yokohama BayStars have won 3 of their last 5 games and are showing improved offense.
  • Chunichi Dragons have struggled offensively and have a weaker run differential.
  • The BayStars perform well at home, while the Dragons tend to struggle on the road.
Read full reasoning

Based on recent form, Yokohama BayStars hold a clear advantage, with a stronger offense and solid pitching, especially at home. Chunichi Dragons’ inconsistent bats and negative run differential further tilt the odds. While both teams feature strong closers and capable arms, the BayStars' ability to generate runs and capitalize on home advantage gives them the edge in a likely low-to-mid scoring contest. Data is based on projections and recent history, so analysis strength is medium.

Claude · Forecast 2

62%

Prediction: Yokohama BayStars Win

Score: 5 - 3

  • Yokohama BayStars show superior recent form (3 of last 5 wins) versus Dragons' struggles (2 of last 5 wins)
  • BayStars maintain better offensive consistency and stronger overall standings position (9.5 games ahead)
  • Home field advantage at Yokohama Stadium historically favors BayStars; Dragons struggle in away games
  • BayStars bullpen reliability edge, though Dragons' pitching staff remains competitive
  • Chunichi Dragons' recent offensive inconsistency (shut-outs and low-scoring losses) limits their upside potential
Read full reasoning

Yokohama BayStars present a more compelling case as slight favorites heading into this September matchup. Recent form strongly favors BayStars with a 3-2 record over their last five games compared to Chunichi Dragons' 2-3 record. More significantly, the standings gap (BayStars at 72-59 versus Dragons at 60-71) reflects the quality differential between these teams—a 9.5-game separation suggests BayStars possess superior roster depth and consistency. Tactically, BayStars' improved offensive output (scoring 4+ runs in recent wins) contrasts sharply with Dragons' anemic offense (recent shutout and low-scoring losses). While Dragons' pitching staff (particularly ace Shinnosuke Ogasawara and closer Raidel Martinez) remains competitive, BayStars' balanced approach and reliable bullpen give them the edge. Home field advantage at Yokohama Stadium further tilts odds toward the BayStars, as they historically perform above .500 at home while Dragons consistently struggle in away games. The prediction of a BayStars 5-3 victory reflects their offensive advantage while acknowledging Dragons' ability to stay competitive through quality pitching.

Gemini · Forecast 3

65%

Prediction: Yokohama BayStars Win

Score: 4 - 2

  • Yokohama BayStars boast a superior offensive lineup with significantly higher home run production.
  • Chunichi Dragons struggle with run creation, particularly in away environments where their bats often cool.
  • The BayStars maintain a strong home-field advantage and better overall season momentum as a top-three team.
Read full reasoning

Yokohama enters this matchup as the favorite, primarily driven by their superior offensive output and solid standing in the Central League. With power hitters like Shugo Maki and the consistency of Keita Sano, the BayStars have a significantly higher ceiling for run production compared to a Dragons lineup that has struggled for consistency throughout the season. While Chunichi boasts a respectable pitching staff led by Shinnosuke Ogasawara, their inability to generate offense remains a critical weakness that often leaves their pitchers with little room for error. The BayStars' home-field advantage in Yokohama further tips the scales. Historically, the Dragons have found it difficult to keep pace in high-scoring affairs, and given the BayStars' recent form and playoff positioning, they possess the momentum. Expect a competitive game early due to Chunichi's pitching, but the BayStars' depth and late-inning pressure should ultimately secure the victory.

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